Day to Day NE NSW / QLD weather

Ken Kato

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 13, 2019
3,393
30,656
363
Brisbane
There are lots of nice walks along the creek near the dog park and the bike way. Have lived in the area for 4 years but only just finding these out since getting the pup. By the look of the debris halfway up in some of the trees it looks like the water levels can go a bit wild after significant rain?
Yep they sure can. There’s still grasses and twigs stuck pretty high up in between the forks of branches of some existing trees from the flooding we got during the May 2015 ECL.
 

Sandbank

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 7, 2019
611
5,148
263
Caloundra South and Stanthorpe
A smidge under 20mm from yesterday's action at Stanthorpe. Blue skies so far today apparently.
IMG_4183.jpg
 

Bello Weather

One of Us
Jul 12, 2019
369
2,776
263
We've had heavy showers and storms through this morning, but they have mainly moved to the south now with the sun actually shining. Rivers rising slowly but nothing extreme - unlike the latest BoM warning which talks about landslides and life threatening flash flooding. Looks like the worst will be to our south, but will be watching to see where the low develops. Here's the radar (courtesy of Weatherchaser) since 5am:

wx_rv82860.gif


And for the record here's the BoM warning:

Severe Weather Warning
for HEAVY RAINFALL and DAMAGING WINDS
For people in Mid North Coast and parts of Northern Rivers and Hunter Forecast Districts.

Issued at 1:58 pm Thursday, 18 March 2021.

HEAVY RAIN, POSSIBLY LIFE THREATENING AND DAMAGING WINDS FOR THE MID NORTH COAST, THEN EXTENDING SOUTH.

upload_2021-3-18_14-35-29.png

A coastal trough continues to deepen near the northern New South Wales coast, with the forecast of an embedded Coastal Low to form within the trough on Friday. This low is forecast to slowly track down the coast later on Friday

HEAVY RAINFALL, leading to FLASH FLOODING, has begun about parts of the exposed Hunter coastline as the trough deepens. Increased rainfall rates about areas of the Mid North Coast are likely to continue to develop into Friday as a low are forecast to form off the Mid North Coast on Friday, shifting south as the low moves down the coast.

INTENSE RAINFALL which may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding may develop in areas of the Mid North Coast and northern Hunter districts as continued rainfall impacts the region. Roads are likely to be cut off by water, and there will be an increased risk of landslips over this period.

DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 90 km/h are likely to form on Friday along the coastal fringe as the low develops in the Mid North Coast, with the area of impact moving south by the evening.

The exact positioning and movement of the Coastal Low will impact the areas of strongest winds and highest rainfall, and updates to the warning will be issued as this system develops.

As catchments are relatively wet in the Mid North Coast, RIVERINE FLOODING is also possible. A Flood Watch has been issued, covering the Mid North Coast, Hunter and parts of Sydney. See the latest at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/flood/floodwatch1.shtml.ed.

Locations which may be affected include Coffs Harbour, Port Macquarie, Taree, Kempsey, Newcastle, Gosford, Cessnock, Maitland, Woolgoolga, Sawtell, Dorrigo and Dungog.
 

Retired Weather Man

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 4, 2019
1,263
8,420
363
Wynnum North - Brisbane - Queensland
WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER
( DATA FROM 0900 PREVIOUS DAY TO 0900 CURRENT DAY )
18 MARCH 2021
TIME....0655
( Earlier than usual due med. tests. Will adjust
rain and max temp records after 0900 if needed )
CURRENT TEMPERATURE...19.5C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........96%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......18C
CURRENT WIND........SW 4Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....30Km
CURRENT PRESSURE..1015.8Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD........3/8 Cu, 4/8 Sc, 8/8 AcAs
CURRENT WEATHER......Distant rain
RAIN SINCE 0900 WEDNESDAY..13.6mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAYS MAX TEMP..........21.3C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......18.7C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..-4.60C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....18.7C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......19C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR PRESSURE...1015.8Hpa
PAST 24 HOURS MAX WIND.....NE 19Kph at 1743
PAST 24 HOURS SIG.WEATHER..Slight rain and showers eased around midnight.
..............................................
MARCH RAINFALL TO DATE.....................94.4mm
MARCH AVERAGE RAINFALL....................128.9mm
2021 RAINFALL TO DATE.....................378.6mm
AVERAGE RAINFALL TO END OF MARCH..........436.8mm
AVERAGE ANNUAL RAIN TO END OF DEC........1152.4mm

Amended data for 24 hours to 0900 18th.... Max temp 21.7C, rain 13.8mm.
 

