New Zealand NZ Obs/Predictions 2016

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Draizuh, Apr 30, 2016.

  1. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    HMH said it was the biggest single fall in the last 5 years Heinz, 1.2 metres.
     
  2. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    I love it when people make calls like this.

    315 mm of rain at Mt cook from this storm. All snow above 2200 m
     
  3. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    Avalanches galore you'd have to think.
     
  4. Heinz

    Heinz Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    http://www.avalanche.net.nz/forecasts/detail.asp?m=11

     
  5. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    I think they meant just in the area they operate heli. The totals for Aoraki-Mt Cook are quite something.
     
  6. windy

    windy Hard Yards

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    Speaking of heli-skiing, I was thinking about having a go in august when I'm over. How far out in advance do you have to book? Is there a reserve list that you can go on so say if someone cancels I can take the spot? It's just going to be me so it's not like I need to coordinate with other people.
     
  7. Heinz

    Heinz Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah clearly. Roger would have been referring to the terrain around Wanaka where he has spent winters for the last 30 years or so.
     
  8. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Wind is ruining the party a bit..
     
  9. Heinz

    Heinz Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    August is peak period but even then you can usually book just a couple of days out. Occasionally if it looks like epic conditions forecast it will get solidly booked, but otherwise you can often book the day before. And as you said being on your own makes it easier and there are also invariably late cancellations.

    Here is an old thread which covers it a bit more rather than posting in this thread.
    https://www.ski.com.au/xf/threads/nz-heli-skiing.30992/
     
    #509 Heinz, Jul 15, 2016
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2016
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  10. Heinz

    Heinz Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    as is often the case in NZ
     
  11. windy

    windy Hard Yards

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    Thanks for the info Heinz, I'll have to check it out when I'm over there. Getting pretty keen now that the conditions are looking better. :woohoo:
     
  12. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    Did this 2 years ago early August 2014 and was well worth it. The forecast was close to "epic" and still got a booking like 2 days beforehand, I was by myself though. If the same thing rolls around in a few weeks i'd probably do it again.
     
  13. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Tell me about it, I practically got blown off my feet up at Remarks on Thursday.
     
  14. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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  15. Heinz

    Heinz Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    LOL
    "Lower Sundance .. a Spaniard & Tussock heaven .. if you really want to go in there you're welcome, but its pretty ugly."
     
  16. Centago

    Centago Addicted

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    Not a weather ob but I'm seeing some all-time lift queues on the webcams at Remarks (particularly for Shadow Basin) and Treble Cone as well. I imagine the heli-ski operators will be happy as the mountains out west/northwest of the Southern Lakes look great now. Still eagerly anticipating news out of Temple Basin. Will be critical that we get good follow-ups of snow at our ski areas as the snowpack is still pretty thin for most, particularly given the winds associated with this event. Whare Kea have a fancy mountain chalet at approx 1700m elevation to the north of Treble Cone, and their weather station was recording gusts up around 140km/h over much of the past 4 days.
     
  17. Heinz

    Heinz Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Whare Kea chalet is in the Albert Burn Saddle on Dragonfly peak in the North Buchanans. Only available to guests of Whare Kea lodge by the lake. I've only seen it from the air.
    They do have some nice web cams. http://www.wharekealodge.com/nz/chalet-webcamW/

    View of Aspiring this morning.
    [​IMG]
     
  18. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Wind was pretty intense at times today. Had a great duck and cover on a col at 2000m today.
     
  19. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Was at Cardrona today. Nice until the wind picked up and the cover became incredibly icey late in the arvo. Stayed at Valley View most of the day, crowds were quite horrendous elsewhere.
     
  20. expatgm

    expatgm Addicted

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    School holidays, to be expected. Aussie school hols finish this weekend so they'll all fvukc off , one more week of NZ hols then should be a bit quieter
     
  21. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    My main complaint about Cadrona, queuing up at the white star sucks
    Captains can be long too but singles line is usually OK
     
  22. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    I found that most of the trails from the other basins funnelled into the Whitestar, and therefore you have to take the Whitestar to get back to the base building or back to the top of the mountain. This is where base buildings at the lowest point of the mountain is beneficial, E.G Coronet, but they both have their pros and cons.
     
  23. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Remarks is saying 15cms since midnight and a perhaps bit more to come this morning. The snow level is about 700 asl. Will be good up there today.
     
