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Day to Day NSW / ACT weather

Discussion in 'Daily & Chat' started by Jellybeans, Jul 4, 2019.

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  1. Steve777

    Steve777 One of Us

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    Most of Sydney maxed out at 16-18 today, about average, after a chilly night, around 7 degrees near the coast, 4 in the middle ring and Richmond and Campbelltown nudging below zero. The wind must have taken a break out there.

    Weather.com is still showing no rain in the 15 day forecast: https://weather.com/en-AU/weather/tenday/l/ASXX0112:1:AS

    It seems to be cooling down for a cold night, although the forecast is for moderate minima (around 6 to 9 across Sydney). The BOM must be expecting the wind to pick up.
     
  2. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Solar heating from Fohen Wind effect seems pretty conclusive to me.
    400m drop in elevation but over 50-60kms will do that in high wind scenarios.
     
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  3. stormy3

    stormy3 Addicted

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  4. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  5. Adaminaby Angler

    Adaminaby Angler One of Us

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    Actually, the drop is fairly steep from here to the lower Monaro (in just 5-10 km, not 50-60); from 1,320 m at the crest of Rhine Falls, falling sharply to 900 m along the plains of Wambrook and Coolringdon.

    Here's precisely where the Foehn occurs—notice the steep altitudinal disparity:

    [​IMG]

    Now, as for where I am (1,294 m AMSL; on the north-westernmost angle of the map):

    [​IMG]
     
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  6. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    You're right in the lee of the ranges though. Still, down sloping from 15/1600m (across the lake) to 800m of Cooma over 50kms will do it, regardless of the undulation.
     
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  7. Homer

    Homer One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Welcome Stormy.
    Glad you have joined!!
     
  8. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    4.8C here last night happened to be the coldest of the year. Next Thursday/Friday nights look like being cooler again at this stage.
     
  9. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Here?
     
  10. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    Killara, northern Syd. Will update my location! We need a decent coastal event to get this thing going.
     
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  11. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Welcome @Northwesterly there's already threads running in under Eastern & Marine
     
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  12. Richard

    Richard Maintenance Dept Administrator

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    Thread merged.
     
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  13. Richard

    Richard Maintenance Dept Administrator

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  14. stormy3

    stormy3 Addicted

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  15. Kino

    Kino Early Days

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    Some decent gales here the last few days, almost cracked the 100km/h Mark. Winds have moderated now.
     
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  16. Snowmaker7

    Snowmaker7 One of Us

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    Two coldest pair of days we have had here in Bowral that I can remember for quite a while yesterday and the day before, only reaching a max of 7.3C and 7.5C respectively. Quite impressive that both days were mostly sunny, so temps like this are very rare here under clear sky conditions! We bottomed out here at 2C under light rain on Saturday morning but the shower wasn't heavy enough to really drag down the cold air to make conditions more favorable for snow.
     
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  17. AshestoAshes

    AshestoAshes One of Us

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    Anyone else feel like even though the days are barely increasing in length it's just the ideas of longer length making them feel much brighter in mood. I've noticed that this year we've only reached negative temps twice this year compared to multiples more by this time last year, enjoying the relative warmth haha.
     
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  18. Steve777

    Steve777 One of Us

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    Today in Sydney was nearly 15 minutes longer than June 21. Tomorrow will be nearly another minute longer. It will soon become noticeable: https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/australia/sydney?month=7

    The other thing is that we're in a run of bright, sunny days.

    Nearly 19 degrees at Sydney OH today, although that was a degree warmer than everywhere else. It felt colder in the wind.
     
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  19. Ben K

    Ben K Hard Yards

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    I'm enjoying the increasing day length as well. May and June really dragged on for me, but July seems to be moving by quicker, probably because I know we are on the descent to spring.
     
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  20. Wavey

    Wavey One of Us

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    Still a bit breezy here tonight but there's no strong gusts like there have been the past few nights.

    Got a surprise heavy shower driving through Robertson this morning at about 7:40am, from a band of showers that moved in from the SW. It cleared up very quickly after the shower passed through.
     
