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Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Sandy, Jul 8, 2010.
Stay on topic.
Yes IMO should. Say yes to IMO. IMO is AOK.
Anyway, sytem progressing as predicted so far. Been very predictable season event wise.
Vic BOM only going for scattered snow showers today. Looking at the sat pictures, I'm not overly hopeful.
NSW BOM still hopefull for somewhere in the vicinity of 18-35cm of snow for Perisher Valley today and tomorrow. If the higher amount comes off along with the 6cm they are reporting overnight then they would have done well.
The trough coming through tonight will help spruke totals up IMO
Pressure is good IMO. Better than it has been this season.
I like the look of the Sattelite loop at the moment and still confident we can get close to 30cm in NSW by Thursday morning. IMO
just looked at a couple of Mountain Cams. What's that wierd white stuff on the ground?
30cm is possible in NSW, but I think Victoria we're looking at 15cm, perhaps a little more for Hotham/Falls if all goes well. That's not going to be enough to open anything without man made. IMO.
Yeah think you are right CC. IMO this will just get us back to where we were before the rain. Enough to ski with top ups from snow guns but not enough coverage to open non man made areas
Well it will be better than before the rain, because before the rain there was zero outside of manmade areas. Natural snow on the ground increases vibe in my books, unfortunately I don't see any new terrain opening (at Hotham) until some more snow.
IMO I don't see much more snow in the next few days, up to 15cm perhaps, all useful, but at this stage of the season we really need some dumps (>30cms) and a few dumps back to back.
Hey Squidly, What is this based on pressure radar, sat loop?
Based on BOM rainfall models and air pressure. Locally some places may get more than 15cm, but 15cm average is within the ballpark.
IMO this still has abit in it, GFS has very accurately predicted moisture amounts for this system and still predicts 10-15mm over the alps in the six hours to 10am tomorrow.
The second huge band coming now IMO will give Buller LM and Baw Baw a nice amount tonight Total for LM after this ones finished between 15 to 20cm.
Will that second band coming from the SW hit the NSW mountains, as it appears like its on track however from experience these bands coming from the SW seem to always dissipate before they get there or slide right under?
Its doubtful that the "blob" or band on the radar will make it to NSW in its current form. The bands that hit NSW seem to change significantly from the coast to the mountains, sometimes for the better sometimes for worse. That "blob" just north of albury looks good for NSW.
Baw Baw and LM are the only resorts where cloud bands seeme to move relatively unabated from the coast to the mountains and that only occurs in a SW feed. This is all MO.
the blob is moving NE
IMO i reckon it will hit all the vic resorts
I think around the 15cm mark overnight is about right. Total for the system 25-30cm by the end of tomorrow. Some good wind blown cornices will be formed and allot of holes will start to fill in.
off topic - deleted.