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Day to Day Northern Territory

Discussion in 'Daily & Chat' started by Greysrigging, Sep 30, 2019.

  1. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    40 year resident of Darwin but have worked all over the NT.... North, South ( not so much ) East and West.
    Not a technical bloke.... an observer mainly.
    Been recording weather stats and pics and stuff for most of those 40 years..... not to mention pics and recordings of weather events down south ( east, south and west ). I'm a bit of a stats Nazi and am very interested in modern anomalies re historical records
    For the stats minded we have just had our coolest minimum Sept average since 2014 ( 20.2c ) on top of an excellent 'Dry Season' of 71 nights below 20c. Interestingly the 4 coldest Sept minimums on average have been 2004, 2006, 2014 and 2019.
    The 'build up' is in full swing as of the 1st Oct.... we are all hanging out for the first rains/storms.
    Inland NT has approached record territory re maximum temps the last few days... exceeded 40c in many places.....
     
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  2. Legs Akimbo

    Legs Akimbo Grumblebum Ski Pass: Gold

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    Pshaw. NT weather is simple. 34 degrees and dry from May to October or November, then 34 degrees with oppressive humidity and storms. The only challenge is precise identification of the flip.

    South of Katherine it's dry with occasional wet patches.
     
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  3. skifree

    skifree A disciple of the blessed avi giraffe Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    NT is big, very big. And it’s weather surprisingly complex when you get into the detail.

    True if all you need to know is to wear thongs or jandles it’s simple.
     
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  4. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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  5. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    We get some wicked storms out in the VRD.... see if I can get a few pics and post 'em up. Mind you, the storm season is expected to be delayed a bit this season.... see how we go.....
     
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  6. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Yeah the VRD can certainly turn on some incredible lightning displays that's for sure. We often head down there during the storm season to get some shots. That escarpment country around the Vic River is some of my favorite scenery in the entire Top End.

    I look forward to your shots.

    Here's a quick one from the Buntine Highway turnoff...

    EDIT - Hey mods what do you reckon we make this topic a day to day thread for the Top End wet season in the tropics forums?

    [​IMG]
    Buntine Highway Lightning
    by Orebound Images, on Flickr
     
  7. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Yeah, there would be a bit of activity posting wise once the 'build up' kicks in....
     
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  8. skifree

    skifree A disciple of the blessed avi giraffe Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    @POW_hungry @Claude Cat , please see post #6, I dunno what the difference is, a thread is a thread and if folks want they can post day to day.

    Or is there some special majik in weather?
     
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  9. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    @Orebound in few weeks, at the advent of 19/20 season, we’ll be firing up the Cyclone/Wet season thread. At caution of spreading multiple threads too far and thin do you think this will suffice? We can fire that thread up now if you want.
     
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  10. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Bring it on.....
    ( from a few years ago and not my pic )
    I'm in the Northern Suburbs of Darwin ( Leanyer ) and we don't do so well generally from early season 'build up' storms. Inland rural areas fire up much earlier than us. The standing joke is of the 'Force Field' surrounding the Northern 'Burbs keeping the storms at bay. Lost count of the number of times I've watched storms such as the one pictured get to about Karama and disappear before ones very eyes..... ( sigh )
     
  11. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Righte - oh.... OCT 2019 is shaping up as an ordinary month storm and rainfall wise and the Outlook published by the BOM doesn't look real good.

    All weather fanatics who live in Darwin believe in the 'Force Field' that surrounds the Northern 'Burbs. That invisible storm killer that dissipates storms before our very eyes as we watch them collapse or head off toward East Arm or Shoal Bay.

    But.... do the rainfall stats actually back this up ?

    Some quick figures for Oct from various parts of the Town and Rural Areas going back to around 1990.

    Monthly Averages Oct. Since 1990 - Wettest - Driest

    Airport - 70.2mm - 157.8 - 1.8

    Botanical Gardens - 65mm 190.2 - 0.0

    East Arm Port - 72mm 210.0 - 17.4

    Leanyer - 67.8mm 189.5 - 6.4

    Yarrawonga ( Palmy ) - 57mm 185.2 - 0.0

    Berrimah Farm - 78.7mm 199.9 - 2.0

    Berrimah CSIRO - 74.6mm 189.6 - 2.4

    McMinns Lagoon - 78.8mm 181.6 - 0.0

    Shoal Bay - 66.2mm 193.3 - 0.5

    Elizabeth Valley - 67.1mm 159.9 - 0.0

    Howard Springs - 67.3mm 269.2 - 0.0

    Humpty Doo - 78.2mm 222.1 - 0.0

    So what does it mean ? Buggered if I know, but confirms my 40 years of observations/suspicions that

    A/- Berrimah and the 11 mile gets more and better storms than Leanyer....

    B/- So does Humpty Doo, McMinns etc....

