Really interesting wind rose! That high proportion of S/SSE/SE wind pattern has LaNina written all over it.The winds are strong but westerly winds. Got me thinking about last Summer so I pulled 10 min obs for Sydney Airport and created a wind rose plot. That is, Dec 20 - Feb 21.
Summer never had a chance really.
Calm conditions are included in the numbers but not shown.
Numbers going from middle to E are the percentages of all observations for the 3 months.
Anglers at 1200m is directly at the foot of the 1600m high scarp on the edge of the main range. Old Adaminaby is 5km further east of that range which makes all the difference. Cam there showed falls of a few cm which soon melted. link: https://www.windy.com/-Webcams/Aust...ene/webcams/1458434270?temp,-36.049,145.410,7
Dargan BMs. Basically been snowing on and off all day, sometimes heavily and settling. A howling wind all day. Still the same re snow and wind.
Hasn’t got above 1c.
Is that Porter Lookout, Homeboy? The view from there is so good that FM radio from Mount Canobolas can easily be heard. Canberra FM stations are also quite regular from Dural.
Snow in the pine forest is my favourite. May have done OK chasing Laurel Hill today. But I was glad to see the microclimate of Anglers Reach in action.
The OP looks like it will get plenty more tonight.
I reckon the state forests at Wee Jasper woulda been your best bet with this system (gets 1,000+ m up to 1,215 m at Tumorrama Mountain). Very close to you too.Snow in the pine forest is my favourite. May have done OK chasing Laurel Hill today. But I was glad to see the microclimate of Anglers Reach in action.
Wee Jasper Rd. maxes at just short of 900 m near the Cootamundra-Gundagai Shire/Snowy Valleys Council border (directly south of Burrinjuck), which from experience is already high enough for heavy snowfalls in a westerly. I've worked (and still do) in a seasonal forestry crew up there many times.Yes, but how high does the road go? And it’s a pretty dicey road west of Wee Jasper, particularly in heavy snow.
There is a high accessible point east of Tumut (Bondo State Forest) on the Brindabella Road. Around 1200 m and you can walk a bit higher. May have been the go today.
The ACT authorities quickly close the Brindabella Road to 2WD on the Canberra side whenever there’s decent snow, so I don’t even bother with that.
But yeah I was thinking more Bondo way—it's literally Black Springs on steroids
Here is ”peak snow” for the Central Tablelands according to Meteye - 7:00 tomorrow morning:Whats the chances of this weekends event producing some decent snow fall for the CT and OP area. The perfect storm or still way and see.
A “courageous” forecast. The OH site doesn‘t seem to be allowed to go below 5° but it happens very occasionally. The last time was 16/7/2018 when it dropped to 4.6° at the old site and 4.0° at the new one. The new site is slightly cooler for minima at all times of the year, so it might happen more often.The latest forecast has a minimum of 4C for Obs Hill on Thursday morning. When was the last time it got that low? I remember a four-point-something in the last few years but probably nothing in the fours for at least 20 years other than that. Could be wrong though.
That run of low 20's will feel warm! After all the mid-teens we've had so far plus for the forecast rest of the week.A “courageous” forecast. The OH site doesn‘t seem to be allowed to go below 5° but it happens very occasionally. The last time was 16/7/2018 when it dropped to 4.6° at the old site and 4.0° at the new one. The new site is slightly cooler for minima at all times of the year, so it might happen more often.
Before 2018, the last time it dropped beflow 5° at OH was 30/6/2010 when 4.3°, the time before that July 2007 when 3.7°.
Another thing July this year looks like having in common with July 2018 - a warm finish. The last 5 days of the month looks like having a run of 20+ maxima before a cold change to start August.
I was just going to post about upcoming warmth. It appears July 31st will be the first warm day with long-fetch north-westerlies dragging some warm air over. But after that is a front before a high moves over, SAM looks like it going negative over that period. Hopefully we can get it moving over Queensland for some North Westerlies again, would hate for it to get stuck over NSW will leave us with some very frost nights with not much to show for it.That run of low 20's will feel warm! After all the mid-teens we've had so far plus for the forecast rest of the week.
After a quick look, July 2018 (and 2019) actually had almost half the days in the low 20's at Parramatta, but the freezing mornings offset them a bit.
A repeat of 2016 with IOD, La Nina etc. Trouble with Oz that 2 years later the heavens shut, so will 24/25 match 19/20 with dead fish in Darling and fires?NSW is primed for a major flood event. Have been traversing the western slopes last couple of weeks and the ground is sodden and running water after small rain events. All major storages filling, most about 70%. Murrumbidgee storages are all but full.
Some more good water heading toward the darling out of Macintyre.