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  21. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    Don't ever move to Northern Europe will ya? Those daylight hours in winter are brutal. ;).

    Na in all seriousness I know where you're coming from. I too have noticed the shift. Days seem brighter as the sun gradually shifts higher in the sky...
     
  22. Adaminaby Angler

    Adaminaby Angler One of Us

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    Northern Europe also yields extremely long daylight in midsummer, so it goes both ways.
     
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  23. Kino

    Kino Early Days

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    I really want to experience that one day soon - just like a white Christmas, a blizzard and being snowed in.
     
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  24. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    Jimi on Weatherzone. Pymble, Sydney
    Great website. A few years ago I sat in the various rooms of my apartment and worked out sunrise/sunset angles at different times of year, winter and summer noon angles through northern windows, etc. More fun than it sounds (not so much for the then-girlfriend now-wife who put up with me excitedly showing here how far into the room the winter sun would extend).

    It’s also an interesting site to check out really northern cities and think about how weird it’d be dealing with bigger variations than we get.
     
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  25. Ben K

    Ben K Hard Yards

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    I love the time and date website as well, it's interesting checking out the sunrise/sunset and sun angles of all the major cities across the world. Speaking of extremes, check out the solar noon times in far western China: https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/china/kashgar

    Solar noon at 3pm!
     
  26. Longys

    Longys Hard Yards

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    Very chilly 2.1 out here near Penrith this morning. Not a cloud in the sky.
     
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  27. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    Yeah I do miss that part...
     
  28. AshestoAshes

    AshestoAshes One of Us

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    I ask myself today why did I even bring my jumper, the bite of sun today is serious.
     
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  29. Wavey

    Wavey One of Us

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    Looking like it could be pretty warm early next week according to GFS. This shows Tuesday, but Sunday and Monday are also similar temp wise. So we could be in for up to three days of 23-24C temps, which is pretty impressive for July IMO.


    EC is less optimistic and shows weak sea breeze for coastal areas on these days.
     
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  30. Ben K

    Ben K Hard Yards

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    And zero rain for the foreseeable future. Not good.
     
  31. Steve777

    Steve777 One of Us

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    The 28 Day rainfall forecast on Weatherzone is showing no rain in Sydney for the remainder of the month and a low probability of rain (25-50%) for 5 of the next 28 days: https://www.weatherzone.com.au/long-range-forecast/28-day-rain/nsw/sydney

    It's a similar patten to last year. Then, after a wet June, the big tap in the sky was turned off after July 3 and apart from a few light showers wasn't really turned back on until September. The previous year, 2017, had a longer 'dry season', with only 33 mm* in the nearly 4 months from June 21 to October 19.

    On the other hand, rainfall in July-September 2016 was average or above average.


    * Used Botanical Gardens because of missing OH data
     
  32. Eddy

    Eddy One of Us

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    Couldn't ask for a better day for winter, 20.5c light winds and crystal clear skies.
    Some big surf about plus near enough full moon.
     
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  33. Wavey

    Wavey One of Us

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    Was a pretty nice 20 degrees here too except winds weren't light, but they were tolerable. It has now picked up beyond annoying strength again lol.

    Actually looking at that temp drop about 3:30pm, it wouldn't surprise me if a *very* weak cold front moved through and that would explain the increased wind. Have not checked yet though so could be wrong.
     
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  34. Kino

    Kino Early Days

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    I’d lean towards EC, GFS does tend to overcook things IMO.

    Not a drop of rain though :(

    Looks like some very cold nights with that fat high and weak geostrophic flow.
     
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  35. Eddy

    Eddy One of Us

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    Yeah we could all do with a drop of rain.

    Don't forget tomorrow morning there is a partial lunar eclipse starting around 6am.

    Near full moon rising above the Singing bridge.
     
  36. Wavey

    Wavey One of Us

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    Thanks for the heads up, at least we'll have clear skies for this one!
     
  37. AshestoAshes

    AshestoAshes One of Us

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    I feel like the weather took on the Dry July challenge as well. :(
     
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  38. Jac0b

    Jac0b First Runs

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    Yeah the next couple of weeks look dry and sunny - actually in 2014 a dry May - July lead into a very wet August.
     