Ken Kato

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 13, 2019
3,393
30,656
363
Brisbane
upload_2021-3-18_16-39-9.png


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Here are my own thoughts about the coming days which I’ve posted elsewhere but will copy and paste here:

" For SEQ in the coming days, rainfall potential should follow this general trend:



    • Localised shower activity at first but increasing again in extent at times as we head into this weekend.
    • Showers possible anywhere in the region but overall, the better rainfall amounts will probably favour coastal areas the most, especially in the south (in these areas, showery conditions may border on rain areas at times with locally heavy downpours).
    • Although any thunderstorm activity will probably be somewhat localised (but could occur at any time of morning, afternoon, or overnight), they’re likely to move rather slowly and some may also move in erratic directions due to weak steering winds aloft. So for the luckier locations which happen to get under such activity, locally heavy falls are also possible.
    • Rainfall this weekend should follow a general diurnal cycle of being more extensive in area by the afternoons before mainly retreating to the coast during the night-time/early morning hours.
    • Towards the middle of the week, moderate to heavy rainfall with a big frontal system and an upper level trough is likely to sweep across inland eastern Australia but it isn't certain yet just how much of this rainfall we’ll get in SEQ.
As well as a moist onshore flow, a local wind convergence zone along the coast, some upper level divergence, and cool air aloft associated with the upper system should encourage this weekend’s rainfall.
That area of upper divergence as well as the deepening of the coastal trough or low should also help focus the flooding rains on the NSW coast.


At this stage, Sunday looks like getting wetter than Saturday in coastal SEQ but will have to wait and see on that one. "

1st image courtesy of The Early Warning Network showing how much total rainfall's been recorded by raingauges within the 96hrs up to 9am today.
2nd image courtesy of the ECMWF showing the extreme forecast index values for Day 1 to 5 accumulated precip.
3rd image above via weather.us is the statistically corrected (using obs and predictors) DWD-MOSMIX and GFS-MOS precip forecasts. The latter is for Brisbane Airport, not the CBD. I’ve chosen to not include the other models in the graph this time to make these two stand out better.
 
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Retired Weather Man

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 4, 2019
1,263
8,420
363
Wynnum North - Brisbane - Queensland
Bulimba Creek looking like choccy milk on this mornings walk near Wecker Road. Last one is a gratuitous dog pic featuring the red devil.

Up to the 70's, Bulimba ( Doboy ) Creek was green from 3 meatworks and 3 tanneries ( one up near the present Carindale shopping centre ) - all pouring goodies into the water. By train, one meatworks and a tannery were next to the train line near Doboy station ( now gone ), and 2 small goods works near Murrarie station. Also cattle holding yards between near Murrarie and Cannon Hill - all draining into local creeks and one could smell the stink from the train ( no air con then - air con was open windows ) from Cannon Hill to Hemmant and by car on Wynnum Road from Cannon Hill to Tingalpa.
 

Flowin

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 5, 2019
2,056
13,365
363
Pinjarra Hills, QLD
Well it certainly seems certain that substantial parts of the NSW coast are in for some notable rainfall total in the next week.
All models agree but there are variations in the amounts, location, and just how far inland the rain may go.
One interesting variation I noted in the models is Access G spinning up a low in the 850hpa winds around near Lismore and taking it south following the coastline to about Newcastle
If that happens I'd expect that could focus some more intense rain areas, and the Access G animated 3 hour precip (second below) shows that.

