So the latest Severe Weather Warning has the storm surge peaking at 4.0m now, that's 1.6m above the predicted tide for Outer Harbour. About 0.3m of that is attributed to the air pressure and the rest is 1.3m of wind piling and wave run up, not bad considering the small fetch the gulf has for a straight westerly wind. Got some pics and video. I'll edit this post as I upload them. If you get a black screen its probably still processing on Flickr's server.