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Observations June 8th - 11th System

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Astro66, Jun 8, 2016.

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  1. woggybot

    woggybot One of Us

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    Viewing the waters from the big rocks at Esperance would be stunning....and cold!
     
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  2. Ozgirl

    Ozgirl Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Oh yes - certainly laughing with the, not at them!
     
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  3. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    Raining in Bendigo now. Looks like it'll settle in for the night....
     
  4. Nidecker

    Nidecker One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I think you are mistaking West Aussie White Pointers for clouds :) Too soon ???
     
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  5. Ubiquitous Steve

    Ubiquitous Steve A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    a severe weather warning issued by BOM for NE and Sth,West & East Gippsland damaging winds expected tonight.....:eek::eek: issued about 3.30pm

    for elevated areas above 1,200m winds 60kmh gusting to the ton....
     
    #55 Ubiquitous Steve, Jun 8, 2016
    Last edited: Jun 8, 2016
  6. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    Bit of moisture on the radar but temps only look good for snot above 1900m for now.
    8c in jindy and wind building.
     
  7. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them Ski Pass: Gold

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    There's movement in the Perisher gauge.
     
  8. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo

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    Nooooooo. Look at the temps. Plus 2.1 degs.
     
  9. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Rain on the roof here.

    3mm and 3deg at Buller. Woo.
     
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  10. snowblowa

    snowblowa One of Us

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    All Vic hill temps are tropical, same as the moisture feed lol! Let's see when that cold air arrives in the morning if any moisture lingers thru the day. The trailing edge of the low pressure complex where the feed goes more southerly suggests a little sting in the tail IMO.
     
    #60 snowblowa, Jun 8, 2016
    Last edited: Jun 8, 2016
  11. Normo

    Normo Mostly Harmless Ski Pass: Gold

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    Blowing a gale here in Jindy.........roof is trembling......Will this bring some snow?
     
  12. Bato

    Bato One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Absolutely pissing down in thredbo, top to bottom, I ain't going out there again!
     
  13. Bato

    Bato One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I can't see any snow in this, it's tropical out there.
     
  14. Bato

    Bato One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    2.4 at thredbo top station, rain getting heavier.
     
  15. snowblowa

    snowblowa One of Us

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    35mm and counting, -2 and your quad ride might have been interesting! :eek:
     
  16. Bato

    Bato One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Only needed to be 5 degrees colder, bucked down all night, was still intensifying when I left at 5.
     
  17. skichic

    skichic A Local

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    10c and pissing down, think not :(
     
  18. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC pretty much got this one right so far

    [​IMG]

    Last 24hrs @ Perisher
     
  19. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Balmy 17 deg here in Sydney this morning June 9th WTF
     
  20. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    temps heading the right way in NSW down nearly 2c in the last hour via Perisher weather stations
     
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  21. jungfrau

    jungfrau One of Us

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    It's just too warm:tany:
     
  22. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Looks cold on the weekend in Jindy Lowee 9deg maxs
     
  23. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I actually feel better about that than 3mm and 0.5C, because that would be SO CLOSE to snow, but still not. At least at 3C I dont even have to worry about it.
     
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  24. snowblowa

    snowblowa One of Us

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    At least with saturated earth, when the big overnight freezes come, the soil will freeze up nicely to provide a good ice block foundation for the base to grow on IMO
     
  25. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Doesn't work that way sadly.
     
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  26. Marcus Australius

    Marcus Australius Hard Yards

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    Raining in Canberra at the moment, and its 11c, feels about 8c so there is some wind chill. Mount Ginini is 2.5c dropped from 4c an hour ago. its getting colder
     
  27. kiter

    kiter One of Us

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    Maybe I'm just be too hopeful but it looks like snowflakes on centre valley and mt p cam and zalis cam
     
  28. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    that would be right looking at the temps above 1900m
     
  29. snowblowa

    snowblowa One of Us

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    IMO wet ground freezes better than dry ground, so with some big solid over night freezes, soggy soil freezes well and provides a colder surface for a base to build on than drier ground. Obviously for open grass covered parts of the hill. All IMO.
     
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  30. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Getting there.

    [​IMG]
     
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  31. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some decent falls across NE Vic this past week. Weather has certainly shifted significantly down here after that good system came through last month.
    I know we're wanting snow atm, and not rain, but it's not even QBW yet, but the follow up falls of rain into our catchments here are encouraging. Nice saturated catchments for further systems, that are hopefully a few degrees cooler.
    The past week:
    Buller 87
    Strathbogie 74
    Archerton 75
    Buffalo 107
    Hotham 102
    Yesterday's falls were reasonable, between 25-50mm across higher parts.
     
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  32. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo

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    -20 Uppers. That is better than previous.
     
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  33. melty68

    melty68 One of Us

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    at least with heaps of rain the muddy ground will freeze solid next week after a frost and any snow that falls will stick and I think this system has a fairly good southerly fetch...from...ANTARCTICA.
     
  34. TIA_Macca

    TIA_Macca Hard Yards

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    temps falling quickly at hotham ,down to 0.2 .. Should start turning white soon :)
     
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  35. agentBM

    agentBM Part of the Furniture

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    snowing at Perisher now
     
  36. melty68

    melty68 One of Us

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    very strange weather ...
     
  37. Marquise de Kappy

    Marquise de Kappy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looking good at South Perisher.:cheers:
     
  38. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo

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    Snow on the roof of the V8 and on the road

     
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  39. Marquise de Kappy

    Marquise de Kappy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Well it looks pretty decent on the cams now compared to 8:30am before i left home for work.
     
  40. jungfrau

    jungfrau One of Us

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    Not sure if this is the right place to ask but what are we looking for (snow) in this chart?
     
  41. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo

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    I'm sure CC can provide more info. But I'm just looking for the 500mb temps. I'm looking for -20 deg or colder.

    There is also moisture content from the separation in dew point to actual temp. But I'm no expert in working that one out.
     
    #91 Astro66, Jun 9, 2016
    Last edited: Jun 9, 2016
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  42. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    http://www.australiasevereweather.com/forum/index.php?topic=1510.0

    This explains it pretty well.

    Its an Altitude v Temp graph, with dew point and temp trace.

    Basically tells you moisture content in the air vs the temperature at different altitudes
     
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  43. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Firstly 500 hPa temps. The two red lines are the "current" sample temps lhs is the dew temp/ rhs is actual temp (blue is the previous samples 2300 UTC)
    So you can seem 500 hPa is -20C - ideally we like to see -25C or better - discussed before
    850hPa temps are temps you're likely to see at resort levels - pretty close to 0C.
    Finally wind speed and direction on the far right hand side - at each level.
     
  44. Ubiquitous Steve

    Ubiquitous Steve A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    its sunny and mild with no wind in Sunbury....and doesnot seem that much rain fell o/n..o_Oo_O
     
  45. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Pretty much the same in Hallam. had 3mm
     
  46. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yesterday's rain appears to have hit the more elevated parts surrounding Melbourne (Central Highlands, Kinglake, Yarra Ranges), and also north of the Divide.
     
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  47. jungfrau

    jungfrau One of Us

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    Thanks CC, Astro66 and Chowder11
    I love this forum!
     
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  48. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Actually very normal

    Warm then cold

    Stralya
     
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  49. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Right on queue. GFS has had 850hPa snow from 10am today modeled for about 4 days now.
     
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  50. absentskier

    absentskier Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    FIFY (apologies for being a pedant)!
     
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