modaus_20210322_1200_animation.gif

modaus_20210318_0000_animation.gif
Since I posted this morning regarding Access G model indicating a potential low circulation going down the NSW coast around Saturday - some updates:
Access G 18Z run and 00Z run are holding on that. Would love to see the Access G ensemble but it ain't available.
EC deterministic 18Z and 00Z run not interested.
EC 18Z ensemble did have one member (#13) forming a low off the coast around Coffs Harbour Saturday 10am. But one member out of fifty ain't great odds. EC 00z ensemble not yet available.
GFS 00Z appear to have a small number of ensemble members with a low circulation at 850hpa but further west over the New England tablelands washing away to the west.
Icon 00Z not interested.
UK Met 00z sort of similar to Access G but that is to be expected.
So it seems that Access G (with some similarity in UK met) are the only ones showing possibility of a low going down the coast for the current state of predictions.
We will see though see what EC 00Z ensemble members show.
 

Seabreezes

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 4, 2019
430
3,689
263
South West Rocks, NSW
Heavy rain and thunderstorms have lashed the Lower Macleay Valley today, including here at South West Rocks.
Since 9am, BOM's gauges have recorded 222mm at Seven Oaks, 169mm at Aldavilla and 142mm at Kempsey Airport.

We've had 138.2mm here since 9am this morning. 33mm of that fell in 25 minutes during one of the thunderstorms.
j1R1DAN.jpg

Flash flooding here at South West Rocks this afternoon (some taken by me, some taken by friends):
AgxdIvW.jpg

bvrjQep.jpg

MsYUaId.jpg

0LM0LWl.jpg

kjnItsW.jpg

KjQqTy6.jpg


The rain has temporarily eased, though it is likely to reintensify.
 
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Nic Bri

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
399
2,831
263
Mount Gravatt East
Up to the 70's, Bulimba ( Doboy ) Creek was green from 3 meatworks and 3 tanneries ( one up near the present Carindale shopping centre ) - all pouring goodies into the water. By train, one meatworks and a tannery were next to the train line near Doboy station ( now gone ), and 2 small goods works near Murrarie station. Also cattle holding yards between near Murrarie and Cannon Hill - all draining into local creeks and one could smell the stink from the train ( no air con then - air con was open windows ) from Cannon Hill to Hemmant and by car on Wynnum Road from Cannon Hill to Tingalpa.
I love stories like these! The hubs grew up at Hawthorne and he talked about how much rougher that area used to be with all the wharfies families living around Bulimba. I think the one of the abattoirs was still in action in the late 90's when we first got together because if there was a North Easterly blowing in the smell at his place was....interesting.
 

Falling_Droplet

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 7, 2019
1,965
10,732
363
Ferny Grove, QLD
fernygroveweather.com
2.1 mm since 9am with fine weather during the day before light showers in the late afternoon.

Slightly cool temperature in the morning became near average later in the morning as the temperature rose, though rose more slowly later in the morning. The maximum temperature was reached in the early afternoon, then fell temporarily as cloud cover increased with a nearby shower, then rose a little afterwards before falling later this afternoon. The temperature was slightly cool in the afternoon becoming near average tonight that fell slowly. Dew point is remaining near average that rose in the morning and became generally stable from late morning that fell slightly in the early afternoon.

Relative humidity fell during the morning a little slowly before generally stabilising in the late morning and in the afternoon that was slightly above average and moderately high in the mid morning and early afternoon. In the late afternoon the relative humidity have been moderately high hat became high before dropping back to slightly above average tonight while rising slowly. Light S to SW winds in the morning with some S to SE winds in the mid morning, S to SE in the late morning and early afternoon, backed during the morning to E to NE in the mid to late afternoon and E to ESE in the late afternoon with some calm winds. Tonight the wind have been calm.
 

