North America Weather 2018/19

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Wardy, Aug 27, 2018.

  1. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,096
    Likes Received:
    470
  2. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
    Yeah I saw the G Tetons got some Summer snow overnight.
     
  3. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,096
    Likes Received:
    470
    Excited already LOL. And here's the Almanac summary - always on point... ;)

    [​IMG]
     
    POW_hungry likes this.
  4. Sbooker

    Sbooker Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Sep 28, 2015
    Messages:
    379
    Likes Received:
    223
    First season in 6 that I won't be heading to North America. Always interested in seeing the change of seasons and checking the snow reports.
    I am heading to Austria/Italy and they got there first snowfall of the new season about a day ago. 30 to 40cm in places. It will all melt quickly of course but hopefully it's a sign of things to come.
     
    Wardy likes this.
  5. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Walking on a dream
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    6,085
    Likes Received:
    5,596
    DiscoStuAU likes this.
  6. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,096
    Likes Received:
    470
    Jellybeans1000 likes this.
  7. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
  8. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    15,867
    Likes Received:
    13,749
    N Hem lights up.

    fb rip from here.
     
  9. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
    Currently a weak MJO contributing to weak, stagnant tropical circulation.
     
    nfip likes this.
  10. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Walking on a dream
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    6,085
    Likes Received:
    5,596
    Typhoon Mangkhut making landfall in the Philippines.


    And Hurricane Florence making landfall in North Carolina in the States.
     
    nfip likes this.
  11. chicski

    chicski One of Us
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Feb 22, 2017
    Messages:
    4,536
    Likes Received:
    6,474
    All gobbly gook to me. Good season or bad?
     
  12. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Pool Room
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    43,880
    Likes Received:
    14,578
    Nope that’s their winter done and dusted LOL
     
  13. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Pool Room
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    43,880
    Likes Received:
    14,578
    Loving the sound of this!
     
    Wardy likes this.
  14. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    15,867
    Likes Received:
    13,749
    Interesting illustration of Hurricane Florence here.
    This has it landing somewhere between @Donzah and myself.
    Given some (un) favourable SST's I have believed for many years this is possible.
     
  15. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 19, 2014
    Messages:
    6,249
    Likes Received:
    9,749
  16. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 19, 2014
    Messages:
    6,249
    Likes Received:
    9,749
  17. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 19, 2014
    Messages:
    6,249
    Likes Received:
    9,749
    Storm cam

     
    nfip likes this.
  18. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    15,867
    Likes Received:
    13,749
    Perfect storm.
    our old mate JWX will be foaming
     
  19. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
  20. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Pool Room
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    43,880
    Likes Received:
    14,578
    It snowed yesterday at the top of Sun Peaks.

    Some much needed ground cooling LOL :out:
     
    Wardy likes this.
  21. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    15,867
    Likes Received:
    13,749
    holy ****.
    all eyes are on Florence 955 and gusting to 105 kt
    pales in comparison to Mangkhut
    central pressure 900 mb
    gusting to 190kts :eek:
    going to be some real damage from this as it tracks westwards.
    [​IMG]
     
  22. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage
    Moderator Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 1970
    Messages:
    29,039
    Likes Received:
    11,271
    Some florence footage now appearing...
     
    nfip likes this.
  23. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
    Peaks above 1500m in BC should see ~10cm or so over the weekend ahead too.
    [​IMG]
     
    Wardy likes this.
  24. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike
    Moderator Platinum Pass

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    105,284
    Likes Received:
    41,743
  25. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Walking on a dream
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    6,085
    Likes Received:
    5,596
    Praying for all those who have their lives and property on the line.
     
    Kletterer likes this.
  26. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike
    Moderator Platinum Pass

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    105,284
    Likes Received:
    41,743
    Thoughts and prayers ...
     
    Jellybeans1000 likes this.
  27. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
    Dave Harvey, Magnum Photog has been posting from Avalon some 200kms North of the landfall location.
     
    Claude Cat and Kletterer like this.
  28. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Pool Room
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    43,880
    Likes Received:
    14,578
  29. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,096
    Likes Received:
    470
    works every time...
     
  30. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 30, 2015
    Messages:
    1,060
    Likes Received:
    2,440
    One of my friends is in the Canadian Rockies ATM, he posted some photos to insta and it looks a bit cold...

     
  31. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Pool Room
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    43,880
    Likes Received:
    14,578
    thanks for that. I see the elevated timber walkway is at Johnston Canyon near Banff. Just added that to my list of things to do while we are there
     
    Wardy and DiscoStuAU like this.
  32. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
    Banff did a little better than most over the weekend.
     
