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Day to Day NSW / ACT weather

Discussion in 'Daily & Chat' started by Jellybeans, Jul 4, 2019.

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  1. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Gut feel.
    Illawarra is 11am to 1pm.
    Basin is 12-2pm
    CC is 1-3pm
    Hunter is sweet spot of 3-5pm.
     
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  2. Sideny

    Sideny Addicted

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    Stormy showers now quickly approaching from the BMs. Still relatively warm during these hours in many parts around the basin with Bankstown at 25.3c.
     
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  3. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah watching a line drop over Camden
     
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  4. Sideny

    Sideny Addicted

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    Yeah relatively tame storm. Wind came well before the rain did. Could actually see the gust front now on radar moving well ahead of the storm front.
     
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  5. Steve777

    Steve777 One of Us

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    Bucketing down, a roll of thunder as the rain band passes through.
     
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  6. Snowmaker7

    Snowmaker7 One of Us

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    House shaking rumbles here this morning around 1.30am. Very minimal rain but very close strikes. Hoping for something exciting this afternoon. Higher ground seems to be more favourable for better storms, however most models have storms making it to the coast
     
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  7. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yesterday looked ok for Metro West but not for the coast. Didn't see much to write home about though @Jasper Schwarz
    Did you?

    Today we see that trough sink it's teeth into the coast, proper.
    Blue Mountains showing some TS potential. Should see some cells starting to lift around early arvo, in the Sydney basin.
    It's touch and go for anything severe in the Sydney Basin IMO. There's a nice heat cap in there so it'll be mid to high level instab that has to do all the leg work here this arvo.

    Below is the problematic heat cap (850mb) that will inhibit low level mechanics, via AXS hi-res.


    Need some good sunshine early to break the back of that cap, which is likely but hopefully some movement early arvo.

    Really comes down to those cooler 850mb temps moving over the great divide ~ 14:00hrs. These are the green-ish temps to the left of the plot above (West of the Sydney Basin).
     
  8. Jasper Schwarz

    Jasper Schwarz One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Yeah didn’t see anything too exciting. There was some nice lightning as I drove home at about 11 pm but not nothing close to exciting.
    Hopefully today gives us something more to be excited about
     
  9. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some storms falling apart as they enter the Sydney basin, over the GDR, ATM. These are deteriorating to high-based rainfall as a result of that low-level cap knocking the wind out of the sails so to speak.
    Might see some rain near the city in the next couple of hours, but I am struggling to see any rumbles for the city until maybe this arvo IMO.
     
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  10. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I reckon its done. For Wollongong
    Already pushing north..
     
  11. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    I think there's a renewed chance for the 'gong, early arvo.
    Peak heat. It'll be hit/miss though.
     
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  12. warrie

    warrie One of Us

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    A muggy sweaty night like February. Awoken by rumbles at 3.45 am and 7.1 mm collected at 9 am, 2 more than nearby Peakhurst and second highest in Sydney metro area.
     
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  13. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    There's some clearing patches to the West of the cloud cover we're seeing in Sydney at the moment.
    Below this is indicated by the Blue line (10:30hrs). Once that reaches the basin in the next hour or so, I think we'll start to see some towers forming over higher ground (BM's and CT's).
    The colder upper-level air is in the elliptical red area I've highlighted below, that's where we'll see some good growth IMO.
     
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  14. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    Hopecast - cap and clear air see temps rise, cap goes, then things get interesting with good structure visible?

    20/12/19 was an extreme example
     
  15. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some flangs out Mudgee/Gulgong way at the moment.
    Sitting right on the edge of that elliptical area I highlighted above.
    Def Sydney bound.
     
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  16. Snowmaker7

    Snowmaker7 One of Us

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    First real cells have just popped up West of Shooters Hill and north. Steamy here now, 22°C and 72% humidity
     
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  17. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    We missed out on all but a few drops yesterday so i ran the sprinklers this morning. Now very dark outside so we may actually get something soon.
     
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  18. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Rumbles overhead at present.
     
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  19. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Cotton wool balls inbound.
     
  20. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Really unique sort of lightning activity. Just seems to be rumbling across the sky constantly rather than distinct ground strikes. And down she comes.
     
  21. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Should be the theme of today.
    A lot of high-based mechanics today (atleast so for the CT's)
    Growth & instab generally above 10,000ft - but will lower East of the GDR.
     
  22. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some decent hail in that lot. Some 20mm stuff but mostly 10mm and less.

     
  23. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    I reckon areas like Blackheath, Lithgow & Katoomba are all in the firing line for big hail this arvo IMO.
     
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  24. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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  25. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Can add Colo Heights and Bilpin to that list too.
     
  26. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    Classic covid setup that!

     
  27. AshestoAshes

    AshestoAshes One of Us

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    Looks like a strong start for the storm day but going off this we'll be getting something more widespread come mid arvo.
    [​IMG]
     
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  28. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    She still treats it as if i'm at the golf course.
     
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  29. ecowain

    ecowain One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Lots of congested cauliflower visible west of Mount Victoria when the gaps open thru the lower level clouds.
     