Trail Blazer

Part of the Furniture
Ski Pass
Jun 8, 2000
11,121
1,502
813
Jimi on Weatherzone. Pymble, Sydney

BrettSS

One of Us
Sep 7, 2020
534
3,153
263
They must have stopped working over 6 months ago, as they've had nil rain since August 20 recordings according to the BOM latest observations. http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ60801/IDQ60801.94562.shtml

I'm not sure how you reach that conclusion. The page to which you link gives the weather observations for the UQ Gatton site only for the previous 72 hours, which would have been back to around 8:30 a.m. to 9 a.m. on Monday, March 15th, 2021 at the time you posted; and this page, a screenshot of which I pasted below, shows that the latest daily rainfall recorded in Gatton was 2.4 mm on Friday, March 12th, 2021.



Dn4tPe_f8PgTDrnqZJ4lNz0YKgZ-Thv_Dd9500eUTj50mfcRmqyJd-o0hV5BDGE58D0H1kpWC_4j2KgrNzIcAxUFiCDiXD1gnonaknJ0XxOKGijvxa6mg7WhdE-BYKVc1birhkVl



BTW, the page to which you linked shows that the UQ Gatton site is now recording rainfall again.
 

Seabreezes

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 4, 2019
430
3,689
263
South West Rocks, NSW
After the rain eased off for a couple of hours late this afternoon / early evening, it reintensified again around sunset with bouts of heavy to very heavy rain at times occurring since then.
209.0mm has now fallen since 9am this morning!

BOM's gauge at Seven Oaks (about 15kms to our SW) is now up to 264mm since 9am.

A moderate flood warning has been issued for the Orara River, and there's a minor flood warning for the Bellinger.
 

Falling_Droplet

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 7, 2019
1,965
10,732
363
Ferny Grove, QLD
fernygroveweather.com
No further rainfall tonight. The temperature have remained near average tonight that have been falling steadily. Dew point have been falling tonight close to average. Slightly above average relative humidity eased to near average late tonight while rising slowly. Mostly calm winds tonight with some S to SW winds.

Last 24 hours:
rain 2021-3-18.PNG
temp 2021-3-18.PNG
hum 2021-3-18.PNG
wind dir 2021-3-18.PNG
 

Ken Kato

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 13, 2019
3,393
30,656
363
Brisbane
upload_2021-3-19_5-52-26.png


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1st image - Check out just how flattened out and big that area of high pressure is at the moment which is causing such a long easterly fetch onto our coast. You can see how the absence of any significant lows or deep troughing to our nearby SE and NE is allowing for that easterly flow.
2nd image - EC ensemble probabilities of total 10-day rainfall exceeding 150mm and forecast riverine flood summary from the hydrological models used in GLOFAS and forced by the atmospheric EC ensemble.
Due to lack of space, only the day 4-10 flood summary legend could be fitted on the map but the map actually covers both days 1-3 and 4-10.
Also the map doesn't show creeks or every river for that matter so no doubt there's going to be lots of smaller waterways that are going to be in flood which aren't visible on this map.

3rd image - Risk map from meteoblue for between 10am today and 10am Saturday EST showing where ICON is currently highlighting the strongest rain and wind risks using this time period as an example. Of course flooding rainfall and gusty winds will affect a lot of the NSW coast during the next few days as well. Yellow = wind gusts up to 80km/hr, orange = 80 to 110km/hr, red = stronger than 110km/hr. Blue = 24hr rainfall amounts up to 60mm, pale purple = 60 to 90mm, strong purple = more than 90mm.
You can still get some heavy rainfall or strong winds well outside of the coloured areas on this map, especially that of a localised nature with thunderstorms. It's only designed to show broad areas of the more severe rain/wind risks i.e. the bigger picture, not fine details.

Even after this weekend’s over, there’s the possibility of yet more rainfall and strong winds for eastern/northern NSW during the early to midweek period with a low and front. Some of this may also possibly affect some sections of far southern QLD before the low intensifies off the SE Australia coast……. but still a touch too early to determine what the impacts will be like because of uncertainty with this 2nd system. But this second lot of rainfall coming on top of the current rainfall is going to exacerbate the NSW flooding situation despite the speed at which this second system moves off the coast.
 

