Around 5pm I had a strange experience unlike any I've had before, heading west on Elizabeth Dr at Cecil Park, just before the run down to Mamre Rd, we were in no rain at all, then up ahead was a virtual wall of rain like you see in a cartoon, it pounded down for about ten minutes and disappeared almost as fast as it had appeared. Very strange...
was it forecast (to be of the intensity and scale we recieved)? can these sorts of events be forecast?In terms of claims lodged this is shaping to be the largest hail event since Sydney April 1999. (Melbourne, Canberra and Sydney will be considered a single reinsurance event given the weather system all storms originated from).
We can certainly forecast that hail and thunderstorms are potential events. But not before an hour or so before can we really gauge where exactly and how strong these cells are going to be.was it forecast (to be of the intensity and scale we recieved)? can these sorts of events be forecast?
We have had 58mm for the event so far.
Concerning that rain wall that I drove through, it didn't feel like a micro burst as it was coming straight down with no wind and looked like a huge block of falling water, somewhat like a brick shaped object or water curtain. There was a clean cut wall where if you had stopped and stood at the spot and put out your hands you would have had one dry, and the other one wet!
If only we could press “repeat” in a week or two as another couple of events could start to bring us out of this horrendous drought!!This map can serve as a wrap-up for the event, which I think we can say is over:
So good falls over most of the state. Last nights storms filled in some of the gaps, but some locations did poorly. Sydney sites finished with around 50 - 60 mm, most of which fell on Friday 17th.