One of Us
- May 27, 2019
I understand that it’s ‘chance’ of exceeding rainfall and also the median. However, looking at the forecasts for Brisbane and models it doesn’t seem likely that anything close to those falls will come off by the 24thit’s generated with access S and its only one week time scale and it says high chance of exceeding median for that typical week of the year. So to make any sense of it you need to understand the median for this typical week of the year which looks like pic below which is pretty much ordinary to nothing rain. So while the colours look great on the chance above median map the reality is it ain’t much at all. One of the reasons I generally find chance above median ain’t much guidance for short timescales for rainfall.