Flowin

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 5, 2019
2,056
13,365
363
Pinjarra Hills, QLD
The GFS forecast IVT "moisture feed" maps show features like Atmospheric Rivers
(1) for around 10am AEST today for NSW from the east - this one is probably not a classic AR- maybe call it an Atmospheric "Rivlet"
(2) for around 10pm AEST Tuesday from the northwest - which looks to support modest rain for SEQ mid next week, but NSW coast gets a double dose of AR feed.
NSW - situation seems to be shaping up to some serious flood risks across some parts of NSW .....


IVT_conv_59.png
IVT_conv_77.png
 

Retired Weather Man

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 4, 2019
1,263
8,420
363
Wynnum North - Brisbane - Queensland
WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER
( DATA FROM 0900 PREVIOUS DAY TO 0900 CURRENT DAY )
19 MARCH 2021
TIME....0750
CURRENT TEMPERATURE..21.6C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........91%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......20C
CURRENT WIND........SW 5Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....30Km
CURRENT PRESSURE..1016.8Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD........3/8 Cu, 7/8 Sc
CURRENT WEATHER......Distant rain
RAIN SINCE 0900 THURSDAY..0.4mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAYS MAX TEMP..........28.0C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......19.0C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..-1.60C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....18.9C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......21C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR PRESSURE...1015.8Hpa
PAST 24 HOURS MAX WIND.....E 19Kph at 1540
PAST 24 HOURS SIG.WEATHER..Slight showers Thursday afternoon, drizzle Friday morning.
..............................................
MARCH RAINFALL TO DATE.....................95.0mm
MARCH AVERAGE RAINFALL....................128.9mm
2021 RAINFALL TO DATE.....................379.2mm
AVERAGE RAINFALL TO END OF MARCH..........436.8mm
AVERAGE ANNUAL RAIN TO END OF DEC........1152.4mm
 

Seabreezes

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 4, 2019
430
3,689
263
South West Rocks, NSW
263.8mm has fallen here at South West Rocks in the 24hrs to 9am this morning.

Rain still streaming onto the coast. The wind has picked up too, with fresh to occasionally strong breezes. I think I can see a bit of circulation beginning to form just off the coast near Yamba.

Widespread 100mm+ falls along the Mid North Coast in the 24hrs to 9am, with the wettest places to report in among BOM's gauges on the MNC being:
304mm - Seven Oaks
262mm - Aldavilla
226mm - Kempsey Airport
217mm - Nambucca Heads
212mm - Comboyne Public School


Flood warnings issued for rivers on the Mid North Coast include:
Moderate flood warning for the Orara River
Minor flood warning for the Bellinger River
Moderate flood warning for the Nambucca River
Minor flood warning for the Hastings River
Minor to moderate flood warning for the Camden Haven River
Minor to moderate flood warning for the Manning River
Minor flood warning for the Myall River


No warning for the Macleay River yet, but with rain beginning to push that bit further inland and into the mid-catchment of the Macleay, it should increase the chance of flooding. It's risen enough so far to cut the bridges upstream from Kempsey:
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Falling_Droplet

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 7, 2019
1,965
10,732
363
Ferny Grove, QLD
fernygroveweather.com
Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 19 Mar 2021
Time: 9:00 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 18.7 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 27.8 C
Min Ground Temp: 16.9 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 2.1 mm

Temperature: 24.2 C
Relative Humidity: 81 %
Dew Point: 20.7 C
MSL Pressure: 1016.7 hPa
Wind Speed: 5 kph - light air
Wind Direction: SSW

Present Weather: State of sky generally unchanged during preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 6/8
Ground State: Ground moist

