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Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Nov 30, 2017.
Might as well kick this off now.
It's stinking hot in Melbourne right now, clouds building out to the West with some other stuff bubbling away to the South/East...
Storms now in SW Vic hitting the Portland and Warrnambool areas, and a line west of Ararat beginning to intensify as it moves east.
Not sure what you're on about, looks like just a few passing showers over the next few days.
I believe the last major catastrophic floods to hit Melbourne/Yarra river catchment was a similar 3 day event , November- Dec 1934 with a 140mm of rainfall.North east Vic recorded much more.
Severe Weather Warning
for HEAVY RAINFALL
For people in Central, East Gippsland, Mallee, South West, Northern Country, North Central, North East, West and South Gippsland and Wimmera Forecast Districts.
Issued at 11:06 am Thursday, 30 November 2017.
HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE THURSDAY
A large high pressure system near New Zealand continues to direct a hot and humid northeasterly airstream over Victoria. A trough of low pressure crossing the Bight will reach western Victoria late today then become slow moving. A low pressure system will develop on the trough over northwestern Victoria on Friday then drift slowly southeastwards over the weekend. Milder, less humid southerly winds will develop behind the low, as a new high pressure system forms in the Bight.
HEAVY RAIN and SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS which may lead to FLASH FLOODING are likely to develop in the far west during TONIGHT before extending across the remaining parts of the State during FRIDAY. The heavy rain and thunderstorm activity will continue on SATURDAY.
Three day totals of around 100-200mm are expected acoss most of northern and central regions of the State. Elsewhere totals are likely to be between 30 and 100mm. Over the northeast ranges totals may exceed 250mm.
Locations which may be affected include Mildura, Horsham, Warrnambool, Bendigo, Shepparton, Seymour, Maryborough, Ballarat, Geelong, Melbourne, Wodonga, Wangaratta, Traralgon and Bairnsdale.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Don't walk, ride or drive through flood water;
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains;
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks;
* Be alert that in areas recently affected by fires, heavy rainfall increases the potential for landslides and debris across roads;
The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEDT Thursday.
If only the temps were lower, this event would make for some pretty good skiing
Good video from the BOM
BOM have upped the forecast rainfall for Melb in this arvo's forecast:
80-230mm forecast. I think 80 might be more than sufficient for the next week.
I guess you'll find out if the botannical garden floods!
Thankfully our function is at one of the higher sections of the gardens. I would not wish to be down towards the lake. Tomorrow should be great here in the office watching it all take place out my window.
That bright pink dot on that video (over 200mm) looks like Narby! Which means Buxton will flood.
Reasonable drop in temperatures in Melb over the last hour, 34.9 at 5pm, 28.1 at 5:30pm
Albury Wodonga Forecast:
I am a bit worried about this rain event as we took in a bit of water two Fridays ago from overflowing internal gutter. Whoever thought that was a good idea is a bloody idiot! I have put in four rain heads and 5 emergency overflows but we still occasionally get water into the ceiling. For some weird reason one of the internal gutters runs from a downpipe at back of house and then just stops short of front of house so I can't put an emergency overflow there. We'll just have to wait and see what happens.
Making sure the gutters are as clean as possible is about all you can do. Good luck, hope it stays dry
Waterfalls like Ladies Bath on Mt Buffalo should be pretty special after this event
Trentham Falls also!
This is the Snowy River at McKillops Bridge at 1.2m. And then the Snowy at 6m.... She's gonna be up again and thats where i'm going!!!
Pics from Gippsland Recreation Outdoors
Gutters cleared and door to garage sandbagged (well, potting mix counts doesn’t it?)
Got the first bit of it here just a little while ago. Was typing in the cricket thread about the increasing wind when lightning struck close by taking power out for a couple of seconds. Rained for a bit after but paused again for now.
Gutters are as clean as possible. Might have to get on the roof with a bucket!
Thanks. I mowed the back lawn this evening and was going to put the mower in the shed (about 40m away) in the morning. Read your post and I decided I'd better put it away now.
That internal gutter design was insane. Had water pouring in when we had the huge storm in Melbourne in December 2003. 53mm in an hour.
Round one is approaching Bendigo and Ballarat according to radar.
Melbourne may have some 2am rumbles
Looks like some serious rain headed my way (near Tumbarumba) from about 11am tomorrow. Very glad my house is on a high perch with 0 risk of flood but I might need the snorkel to get past the creek at the bottom of my land. I could use a bit of rain to be honest , fodder grass has not much water content at the moment and my dams aren't spectacular either. However some of the biblical totals I have been hearing about seem a little extreme and even heard one old timer near me say this could be bigger than 2010 when the little Billabong almost broke a record height from some time in the 1850's.
Nevertheless lower pasture closed and all my stock moved to higher ground this afternoon. Spent most of the week contracting to local croppers desperately trying to salvage what they can ( been a hard season for local croppers , lots of frost during winter then rain at the wrong time or not at all) and all I can say is I am glad I don't crop for a living.
Thunderstorms around Ballarat.
Just stepped outside here in Melbourne.
You know how you can smell rain?
It is the most pungent I have ever experienced.
Buy a little sump pump?
Pungent alright in bonbeach...
Wait a minute, thats south east treatment plant
Welcome to the east coast
All afternoon and early evening was a very swift nor-easter blowing lots of constant fast moving cloud bands through Hornsby shire down south. Will add to the south western brew, no doubt.
Growth in Vic's West is substantial.
Yep, same here.
Still dry and humid in melbourne. Just walked out of aami park after taking 14year old to her first big concert. Still too hot!
Aah, so there was a concert there tonight! I was running the Tan and could hear a whole lot of booming over the top of the sound of my earphones and figured there must have been something on.
Anyhow, Ballarat now getting the first of it now.
Yep was SIA and a few others. Too hot to be in close proximity to that many people.
Woke up at 3am on the couch (hehe yeah) and heard spitting on the tin roof. Flew outside to rip the washing off the line which was out there all day yesterday while DW was at home.
I’m in the Dandenong ranges.
No sign of that low forming over Victoria yet. Just looks like a big band of rain sliding across the state.
First rain just hitting Canterbury now.
Smell of rain = petrichor
The low won't form until at least Saturday.
Incoming....only bit of sun we might see for awhile
Bit of an ominous morning in Melbourne. Can see flashes of lightning in something crossing the bay at the moment.
Was woken at 6:50am by the first clap of thunder, followed by heavy rain which has temporarily abated.
PK has a song about it on his latest.