    Jellybeans1000 and Wardy like this.
  33. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Walking on a dream
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    6,085
    Likes Received:
    5,596
    https://longrangesnowcenter.blogspot.com/2018/09/another-september-winter-2018-19.html

    Another update to my ongoing build up to the seasonal outlook for North America. Just looking at the data together, I don't want to make any definitive forecasts, but it looks like a good start for the West Coast, and perhaps a more neutral or East Coast pattern in the later stages of winter.

    To add to that, Banff is getting ready for winter on top of the fall a few days ago, with a nice foot or so.

     
    Wardy likes this.
  34. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
    A-Basin, CO has commenced it’s earliest snowmaking in 10 years overnight.
    They’re tentatively looking to open in 4 weeks, as usual.
     
    chicski likes this.
  35. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
    Latest GFS Arctic 10mb view progs a rapid strengthening of the Polar Vortex over Northern Canada & Alaska.
    IMO October is gearing up rather quick for North America.

    Today:
    [​IMG]

    Next Weekend:
    [​IMG]
     
  36. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,096
    Likes Received:
    470
    Heading to Colorado in the second half of Jan so hoping for a better start to that end of the Rockies than last year...
     
    chicski likes this.
  37. chicski

    chicski One of Us
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Feb 22, 2017
    Messages:
    4,536
    Likes Received:
    6,474
    Ditto, except I’ve pushed it back to late Feb this year.
     
    Wardy likes this.
  38. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
  39. Bogan Daddy

    Bogan Daddy Early Days

    Joined:
    May 26, 2018
    Messages:
    23
    Likes Received:
    8
    Yep, spoke with the family in Banff and Calgary got hammered. Less at Louise, Banff and Sunshine though. It's a bit late this year compared to the last 2. In Whistler 2nd week of Jan. Worried about rain. Been at Banff and Big White and its only POW there. Thoughts?
     
  40. absentskier

    absentskier Old n' Crusty
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 10, 2010
    Messages:
    23,826
    Likes Received:
    12,524
    I have skied in rain at Big White in January by the way! It can happen.

    Whistler's vertical makes it very different to Banff and Big White (as well as the maritime climate obviously). You should expect rain at village and lower levels (doesn't mean it is guaranteed, but it's very common). That means it'll snow in the alpine. To say that the terrain up there is different from Big White is a colossal understatement!
     
  41. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,096
    Likes Received:
    470
    No way to predict it this far out so just go and have fun. Alpine usually a safe bet as discussed. New Blackcomb gondola means less chance of getting wet at the bottom...
     
  42. Bogan Daddy

    Bogan Daddy Early Days

    Joined:
    May 26, 2018
    Messages:
    23
    Likes Received:
    8
    Figured. Said it was like Thredbo with 4 different snow's coming down and rain at the bottom. Pity about the gondola we are on the other side. Wife does not like getting wet......

    Should be worth it for the experience, though suspect the kids will leave the parents for dead. Will keep people posted on Banff as my sister in law has lived there for 30 years.
     
    Wardy likes this.
  43. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Walking on a dream
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    6,085
    Likes Received:
    5,596
    Latest EC Seasonal is out.


    It's not a done deal by a long shot, but it's not looking amazing for the West.
     
    Wardy likes this.
  44. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
  45. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Pool Room
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    43,880
    Likes Received:
    14,578
    Canmore, just west of Calgary is expecting an overnight minimum of -11 on Tuesday
     
  46. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,096
    Likes Received:
    470
    Dynamic...

    [​IMG]
     
  47. Kletterer

    Kletterer Loading Dock Manager
    Moderator Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2014
    Messages:
    13,947
    Likes Received:
    13,035
    Micheal could get a bit nasty.
     
    POW_hungry likes this.
  48. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
    Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    14,899
    Likes Received:
    13,943
    Well... that escalated quickly...
     
    MarzNC, Jellybeans1000 and Kletterer like this.
  49. MarzNC

    MarzNC Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2017
    Messages:
    297
    Likes Received:
    152
    It did. And not just along the coast. Georgia is a mess.

    92 out of 100 counties in the state of North Carolina where I live have flash flood warnings for tomorrow. Could get over 5 inches of rain in the next day in central NC. NC State Fair was supposed to open in Raleigh but will delay a day. That's a big deal financially. Most counties in central NC have cancelled school due to the threat of high winds, rain, and tornadoes. Univ. of Wilmington on the coast just re-opened for classes on Oct. 8 after severe flooding and damage from Hurricane Florence. Students had to evacuate on Sept. 10, a few days before the storm made landfall right over campus. Had to cancelled classes again for the end of this week.
     
  50. Kletterer

    Kletterer Loading Dock Manager
    Moderator Ski Pass - Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2014
    Messages:
    13,947
    Likes Received:
    13,035
    A lot of folks who evacuated still dont know how their houses were affected.