Notes of yesterday weather - 18/3/21: Cloudy with Cu, Sc, ac, As and Ci clouds and was partly cloudy in the late morning and early afternoon. A light shower in the early morning with some drizzle in the early to mid morning. Light showers in the late afternoon. Near average temperature from early in the day that rose slightly or was stable before rising in the morning, slightly cool. The minimum temperature for the day occurred late in the previous evening, whilst the maximum temperature for the previous day occurring in the early morning. Later in the morning the temperature became near average, then the maximum temperature was reached in the early afternoon before the temperature fell temporarily. Soon afterwards the temperature rose a little before falling from later in the afternoon. In the afternoon it was slightly cool before falling slowly in the evening close to average. Dew point was near average during the whole day, that was stable in the early hours, rose in the morning, became generally stable from the late morning that fell slightly in the early afternoon before falling in the evening. Stable and elevated relative humidity was slightly above average and near saturation that fell a little slowly in the morning that became slightly above average before generally stabilising in the late morning and in the afternoon that was slightly above average and moderately high in the mid morning and early afternoon. In the late afternoon the relative humidity was moderately high that became high before dropping back to slightly above average in the evening and to near average in the late evening while rising slowly. Calm winds with some S to SW winds later in the early hours and during the morning. Some S to SE winds in the mid morning, S to SE in the late morning and early afternoon, backed during the morning to E to NE in the mid to late afternoon and was E to ESE in the late afternoon with some calm winds. In the evening the wind was calm.

Today: The minimum temperature was reached early in the day before rising from 2am close to average that became briefly slightly warm later in the early hours. This morning the temperature have been near average while rising. Dew point have been near average that fell at the start of the day, stabilised during the rest of the early hours before starting to rise this morning. Relative humidity was near average early in the day, that became slightly below average from later in the early hours that fell a little slowly. Calm winds before S to SSW winds became W to SW later in the early hours, and SSW to SSE this morning.
 

GBerg

One of Us
Jul 28, 2019
70
847
233
It's taken me a few days to get around to editing a couple of photo's from Sunday's chase out on the downs. Once again I wasn't expecting too much in the way of structure but thought with storm season coming to an end soon I'd best make the most of it. These shot's were all taken just to the West of Dalby. I wasn't until after 5pm that things started to ramp up with some heavy rain and infrequent lightning starting to appear.

Pic 1 Bit of structure tried to form with the main band Pic 2 A good dump of rain just to my South East (headed towards Oakey) Pic 3 Isolated Storm formed earlier ahead of the main band.
007A5230.jpg
007A4669.jpg

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Tsunami

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 6, 2019
864
5,379
263
Cleveland SE QLD
I remember posting a few weeks back that who ever designed brisbane weather radar must of designed Townsville radar, as a few weeks back when they were getting bad weather and a cyclone was about the radar died.
Now were getting a spell of wet weather and what do you know our weather radar drops out. Least its reliable lol
 

Multiversity

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 29, 2019
618
3,438
263
Winds swinging around from SW to SE to NE as morning progresses - I see that Bris has got a little offshore winds wrapping around the low off central NSW which is forcing predominantly onshore feed to deflect around Bris. Uppers are all W. Might we get a few stream showers sneaking onshore later?
 

Ken Kato

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 13, 2019
3,393
30,656
363
Brisbane
Why is is fine on the Gold Coast and not showers ? Has the onshore flow eased up ?,
Yep. The southern end of the deepening coastal trough that's digging down along the northern NSW coast is bordering on forming a small circulation there and the onshore flow over us has therefore been interrupted. The main increase in showers/local thunder hasn't been forecast to occur until this weekend (moreso Sunday) though so not unexpected.
The onshore flow tries to come in a little bit this arvo but it doesn't really become well-established again til later on in the day tomorrow. So until then, I'd expect any showers/thunder to be fairly localised, then a bit of an increase tomorrow, then a bigger increase on Sunday. This activity spreads further inland in the afternoon hours then contracts closer to the coast overnight/early morning.
 

chunky

Pool Room
Jul 24, 1998
40,132
6,314
1,563
brisbane,qld,aus
It's taken me a few days to get around to editing a couple of photo's from Sunday's chase out on the downs. Once again I wasn't expecting too much in the way of structure but thought with storm season coming to an end soon I'd best make the most of it. These shot's were all taken just to the West of Dalby. I wasn't until after 5pm that things started to ramp up with some heavy rain and infrequent lightning starting to appear.

