NSW/ACT Northern Tablelands - Cold Fronts with Snow Chances Winter 2020

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
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Good thread. What are your thoughts on expending it 'Northern Tablealands'? Might have a bit more reach and interest.

Anyhow, looking dry North of Cesnock. It's best chance of polar moisture was probably last night.
10-12mm for the region so a good drop considering it was frontal.
I doubt it saw flakage though.
 
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Greysrigging

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Some old Guyra pics ( End of June 1977 )
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Adaminaby Angler

One of Us
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Same height ASL as Thredbo village so hope it gets some. Walcha too maybe?
Ummm, you do know that Thredbo Village is at 36° S, whereas Guyra is at 30° S, correct? Latitude makes all the difference in winter; Guyra's average winter max is 10° C-ish, which equates to about 450 m AMSL at 36° S on the windward slopes (even Rosewood, NSW @ 460 m has a colder max than Guyra @ 1,330 m)…a massive difference!

As for Guyra's snow chances—I'm not expecting anything more than a dusting there all year, as usual. Too far north for anything substantial.
 

Paul Cirrus

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This thread mainly for the northern half of nsw towards the coast and the se qld's who go to visit. Doesn't matter what lattitude its on or where it is. It is the same height as thredbo village but yeah much further north but it gets more than a dusting most years. I was there 2 years ago and highway shut. Massive snow. Can happen 10 times a year to twice. Better than any major town that far north. I haven't bothered with stanthorpe one i discovered guys, absolutely great 5 hour drive from brisbane and very popular when it on. I think this year will be good. Forecast for this town gives a good indication for the surrounding so i'll keep the name.
 
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INDI

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What about Kaputar?
From memory the Mt Dowe AWS on the Mt Kaputar massif is about 1460m asl, not the highest point which is about 1524m asl. Stunning part of NSW.
A couple of interesting things about Mt Kaputar - the most northerly stand of snow gums in Oz, also lore has it that, being on the edge of the western plains, you can see 10% of the area of NSW from the highest geodetic trig point.
 
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INDI

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It would be great to have an aws at Point Lookout, between Ebor and Wollomombi Falls. Altitude there is 1575m asl, with insane views down the Bellinger Valley out over the Pacific Ocean.
One of the better lookouts in the country, up in the snow gums.
 

Legs Akimbo

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I worked in Armidale from July to July a few decades ago. 2 or 3 times there was enough snow to be extremely annoying but not useful. It's like snow on Barrington Tops. No surprise but not frequent. The westerlies howling down Beardy St mall is more bitter memory.
 
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INDI

Hard Yards
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My favourite Guyra story back when I was a kid was about the panther people would spot from time to time. It was a bit scary those stories but we lived an hour away so it was not too much of a worry.
Like the famous Blue Mountains black panther - with multiple, multiple sightings recorded by Rex Gilroy
 
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POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
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BoM now going for 1100m snow in Northern Tablelands.
Monday 1 June
Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm on and west of the ranges, slight (20%) chance elsewhere. The chance of snow flurries above 1100 metres in the south in the late evening. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming northwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then turning westerly 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 23.

Gently gently they're getting there.
 

warrie

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From memory the Mt Dowe AWS on the Mt Kaputar massif is about 1460m asl, not the highest point which is about 1524m asl. Stunning part of NSW.
A couple of interesting things about Mt Kaputar - the most northerly stand of snow gums in Oz, also lore has it that, being on the edge of the western plains, you can see 10% of the area of NSW from the highest geodetic trig point.
Link to Mt Dowe webcam. https://ozforecast.com.au/cgi-bin/weatherstation.cgi?station=11215

No snow at present as per chat re snow at Guyra 2nd June...... W
 
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AnnerleyX1

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Jun 11, 2020
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Seems like a pretty good chance of snow about the NT’s next Monday afternoon/night and into Tuesday morning? Cutoff low going on a QLD-bound adventure purely to piss off everyone waiting for snow down south.

Might head down if it keeps looking good.
 

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
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Monday night might see snow above 1200m, but Tuesday 1-5am is the window of opportunity for snow above 1000m on the NT's IMO.

Moisture however may be an issue.
Brief showery stuff. Unfortunately I can't see much chance of accumulation.
 
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POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
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Some instability floating around in that trough which is now circa Griffith.
Looks like one TS with deep convective bands on the IR Sat this arvo. Still a chance IMO.
upload_2020-6-22_16-5-57.png
 
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AnnerleyX1

Hard Yards
Jun 11, 2020
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Headed down, and yeah, just not enough moisture really. Some settled snow south of Walcha, and on and off showers of sleet and flakes all morning in Guyra but not enough to settle. Temperatures plenty cold enough (-1 to 1 C) but just weak bands of showers.
 

skichanger

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I worked in Armidale from July to July a few decades ago. 2 or 3 times there was enough snow to be extremely annoying but not useful. It's like snow on Barrington Tops. No surprise but not frequent. The westerlies howling down Beardy St mall is more bitter memory.
We used to glide out of Armidale airport. Coukd leave Tamworth on a beautiful sunny winter day to find a foot of snow on Armidale airport
 
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skichanger

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From memory the Mt Dowe AWS on the Mt Kaputar massif is about 1460m asl, not the highest point which is about 1524m asl. Stunning part of NSW.
A couple of interesting things about Mt Kaputar - the most northerly stand of snow gums in Oz, also lore has it that, being on the edge of the western plains, you can see 10% of the area of NSW from the highest geodetic trig point.
My father was an engineer with the PMG. We used to camp at Kaputar in school holidays. It was a treat to go and watch TV in the repeater station. Lots of fond memories.
 
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warrie

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From memory the Mt Dowe AWS on the Mt Kaputar massif is about 1460m asl, not the highest point which is about 1524m asl. Stunning part of NSW.
A couple of interesting things about Mt Kaputar - the most northerly stand of snow gums in Oz, also lore has it that, being on the edge of the western plains, you can see 10% of the area of NSW from the highest geodetic trig point.
Not lore but Physics. 1524 m x 12.5 then get sq root gives distance to horizon in km. Gives 138 km. Then pi x 138 squared = about 60,000 sq km, NSW is 800,000 sq km so if land was flat in all directions from summit you could see 7.5 %. Too hilly to east but westward OK so maybe you can really see 5% of NSW.................w
 
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