Every time I have been looking at the models, I look in complete disbelief at what the models are suggesting. At this stage, it is an incredibly complex event which comes in a few stages as bursts of very cold air fling up to hit the CT's and NT's. The 00z run of GFS is complete insanity, with forecasted 850mb temps of -6 at 10am right over the CT's. The duration of the event looks to be from as early as Thursday night with temps marginal enough for a little bit of snow on the higher parts. But the weekend will be most significant with very heavy precip forecasted on the Sunday in particular. I expect a downgrade because right now this is looking like 20cm of snow around Porters Retreat with settling as low as 600m, and I'm being very conservative here. Keen to see what 06z GFS has to say (should update very soon) and I'll suss out EC and see what that says. Just wanted to quickly get this thread up and running so I'll add to this a little later.