NZ Obs/Predictions 2016

Discussion in 'General & World' started by Draizuh, Apr 30, 2016.

  1. jab1966

    jab1966 Hard Yards

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    Was hoping and predicted for 50cms on Friday alone. But will take what we can get this year!!!!
     
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  2. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  3. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Another fizzer. Cold, no moisture.
     
  4. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Speak for yourself! Way more moisture than we need here...
     
  5. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    One of my best powder days ever at TC today
    Not the deepest but so fun, we were some of the first 30 odd ppl into the saddle this morning. Was pretty quiet all day. Cleared up nicely later too.
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
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  6. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    Not Soho. Traversing hard left from to top of the lift can take you over the ridge into nice open powder fields. Then funnels into a small valley where you can eventually stop and hike/climb up just nearby the cafe (or you can traverse out earlier)

    For some reason I took this photo. The little towers of piled up rocks guide you there. (In foreground)
    [​IMG]
     
  7. col

    col One of Us

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    I went to porters today. Did loops on Bluff face which had about 20-30cm fresh snow. It was pretty good but still needs more snow. Should be at least +10cm tonight I would think. Looks like it will snow on and off until Sunday morning.

    [​IMG]
     
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  8. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    Looks like your having a horrible time. :D
     
  9. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Ahh, that one is called hidden valley :)
     
  10. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Hah. Yeah looks wet there. 5mm wetter in mosgiel???
    That big spinning beast out in the tasman looks like its drawing moisture over from the pacific via dunnas. Its bone dry up here.. not even that cold...
     
  11. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Looks like Middlemarch is copping the snow
     
  12. expatgm

    expatgm Addicted Ski Pass: Silver

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  13. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Well considering they were forecasting 30cm above 400cm and its not snowing nor raining id call it a fizzer ;)
     
  14. Gimp

    Gimp One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Crowded carpark, not, very jelly. My hand now gives me a permanent reminder of dropping off the cat track to Big Mammas in low tide last year.
     
  15. furtherfaster

    furtherfaster Hard Yards

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    Hutt was great yesterday and its looking like being a great day up there today when they get the road cleared
     
  16. col

    col One of Us

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    Hutt reporting 15cm this morning....the rain radar looks like another 10cm possible
     
  17. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    Not sure if there has been much snow in Queenstown/wanaka area overnight? Doesn't seem like it. (Edit) TC claiming 10cm. Cardrona a light dusting.

    Ohau looks nice today
     
  18. D64133

    D64133 Guest

    second that. was one of the best days I have had at Mt Hutt, bring on today!!
     
  19. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Looks like the whole system has been a bit slower than models suggested. But certainly we've not had anything like the snow that was forecast by Metservice for the Southern Lakes.
     
  20. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    I might have missed something, but I read the warnings as referring to the Clutha and East Otago, rather than the Southern Lakes?

    It's always going to be a big call for a SE to push low level snow right into Queenstown, and this system has ended up being more E on the coast. Super humid here, so the air probably hasn't cooled down as much as expected, but there looks to be a decent amount of snow above 450 odd m.
     
  21. furtherfaster

    furtherfaster Hard Yards

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    On way to Hutt now snow on the road from Glenroy and its dumping
     
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  22. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    The original severe weather outlook and subsequent warnings included Southern Lakes. This scenario can often generate quite heavy snow for the Wakatipu basin.
     
  23. furtherfaster

    furtherfaster Hard Yards

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    Up at Hutt now still waiting for lifts to open
    There is at least 20-30 about the base area
     
  24. col

    col One of Us

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    Yeah Hutt have updated their report to 32cm :)

    Sunshine in Christchurch now so it might clear up by 3pm or so.
     
  25. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    They put prosciutto in my bacon buttie :tany:

    I need to get more organized and pack my own lunch and stop paying through the nose for average quality food.
     
  26. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    Very nice in Ohau today by the look of it
    [​IMG]
     
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  27. furtherfaster

    furtherfaster Hard Yards

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    It will be a great day tomorrow up at Hutt a lot of ground was not available today so should be untouched. W
    e left at 3.00 and it was still snowing
     
  28. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Its going to be cold this weekend.... i know @Centago will be watching the temps :)
     
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  29. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Didn't get anywhere near the forecast minus 6 though last night, probably because of cloud cover. Metservice is saying minus 10 for Queenstown tonight, we shall see...
    The media really go to town these days ramping up the extreme weather stories, they're not about to let the facts get in the way.
     
  30. col

    col One of Us

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    Mt. Hutt reporting +15cm....that makes it around +55cm so far. Looks like another +10 at least inbound by tomorrow from the look of the rain radar.
     
  31. Centago

    Centago Addicted

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    Agreed. I think that's the nature of the majority of news media these days - it's all about grabbing attention/clicks in a saturated market. That said there have been bugger all if any low level snowfall events this winter (correct me if I'm wrong, I think Queenstown has had barely two lake-level events, one on 31 July that really was just a skiff, and then a couple days later another), this is Canterbury's first proper southerly/soueasterly outbreak for winter 2016, June was NZ's third-warmest on record, etc.. all in all, this event was always going to get puffed up by the media, particularly with the anticipated snowfall depths MetService were throwing out there in their warnings and watches which for the most part have not come to pass, particularly for the likes of the Southern Lakes, Southland and parts of Canterbury.