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  39. Eddy

    Eddy One of Us

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    Lets hope we get "can't remember September" LOL
     
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  40. Kino

    Kino Early Days

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    And for something different, GALE FORCE WINDS (queue Oprah meme)

    Severe Weather Warning
    for DAMAGING WINDS

    For people in Illawarra and parts of Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands and Snowy Mountains Forecast Districts.

    Issued at 9:04 pm Tuesday, 16 July 2019.

    VIGOROUS WINDS DEVELOPING WEDNESDAY

    Weather Situation: Vigorous west to northwesterly winds will be generated ahead of an approaching cold front which is expected to cross the southeast later Wednesday and early Thursday.

    DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 70 to 80 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 120 km/h are expected to develop for Alpine areas above 1900 metres from Wednesday afternoon. Winds are expected to ease in the early hours of Thursday morning.

    DAMAGING WIND, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with gusts in excess of 90 km/h are expected to develop over the Illawarra and parts of the Southern and Central Tablelands from Wednesday evening. Winds are expected to ease during Thursday morning.

    BLIZZARDS are likely over the Alpine Peaks during this time and the NSW National Parks and Wildlife Service recommends that back country travel be postponed until conditions improve.

    Locations which may be affected include Thredbo Tops, Goulburn, Nowra, Katoomba, Bowral, Wollongong, Nerriga, Huskisson and Taralga.
     
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  41. Eddy

    Eddy One of Us

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    Watching this partial lunar eclipse and that light weaterly breeze is cutting straight through me.
    I suppose it could be worse and be blowing a gale!!
     
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  42. Longys

    Longys Hard Yards

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    I think you meant glorious ;)
    Another very chilly morning here of 2 degrees. It was an apparent temp of -0.1. Loving the look of some mild maximum temperatures next week and while i agree we definately need some rain throughout NSW (apart from Alpine areas) i need some warmth.
     
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  43. Eddy

    Eddy One of Us

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    Someone took a chunk out of the moon.
    It was nice to watch, pity it wasn't a full lunar eclipse for us.
     
  44. CoastalStorm35

    CoastalStorm35 Hard Yards Ski Pass: Gold

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    There was a big flip in something back in 2016 and the pattern hasn't changed much since!

    Enjoying this run of sunshine though, it's working wonders for the major re-tiling job currently being undertaken on both our balconies.
     
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  45. Kino

    Kino Early Days

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    Great reminder that for every negative there is a positive flip-side.
     
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  46. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Warm July week coming up in Sydney 23 and 24 forecast next week
     
  47. Steve777

    Steve777 One of Us

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    Yes, a warm week coming up. In this warm, sunny pattern without the sea breeze, the BOM often undershoots Sydney maxima, so I wouldn't be surprised at a run of seven 20+ days. Sydney OH just missed 20 today.

    NAEFS shoes a warm signal for the following week (to the end of July): http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/c...RE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_198.png

    The forecast at Weather.com mostly shows 20+ for Sydney until the end of the month, it consistently undershoots: https://weather.com/en-AU/weather/tenday/l/ASXX0112:1:AS

    Last July's record average max of 19.9 for Sydney may be at risk. Unlike last July, average minima will finish above average also.

    -----

    Statistical trivia (Sydney OH)
    - It reached 25 degrees July 1960, 1975 and 1990
    - The next time 25 was reached in July was 2014
    - Then in 2016, 2017 and 2018.

    So what once happened once every decade or two now seems to be nearly annual. The next time might be early next week.
     
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  48. Kino

    Kino Early Days

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    But of course, Sydney hasn’t grown any bigger since then hey?
     
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  49. Adaminaby Angler

    Adaminaby Angler One of Us

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    Heading to Burrinjuck from tomorrow morning 'til Monday, fellas (for fishing). I'll be sure to capture some lovely pictures of that region.
     
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  50. Kino

    Kino Early Days

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    Weirdly here the winds have backed around to the se instead of the anticipated gale force w’erly.