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  30. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Here we go, 14:15hrs bounce down for Syd Western Burbs.
     
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  31. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Bathurst Airport 8C temp drop in 15 mins. From 22C to 14C from 13:15 - 13:30hrs.
    Only 1.6mm in the tank for the last hour though.
     
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  32. JWS12

    JWS12 First Runs

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    Hope it holds onto it's strength as it reaches the Basin.

    Also, I've just found that BOM has a lightning tracker - http://satview.bom.gov.au/
    Go to the bottom left and press on 'Layers' for anyone else who doesn't know.
     
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  33. Steve777

    Steve777 One of Us

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    A Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been issued for the Central-East of the State - Bulladelah to Nowra, inland past Dubbo and Parkes: “SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING WITH POSSIBLE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS”.

    it’s passed 30° across much of Sydney, including OH. The winds turned NW around lunch time and its been mostly sunny for the last couple of hours.
     
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  34. ShavedBadger

    ShavedBadger Latte Sipper Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    Incoming for the Hunter!


    The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 2:45 pm, severe thunderstorms were detected on the weather radar near Paxton, Bellbird and Sweetmans Creek (west of Cessnock). These thunderstorms are moving towards the southeast. They are forecast to affect Belmont, Cessnock, Swansea and Lake Macquarie by 3:15 pm and Charlestown, Cardiff, Boolaroo and Warners Bay by 3:45 pm.

    Damaging winds and large hailstones are likely.

    81km/hr gust observed south of Singleton at 2:23pm..

    The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
    * Move your car under cover or away from trees.
    * Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
    * Keep at least 8 metres away from fallen power lines or objects that may be energised, such as fences.
    * Report fallen power lines to either Ausgrid (131 388), Endeavour Energy (131 003), Essential Energy (132 080) or Evoenergy (131 093) as shown on your power bill.
    * Unplug computers and appliances.
    * Avoid using the phone during the storm.
    * Stay indoors away from windows, and keep children and pets indoors as well.
    * For emergency help in floods and storms, ring the SES (NSW and ACT) on 132 500.


    The next warning is due to be issued by 3:45 pm.

    A more general severe thunderstorm warning is also current for the Hunter, Metropolitan, Central Tablelands and parts of the Mid North Coast, Illawarra, Southern Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, Central West Slopes and Plains and South West Slopes districts.

    Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
     
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  35. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    Possible left-mover on course for Newy

     
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  36. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Just got smashed here in Helensburgh only lasted 5 minutes Hail massive wind gusts and now its calm. Scared the shit out of me as I mop up my flooded kitchen
     
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  37. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not like "liked"

    I saw it turn and go up your way.
    Moderate storm here.
     
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  38. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    Showery mess here. No thunder. Disappointing.
     
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  39. Blackadder_

    Blackadder_ Hard Yards

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    So much promise, so little result here in Northern Sydney.
     
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  40. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Donzah my house faces west the wind was so strong and with pea sized hail I thought my front windows were going to smash I just yelled to my 12 yr old daughter go into the bathroom.
     
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  41. Ben K

    Ben K Hard Yards

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    We had some thundery rain here with a couple of strong wind gusts. Pretty lame really. The small storm we had last night was better.
     
  42. kylep

    kylep Cage rattler Ski Pass: Gold

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    Jumped the wall to Mexico
    I'm guessing this is from HQ at Olympic Park

     
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  43. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Thats hectic.
    we got a storm like that in Feb 2008.
    I was in Japan. My wife was home ...eek
     
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  44. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Its like the ocean getting sucked up into those clouds.
     
  45. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Surfed Maroubra got called out of the water as it approached but saw it maxing through Kernell so stayed in.
    Nice shelf cloud formation to our South and then it enveloped the coast northwards as it hit the coast, proper.
    Great show, but underwhelming as expected.

    Bundeena to Stanwell looked a different story.
     
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  46. Steve777

    Steve777 One of Us

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    We had inactivity on a massive scale here. It got very gloomy but there was no lightning, no thunder, not even any rain although the radar showed light rain passing overhead. The storm cells passed to the North and South.

    Although it wasn’t quite nothing. A gusty Westerly wind roared through a bit before 4:00 PM. At the Airport, wind gusts over 80 km/h were recorded and the temperature dropped from 29° to 22° between 3:30 and 4:00 PM - must be the remains of the cold front that crossed SA and Vic in the previous couple of days.

    So is that it for Sydney? The storms have mostly passed out to sea, although cells are active around Dubbo and the Hunter.
     
  47. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    From a mate, taken on the mid north coast. Garden variety shelf cloud of the storm front.

    Visual above from highlighted zone below:
     
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  48. Blackadder_

    Blackadder_ Hard Yards

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    Still a bit out West, so may get a light show later tonight.
     
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  49. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Band of storms rolling ESE toward Portland, Wolgan V, Lithgow, Marrangaroo within the next hour.
     
  50. Homer

    Homer One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Yep, that storm currently north of Bathurst looks like our last chance today.
    It's heading in the right direction, but whether it can hold together all the way to the Basin is another matter.