    Yes @Draizuh the potential for super cold temps following this snowfall event was the story I thought/think will be more 'newsworthy'. As always, the combo of clear skies and snow on the ground should see the coldest temps. Anyone got any first-hand or second-hand obs of snow on the ground in the Mackenzie Basin and the Maniototo? I've seen pictures of a fairly decent dump of snow in Mt Cook Village and heard Glentanner have snow too, Lake Tekapo seems to have picked up a fair snowfall overnight. Would be interested to know about Twizel, Omarama, Ranfurly. @Red_switch any idea about Middlemarch?

    Re: North Island. Good to note the fields there are going from strength to strength. 30 cm of fresh at Turoa overnight and there should be plenty more to come this weekend. Both Turoa and Whakapapa report snow bases exceeding 2 metres which bodes well for the remainder of the season, though Ruapehu can be a fickle beast so I won't hold my breath. Some relatively exceptional snowfall could settle in the ranges west of Hawke's Bay with MetService forecasting 50-80cm above 700m on top of what has already fallen. I guess some rare touring options could be a goer as a result!
     
  32. mauricem

    mauricem Addicted

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    Drove back to CHC through Tekapo, burkes pass etc and it was chucking down. Spent the night at Geraldine car covered in snow this morning and a pretty nightmarish drive at 4.30am trail breaking into heavy snow all the way down to Ashburton, (which is another type of nightmare;))
    Almost impossible to drive with high beam on as the incoming snow looked like an asteroid field from Starwars.

    Pic below was around Burkes Pass[​IMG]
     
  33. jab1966

    jab1966 Hard Yards

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  34. col

    col One of Us

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    There are also donuts in Springfield :
    [​IMG]

    Mt. Hutt upgraded their report to 26cm so far today.....woohoo :doh:
    [​IMG]
     
  35. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Tekapo seemed to get a good dusting overnight. a mate was up there skiing with his son and there was about 55cm! nuts!

    Was super cold at remarks yesterday, still cold today too.
    Snow was unbelievable today.
     
  36. pedub

    pedub One of Us

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    So the heritage tow must have been on?? :)
     
  37. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Ruapehu must be getting pasted, a friend posted video of it totally chucking down at Kinloch just west of Taupo. Family have had power cuts on and off today in Hastings and Napier as the exceptionally heavy snow in Hawke's Bay has brought down power lines.
     
  38. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    SH5 The Napier to Taupo road is carnage. Will remain closed until this event is over.
    [​IMG]
     
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  39. col

    col One of Us

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    looks like there are a few freshies at dobson

    [​IMG]
     
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  40. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Crazy right?? I grew up in Taupo and i remember as a kid this ALWAYS happened in winter, doesnt seem to get as much snow these days...
    They had flakes settling briefly in Taupo today too!
     
  41. expatgm

    expatgm Addicted Ski Pass: Silver

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    The Heritage rope tow is on a NW aspect and consequently gets slammed by the sun and wind, good for one day after a decent snow fall and that's it. Similar to Homeward at Remarks.
     
  42. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    I'm currently in Fiordland. Where there is no shortage of snow.
     
  43. col

    col One of Us

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    Looking good in Canterbury now that it has cleared up. Sun, no wind and about 60cm fresh dry powder. Snow down low on the plains :

    [​IMG]

    Possibly more snow for Canterbury on 15th and a couple of cm tomorrow.
     
  44. Telestrom

    Telestrom A Local

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  45. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Peace Avenue Fairlie
    [​IMG]
     
  46. jab1966

    jab1966 Hard Yards

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    Great day up at Porters again today. Was some good snow, but glad I took my rock hopper as what looked good had a few surprises underneath..... Unfortunately T2 broke down around lunch due to someone not getting off and pulling off the cable!! Apart from that they managed the crowds well. Have heard reports from Hutt that it was a bit of a nightmare with cars all over the road early and they shut the rd at 10.30 due to being at capacity. I suppose that's what happens if you sell 14000 season passes and they all turn up on the same day!!!
     
  47. johnski

    johnski Hard Yards Ski Pass: Gold

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    Any views on the Canterbury weather outlook for end of next week into following week (having issues with my snow-forecast subscription for the 9 day forecast) need to decide within next 3 days whether to book the annul craigieburn trip for 13th to 20th August or hold off until 27th August to 3rd September, looks like there is a nw system coming through on 12 th or 13th August - any views on freezing level - have had many trips to the clubbies where the nwestrly delivers the wrong type of precipitation. Thoughts appreciated. Cheers
     
  48. col

    col One of Us

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    Looks like something on Friday night up high. Maybe not very cold but hard to say. If it comes off could be 10-20cm for Canterbury.

    Then I see a follow up system on Monday 15th. There is HEAPS of new snow at Mt. Hutt. I was there today and it was fully tracked out but found some untracked stuff out the back.

    Snow still covers the plains below....not as much snow at Porters but thats still pretty good.
     
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  49. D64133

    D64133 Guest

    Should have been at Hutt last week, snow was awesome. just couldn't see it. :(
     
  50. col

    col One of Us

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    looking a bit better this morning. Lets hope its cold enough.

    [​IMG]