    Seriously but, the totals across the region on average are pretty close. The Rural stations get substantially more extreme monthly rain fall totals in excess of 100mm, but this is offset in the figures with far more 'dry' Octobers of less than 10mm.

    So if we are to believe the BOM Outlook, we could be in for a 5% Percentile monthy total in the Darwin region..... mind you one storm that lands in a gauge.... well there is the monthly average ?
     
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  12. mannyk

    mannyk One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Welcome to the forum, theres a few Dawinites in here. I was born and bred, Nightcliff primary/High, til Tracy sent me to boarding school in Adelaide. Long time Family (father) business. Dad was NT news first Photographer. Old tin shed at the wharf end of Smith st.
     
    #12 mannyk, Oct 10, 2019
    Last edited: Oct 12, 2019
  13. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  14. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Close to half way through the month and Nil rain recorded at the Airport Site, let alone the Northern Suburbs Desert.
    . We average around 68mm for October, but its a variable month..... depends on when the first 'build up' storms appear, and this year it is a bit slow . Our 'indicator' plants in the gardens are coming to life, as well as the green tree frogs calling for stray hook ups, so all the signs are out there for some moisture, but... still at least a week away ( or more ) methinks.
     
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  15. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    An impressive October heatwave under way across the Top End, VRD and East Kimberley. Even coastal Darwin has a forecast of 36c tomorrow. Tindal RAAF Base, Katherine has clocked a pair of rounded 43c maxs, Bradshaw out in the VRD 43.7 yesterday. I'm heading out there tomorrow for a demolition job near Timber Creek.... haha.... dreading it !
    41c forecast for Darwin rural areas the next few days...... and no sign of rain in the foreseeable future.... ( sigh ).
     
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  16. Legs Akimbo

    Legs Akimbo Grumblebum Ski Pass: Gold

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    Haven't you got to the point where it is OK just to start a fire?
     
  17. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Struggling at work today.... ( yesterday was worse... )
     
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  18. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Yeah it's been fairly brutal across most of the Top End that's for sure. Thankfully it's starting to look like there may be a few thunderstorms on the horizon for the NW Top End later in the week with some isolated stuff spreading into the VRD over the weekend.

    Looks like your garden variety sea breeze boundary stuff confined to the rural areas and down along that Litchfield to Douglas/Daly corridor so Darwin itself might struggle to see much in my opinion with upper level steering winds not ideal.

    Might be a good chance to get out and grab a few lightning shots though, god knows we're due for a few bolts! Can't ever remember having to wait this long for the Top End to start producing. Smoke haze is still fairly intense out there though so even that might be a task.
     
  19. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Jeez I hope so.... its been brutal out Bradshaw - Timber Creek region with the Defence site hitting 44c on Sunday. We are working about 15klm from the AWS there....
     
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  20. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Starting to look a bit more like the build-up out there today with a fair splattering of thundery showers going up under a weak cap, we should be looking at some better stuff as the weekend progresses. I certainly haven't seen the Darwin area this dry in my time here so god knows some rain wouldn't go astray.

     
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  21. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    A couple weakish showery things on the horizon this afternoon makes for a nice change from the unrelenting blue skies of the past few months I guess. Quietly confident though that it won't be too much longer until we start to see some more substantial storm activity, as we should be by this time of year!

    [​IMG]
    Changing Seasons
    by Orebound Images, on Flickr
     
  22. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Short sharp shower in Timber Creek last night. Some thunder and lightning around 1.30am.
    a small cell over Bradshaw dropped the temp from 40c to 32c.... was as if the Big Fella upstairs had flicked on the aircon....
     
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  23. hotsaki

    hotsaki One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    SFA in Coconut Grove so far.Have forgotten what rain looks and sounds like.
     
  24. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Heavy shower up in the far northern burbs at the moment with convection tending to go up early under a loose cap again. Spot showers and weak storms the order for today again, someone will get wet :whistle:



     
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  25. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    The Northern 'Burbs Force Field must have been down
    Nightcliff today..... ( Caroline Brooksby pics )
     
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  26. usedtacould

    usedtacould Hard Yards

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    I gave up today and drove to Palmy to see some rain !! and it did
     
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  27. mannyk

    mannyk One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    My old stomping ground. I know every rock and cave in that area. If you dont know theres a great cave at the point you see.. Sometimes filled up with sand, but not completely. The point was also a dumping ground for old military stuff. Behind where the pool is. You could see the stuff back then, Caught whiting off the beach used my spear gun to chase fish .and surfed there in the wet season and chased girls.. Good play ground growing up. Brings back a lot of memories.
     
  28. MegaMatch

    MegaMatch One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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  29. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    ^^My last garden and household water bill was the stuff of nightmares.....
     
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  30. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    The seasonal drought in Leanyer is broken !! 10.2mm today.... first rain since early May !
    And someone is gunna do alright outta this one.....
     
  31. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Ahhhh you have overlooked the 0.2mm on the 21st August at the Airport..... ( lol )
    Probably a heavy dew ?
     
