Yeah it is very interesting - but also very sobering for just how catastrophic the impacts would be.
And remember that one outlier EC forecast for TC Oma in 2019 - I think it was something like over 1000 mm in five days over a large part of SEQ - potential outcome of that is shown diagrammatically below.
It's always small margins. If the falls from the hybrid low had been 100 km west of the most aggressive modelling we would have had another flood event. If Oma had struck in 2019 we wouldn't have had an SEQ drought and fire event later that year unlike the rest of eastern Aus. As it is, it may well be years before we get another flood opportunity with a major potential rain event on a saturated catchment.
Oma modelling below - still the best model forecast I've ever seen for SEQ. Shame it never happened but one day surely...