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Predictions June 14-18th System

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Jun 5, 2014.

  1. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Do you mean me or loweee?
     
  2. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Bloody hell. LM is obviously a couple of metres too low :( BOM is predicting snow for the Baws on 4 days down to 1400m, and LM to get nothing but rain :tany: The top of LM is 1430m, so maybe? Please?
     
  3. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    The problem is the stuff that Baw Baw will get will come from the SE.
    I'm not sure that aspect works for LM?
     
  4. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    I barely expect any snow in Victoria. ..maybe top of hotham
     
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  5. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's not often that systems come from the SE. I'm not sure how they affect LM. We certainly get it from southerly systems, and LM & BB are pretty close as the crow flies. BB may actually be directly in line of the system to LM and steal our snow.
     
  6. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Agreed.
    I'm not convinced there will be much left in Vic when the snow levels fall (assuming they do).
    1800m and above with this system.
     
  7. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    Problem is..nsw has -26 or so over most of state. ...Vic is -22 @ 500
     
  8. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Been that way all along.
     
  9. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Friday night, Saturday morning will be the best chance for good snow. ONCE the ECL hits the Tasman, wind will be too SE and warm SST's, But could still be okay for wet snot. There is potential anyway, more snow than May at least. Its been much colder in the last few day in Merimbula.
    And the sky has got that 45 degree south hue about it. Sunrises have been reddish. Go the P>S> Socceroos.
     
  10. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Best case scenarios at 4am Saturday. Thats a fair bit of snow, and will transform the main range.

    [​IMG]
     
  11. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    In may that low was centre well north of Cape Howe.
     
  12. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    If this was for me it was watching the updated forecast maps around 11pm.
     
  13. Charlie

    Charlie Still the most depraved poster here Ski Pass: Gold

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    YOUR SNOW?????????
    Pig's arse it's your snow!
    :tany:
     
  14. tomtankman

    tomtankman Addicted

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    Ok thanks! And yeah it was you. haha.

    Remember everyone that a BOM forecast of snow above 1700m does NOT mean snow all day above 1700m...it means 1 flake.
    eg today for Thredbo.....Cloudy. Rain, falling as snow above 1800 metres but at 7am Thredbo (1950m) is 1.7C. It will only cool down 1 degree or so today...so basically.....RAIN NOT snow.
     
    TeleXC and fletch like this.
  15. SNJ

    SNJ One of Us

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    Interesting reading the predictions on here over the last few days that this will favour NSW with potential for big falls up high if it all factors coincide at the right time, and then I read this from WZ
     
  16. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    Yeah they are on crack IMO
     
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  17. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Real problem is that the whole of Australia is a few Mtrs to Low.
    Chuck 500m on all resorts and we would be sweet.
    1000m and we would be epic.
    2000m and we would be top of the class.
    3000m and everyone would get sick
     
  18. Chondro

    Chondro One of Us

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    or just move the entire continent 500km south
     
  19. Izzy

    Izzy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Give the job to the Chinese - I reckon they could do that in 9 months with a budget of <$1B....
     
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  20. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    I am feeling donza's vibe this could well be a Thredbo SE bomb special..and if it ain't it won't have missed by much.
     
  21. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeh dunno about the extra winter darkness though, days are short enough already.
    Potential for some good aurora's though.
     
  22. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Stay on topic.
     
  23. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Latest AXS 3 dayer has cold air (5440 thickness) crossing the alps around 10am tomorrow morning. Then as cold air sits over the alps 24 hr rainfall in the band 30-50mm (for 10am saturday through 10am sunday). I like.
     
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  24. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Would like if that -25 cold pool was a bit further south IMO (00 UTC GFS)

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
  25. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sorry CC, was just kill'n time till the arvo models dropped
     
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  26. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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  27. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Well, it's certainly not yours :p
    P.S. BOM now predicting snow showers for LM on Tuesday morning.
     
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  28. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo Ski Pass: Gold

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    So snow tonight. Think I said 5cm. But looking like more. Sometimes I like being wrong.

    But too warm tomorrow. Lot's of moisture. IMO. Hopefully a net gain. But I doubt it. IMO.

    [​IMG]
     
  29. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    I think 1 cm is a net gain at this point isn't it?
    ;)
     
  30. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    IMO when it is all going on maps dont mean too much.Perisher from 1700m up in negs big incoming from SE at 4cm an hour.

    ENJOY....,,,,,,
     
  31. kiter

    kiter One of Us

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    Is there a sting in the tail of this system ? Will the little front racing across the bight have anything in it for tomorrow arv ? Weatherzone seems to think so
     
  32. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    EC has been suggesting that since early last week.
     
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  33. kiter

    kiter One of Us

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    I think Jane and others liked the trailing high aspect of this system a few days back .hopefully they are correct
     
  34. kiter

    kiter One of Us

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    Good to see Alice springs only 16 degrees tomorrow
     
  35. wrxbouy

    wrxbouy Hard Yards

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    bustin air somewhere
    Mt hotham at -2.3 and a nice moisture band coming through now.
     
  36. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Predictions only in this thread.
     
  37. SkiMun

    SkiMun Part of the Furniture

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    Buller will get 0cm out of this. It's just too warm. The ground will get a good soaking though.