  32. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    With the 19mm yesterday it surely must be time to build that Ark! ;)

     
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  33. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Brutally hot day out along the Victoria Highway at Bradshaw/Timber Creek today.... topped out at 40ish rounded but was still around the old 100f mark as the sun set at 7.00pm.

    The ( sea ? ) breeze kicked in half an hour later and dropped us down to a pleasant 33.8c....
     
  34. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Yeah it can certainly get fairly unpleasant down there at this time of year but it's such an awesome part of the world once the rains come though!

    Thankfully Darwin received a little more rain overnight with the AP recording 22.6mm.

    Steering winds a tad better over the next few days for some more organized storms to approach Darwin so I'd imagine that figure should increase nicely over the next week or so, god knows it needs to!

     
    #34 Orebound, Nov 1, 2019
    Last edited: Nov 1, 2019
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  35. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Fairly heavy showers skirting the coast at the moment, was flogging down in Millner earlier too - nice to see.

     
  36. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    ^^ See where Leanyer is.... ? Well that is where the Dome is centered....
    12.8mm for October, and 12 of that fell on the 31st.
     
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  37. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Soaking rain for much of the night in Darwin with totals in the 25-50mm range. Plenty of nice falls in rural and inland parts too including Point Stuart which has accumulated close to 120mm.
     
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  38. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    A few of those rainfall figures from around the NW Top End.



    Fair old dry surge now for a few days it seems so might be it for a while.
     
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  39. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    About bloody time !

    Dark and stormy in Timber Creek last night.... for the sum total of 0.2mm rain after a 40c day
    360* view from our camp.
     
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  40. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    A couple fairly lightning active cells approaching from the east ahead of the dry surge.

     
  41. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    The dry air pushed into the VRD today.... not a cloud in the sky and topped out at 41c max. and 40 and 41 forecast for the next 7 ( rainless ) days...... sigh !
     
  42. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    An absolute horror of a day out on our bridge demolition site....42.5c at 3.30pm and brutally hot and high humidity ( Darwinesque ) in the first few hours after dawn.
    I'm home on R+R tomorrow so the tonight's forecast is.... Beer !
     
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  43. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    A Top End heatwave is expected to intensify by the weekend with Katherine ( the Tindal RAAF site ) expected to approach November record maximums of 43c.
    https://www.katherinetimes.com.au/s...0brM70q8jvNPxdWAR770nScSSJIZjdSUp6J6j4ClWXPlg

    Katherine has had a few 'official' BOM sites over the years.....the one with the longest span of records is at Katherine Council which has records dating back to 1937. These records are digitised from 1957 until the site's closure in 1985 when the Official Site moved to Tindal.
    1962 was a stand out hot November with 3 consecutive days exceeding 45c, the all time record for any month ( 45.6c ) occurring on the 14th.
    6 consecutive days exceeded 40c, and 9 days exceeded 40c that November. The average for the month was 39.1c.... but there have been warmer Novembers than that in the undigitised records ( 1937,1946, 1948, 1951 and 1959 )
    1959 had 13 consecutive days over 40c and 14 for the month !
    Tindal had a brutal November in 2006 ( 39.6 av ) and 2009 ( 39.1 av )
    Digi records missing a day or so but in 2006 11 days exceeded 40c and 7 days exceeded 40c in 2009
    As an aside, over the years the media, when looking at temp records both max and min in Katherine, generally don't dig into the other town sites and love to spruik a 'new' record for the town.
    The impending heatwave, although impressive, is not forecast to break all time records, although might give the Tindal ones a nudge.
    1
     
  44. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    3.5mm of rain at home this arvo....
    Mind you it looked way more impressive than what was delivered ( Willoughby Owen photo )
    This was the outflow of the rain/storm at the Airport taken from the City.
    Only light rain at home.... enough to get the frogs out and in full voice.
     
    #44 Greysrigging, Nov 14, 2019
    Last edited: Nov 14, 2019
  45. wernerk

    wernerk Hard Yards

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    Good to see some rain falling. Has Uncle Hector emerged from his slumber yet?

    Don't know if I'll get an invite from work to come up to Darwin this wet season, but would be nice!

    Was last in Darwin Jan 27-Feb2 2019. First 2 days had high winds, some rain & a couple of storms, then nothing for the remainder of my stay.
     
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  46. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Last 'wet season' was a bit of a dud, and so far this year's storm season / 'build up' has been under whelming to put it mildly.
    Hector the Convector has been off his game, as has the Labelle Cell....curse you Indian Ocean Dipole....!
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hector_(cloud)
     
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  47. Orebound

    Orebound Storm Tourist Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Little baby Hector out on the islands at the moment, fairly hazy but still visible almost 100km away.



     
  48. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    ^^ yep.... there he is....:)
     
  49. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  50. MegaMatch

    MegaMatch One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Was just about to post this, how cool does that look?

    Nice photo too Orebound.
     
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