Pic 1 Bit of structure tried to form with the main band Pic 2 A good dump of rain just to my South East (headed towards Oakey) Pic 3 Isolated Storm formed earlier ahead of the main band.
007A5230.jpg
007A4669.jpg

007A4398.jpg
So I was in the south near Goondiwindi and had similiar scenes. Some very infrequent lightning but very nice when it did happen. Bc it was so infrequent I couldn't adjust my settings to get the trigger to fire when I needed it to.
 

Sandbank

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 7, 2019
611
5,148
263
Caloundra South and Stanthorpe
Yep. The southern end of the deepening coastal trough that's digging down along the northern NSW coast is bordering on forming a small circulation there and the onshore flow over us has therefore been interrupted. The main increase in showers/local thunder hasn't been forecast to occur until this weekend (moreso Sunday) though so not unexpected.
The onshore flow tries to come in a little bit this arvo but it doesn't really become well-established again til later on in the day tomorrow. So until then, I'd expect any showers/thunder to be fairly localised, then a bit of an increase tomorrow, then a bigger increase on Sunday. This activity spreads further inland in the afternoon hours then contracts closer to the coast overnight/early morning.
Thanks for that Ken.
 

Seabreezes

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 4, 2019
430
3,689
263
South West Rocks, NSW
At present, the current flood warnings on the Mid North Coast are:
Moderate flood warning for the Orara River
Minor to Moderate flood warning for the Bellinger River
Moderate to Major flood warning for the Nambucca River
Minor to Moderate flood warning for the Macleay River
Moderate to Major flood warning for the Hastings River
Moderate to Major flood warning for the Camden Haven River
Moderate flood warning for the Manning River
Major flood warning for the Gloucester River
Minor flood warning for the Myall River


In the six hours since 9am today, up to 210mm has fallen on the northern half of the MNC, with a stretch of 100mm+ falls from the Nambucca Valley area across into the mid-catchment of the Macleay behind Kempsey, and then continuing over into the Hastings Valley. A thunderstorm affecting the Nambucca Valley area brought 108mm in the hour between 10am and 11am at Bowraville.

The Macleay River continuing to rise (there's a bridge under there, I promise :)):
87c3a8e4-6ae4-44ba-9ed7-448a88944e42 (3).jpeg


Just 25.2mm since 9am this morning here, we've managed to avoid most of the heavy stuff since mid-morning.
 

SkittlesonWallis

Hard Yards
Aug 6, 2019
27
194
83
South east qld
It's taken me a few days to get around to editing a couple of photo's from Sunday's chase out on the downs. Once again I wasn't expecting too much in the way of structure but thought with storm season coming to an end soon I'd best make the most of it. These shot's were all taken just to the West of Dalby. I wasn't until after 5pm that things started to ramp up with some heavy rain and infrequent lightning starting to appear.

Pic 1 Bit of structure tried to form with the main band Pic 2 A good dump of rain just to my South East (headed towards Oakey) Pic 3 Isolated Storm formed earlier ahead of the main band.
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Absolutely stunning , wow !!!! Keep up the amazing work .
 

Ken Kato

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 13, 2019
3,393
30,656
363
Brisbane
At present, the current flood warnings on the Mid North Coast are:
Moderate flood warning for the Orara River
Minor to Moderate flood warning for the Bellinger River
Moderate to Major flood warning for the Nambucca River
Minor to Moderate flood warning for the Macleay River
Moderate to Major flood warning for the Hastings River
Moderate to Major flood warning for the Camden Haven River
Moderate flood warning for the Manning River
Major flood warning for the Gloucester River
Minor flood warning for the Myall River


In the six hours since 9am today, up to 210mm has fallen on the northern half of the MNC, with a stretch of 100mm+ falls from the Nambucca Valley area across into the mid-catchment of the Macleay behind Kempsey, and then continuing over into the Hastings Valley. A thunderstorm affecting the Nambucca Valley area brought 108mm in the hour between 10am and 11am at Bowraville.

The Macleay River continuing to rise (there's a bridge under there, I promise :)):
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Just 25.2mm since 9am this morning here, we've managed to avoid most of the heavy stuff since mid-morning.
That area's had so much rain in recent months, I actually can't even remember what bridge looks like now haha
 
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