New Zealand mountain weather for 2021.

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
22,966
36,625
1,063
Eastern Burbs of Sydney
Southland region could easily see snow down to 200/300m ASL.
But yeah, as you say it's got 'Canterbury-special' written all over it with that SW'ly fetch.
 

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
22,966
36,625
1,063
Eastern Burbs of Sydney
Monday night looking like some epic Autumn temps for The Catlins.
Snow to 250/300m ASL IMO.

Upwards of 15-20cm for Mount Aspiring NP & Canterbury regions.
gfs.stormcast.bsch.init-2021042200z.fcst-202104261800z.t500.nz.null.0.png
 

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
22,966
36,625
1,063
Eastern Burbs of Sydney
MetService going for Snow to 600m tonight/tomorrow in Southland & Otago regions.

I think they're undercooking it with FL's hovering around 950m, until tomorrow night when they lower to ~850m in the deep South. Snow down to 500m IMO.
Snow flurries possible in Queenstown tomorrow IMO.

10mm/hr fall rates for parts of the elevated Canterbury Region.
 

Red_switch

Old n' Crusty
Ski Pass
Jun 5, 2006
26,079
12,278
1,063
Dunedin, NZ
Yah.
Frontal band delivering in from West which is where it’ll favour Central South Island.
SW’ly follow up looks favourable for additional falls over next 24.
A736E8AB-09D6-414C-A908-AB0D41A97E37.jpeg
Central Southern Alps, yeah. That doesn't quite equate with what we more generally consider Canterbury, especially in skiing terms.
 
  • Like
Reactions: POW Hungry

Kimski

One of Us
Ski Pass
Jul 13, 2010
1,568
2,161
363
Yah.
Frontal band delivering in from West which is where it’ll favour Central South Island.
SW’ly follow up looks favourable for additional falls over next 24.
A736E8AB-09D6-414C-A908-AB0D41A97E37.jpeg
I’ve just booked flights to Queenstown for early August so I’m now officially invested in NZ weather. Here’s hoping I get better snow than Honshu 2020 (Shiga Kogen was pretty good to be fair).
 
  • Like
Reactions: snowgum and piolet

Zimbooo

One of Us
Nov 20, 2017
3,512
4,098
363
Snow from 1500 to 1000 metres over the weekend. then Monday/Tuesday, in particular, looks like it will be nice and cold with snow in the southern lakes down to 500 metres.
What do you think weather gurus? 10-20cms?
 
  • Like
Reactions: Kimski

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
22,966
36,625
1,063
Eastern Burbs of Sydney
But in all seriousness, they do a great job for NZ.
Love their forecasting format.

Latest bulletin:
Issued at 1:23pm Monday 17 May 2021

Snow in the South

The changeable weather continues as fronts march across the country, with MetService forecasting snow showers to low altitudes for southern parts of the South Island tomorrow (Tuesday) morning.

A low pressure system moving across the North Island today (Monday) sweeps across a band of rain, heavier and more persistent for southwestern parts with a risk of thunderstorms and strong wind gusts. A Heavy Rain Watch is in place for Horowhenua, Kapiti, Wellington, and the Tararua Range.

Turning our attention to the south, a cold front over Fiordland makes its way up the South Island this afternoon and evening, bringing rain to the West Coast, Otago, and Southland, then another one follows overnight going into Tuesday. A Heavy Rain Watch is in place for Fiordland.

The real kicker is the cold unstable air behind the second front, where wintery showers are expected to fall as snow to low levels: 200 metres for Southland, Clutha, and Fiordland; and 300 metres for Otago. A Heavy Snow Warning is in place for Fiordland and a Heavy Snow Watch is in place for Southland, Clutha, and Central Otago. The lowest snow is expected early in the morning, with the snow level set to rise throughout the day. There is also a risk of gusty thunderstorms and hail in the morning in the south and west.

Road Snow Warnings have been issued for many higher roads. Snow settling on roads can make driving hazardous. As usual, be sure to check out the NZTA website for potential impacts to travel. Meteorologist Dan Corrigan remarks, "We're expecting this to be the lowest snow so far this year. With last week's snowfall as well, it's beginning to feel a bit like winter."

While snowfall does bring about risk for livestock and transport, the new topping of snow will be welcomed by the ski fields in the Queenstown Lakes District in preparation for the snow season.

Furthermore, southwesterly winds may approach severe gale in exposed places for the lower South Island from later tomorrow morning into the evening. Strong Wind Watches are in place.

Meanwhile, the first cold front quickly crosses the North Island tomorrow morning, ushering in a showery day for most, but staying mostly fine in the east. However, a Strong Wind Warning has been issued for Hawke's Bay and the Tararua District, where northwesterly winds may approach severe gale in exposed places, while Wellington and the rest of the Wairarapa are under a Strong Wind Watch. There is also a risk of morning thunderstorms with strong wind gusts in the west from Auckland down to Taranaki.

The cold airmass restricts daytime maximum temperatures to the low teens in the South Island - 10C and under south of Dunedin. North Island temperatures remain around average for mid-May.

The wild weather eases on Wednesday, with a few showers continuing in the west of both islands, and mostly clear skies in the east.

This easing trend continues into Thursday, and remaining showers clear for the North Island.

Keep up to date with the latest forecasts and any watches/warnings at metservice.com

You can also follow our updates on MetService TV, at MetService New Zealand on Facebook, @metservice and @MetServiceWARN on Twitter
 

Donza

Dogs body...
Ski Pass
Platinum
Apr 21, 2004
125,357
79,745
3,563
woonona
wish i was heading over a few more times in the next bit!
No no...you can go to Melbourne!

Snow level looks 1400 ish. However with those fall rates i'd expect lower.
Rivers will be running out of the hills.
 
  • Like
Reactions: piolet

ScottGN

One of Us
Ski Pass
Apr 14, 2010
4,259
6,069
363
Tāmaki Makaurau - Auckland
Metservice has issued a Red Warning (a dangerous weather event) for Canterbury High Country and foothills to the Alps. Persistent heavy rain from Saturday arvo to Monday morning falling as snow above 1000-1200 metres. 200-300 mm accumulations are possible.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Untele-whippet
Remove ads with a
Ski Pass