  24. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    Its good to see everything is finally open, or just about
     
  25. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    Wow looks like several storms coming through pretty similar over the next week+ . starting NW turning SW. More snow please
     
  26. jab1966

    jab1966 Hard Yards

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    Nothing up Canterbury way, need less NW and more southerly so that don't split when they hit the South Island. A season like this means no new infrastructure for any the fields up here for awhile !!!
     
  27. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    [​IMG]
     
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  28. windy

    windy Hard Yards

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    Aww yiss. Looking mint, let's hope it sticks around.
     
  29. col

    col One of Us

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    #529 col, Jul 17, 2016
    Last edited: Jul 17, 2016
  30. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Raining all day at my place. Ranges on either side of my place have snow down to about 700m atleast. no sign of it letting up either.
     
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  31. windy

    windy Hard Yards

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    How reliable is the metservice rain radar? I assume it not showing any ranging in Queenstown or Wanaka because the mountains are in the way. Is that right?
     
  32. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Generally, Yes.
    The radar is in southland, It gets my place because im at the foot hills of the mountains, just over the southland border.
     
  33. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    :cheers:
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
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  34. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Remarks facebook today
    [​IMG]
     
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  35. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Mt Taranaki. There's a clubbie up there...
    [​IMG]
     
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  36. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    Is it good?
    Nice photo
    I can see some extreme winds on the way
     
  37. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    and very low pressure
    [​IMG]
     
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  38. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    Been watching these systems for a while now......................... more ducks also lining up as well all the way into the first week of August. Looks amazing.
    Next weekends system atm looks brutal in the sthrn lakes with 100kmph winds!!!!!.
     
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  39. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Manganui Ski Area. One T-Bar, various rope tows, all clinging to the side of a near perfect volcanic cone.
    http://skitaranaki.co.nz/SMC/
     
  40. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Looks good this for weekend though very windy as has been mentioned. Forecasts are suggesting a very cold outbreak late next week too.
     
  41. Centago

    Centago Addicted

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    Indeed. Have to say the outlook is pretty grim for eastern Canterbury fields, these northwest/west/southwest patterns are no good for delivering them decent snow and the gale winds do a great job of stripping away what snow they do have.
     
  42. glengary

    glengary One of Us

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    Maybe some Kiwi gold here
     
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  43. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    Im arriving in southern lakes the next day :clap:
     
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  44. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    [​IMG]
    Looks great
    Get on your skateboard on the t-bar and you may just find something
     
  45. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Haha. I never said it was any good just that it was there...
     
  46. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    All this bagging of the clubbies.. I thought I would chip in!

    Meanwhile at TC (today on facebook)
    Hope they will open the chutes soon
    [​IMG]
     
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  47. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    Good news for Sth Lakes this weekend atm. Charts now indicating the centre of system will track further sth (instead of a direct hit) thus winds won't be as strong as first modelled but still plenty of snow. And after this weekend...................charts still look fabulous, winter set in for weeks to come, cold and plenty of systems lining up. IMO
     
    #547 Zimboo, Jul 20, 2016
    Last edited: Jul 20, 2016
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  48. Partic

    Partic Hard Yards

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    Would anyone be prepare to offer an opinion on snow quality around Queenstown for the 1st week of August vs the Australian snowies? From what I can make out it looks to be fairly similar, with a decent dump early next week at both on top of fairly average current conditions. What about the week after?
     
  49. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    Treble Cone next week
    Why is it that TC generally has the highest snow forecast of any in the southern lakes areas??
    Do you think this is actually true??
    [​IMG]

    I just read this:
    http://www.powderhounds.com/NewZealand/TrebleCone.aspx

    The Treble Cone ski field has some impressive statistics (by New Zealand standards) when it comes to size, and we all know that bigger is better! Treble Cone is the largest ski area on the South Island of New Zealand at 550 hectares, and TC has the longest vertical drop at 700 metres.

    The Treble Cone ski area also has the highest recorded average annual snowfall of the New Zealand ski resorts, and at 5.5 metres per season, hard-core powder hounds will be pretty happy with what Treble Cone has to offer.

    Where does the 5.5m per season come from? is it recorded?
     
  50. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    It does not have the highest forecast and snowfall always.
    It depends on the direction of the incoming system.
    Location of resort to where the system is coming from is very important in NZ.
     
    #550 Zimboo, Jul 21, 2016
    Last edited: Jul 21, 2016