New Zealand NZ Obs/Predictions 2016

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Draizuh, Apr 30, 2016.

  1. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Yeah, it's a bit breezy, but not particularly out of the ordinary.
     
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  2. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Should set the base up quite nicely :)
     
  3. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Metservice predicting 24cm above 1500m for Queenstown area over Sunday and Monday...
     
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  4. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Metservice getting a bit giddy now 40cm for Queenstown area! Seems a bit far fetched hahah:p
     
  5. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    #55 Zimboo, May 21, 2016
    Last edited: May 21, 2016
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  6. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Yr.no close enough agrees with Metservice, 40-50cm.
     
  7. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    It's coming south east. So it's possible. We do best out of a SE. Probably won't do much for coronet though. It's been raining on and off for pretty much a week and a half straight. Lake wakatipu is very high. Natural snow line is sitting around 1500m in Queenstown. Bit lower down my way. Raining quite steadily from the south right now. Snow to 900m forecast for otago and southland hills.
     
  8. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    25-35cm over the next few days is very welcome ahead of the promising system next weekend. Early season starting to look pretty good:woohoo:
     
  9. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Metservice has backed off a bit, 25cm for Queenstown. Mountainwatch has upgraded to 28cm over the next 3 days, with 17cm on Tuesday?
     
  10. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Snowing from the south isn't likely to get big totals. It's down to about 700m around my place this morning but very little actual snowfall. Barely above 4°c at the house I reckon.
     
  11. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    3.4 in Queenstown, Windchill -2
    Just drove back home and it was sleeting most of the way home with the odd flake in there. Reckon i might see some accumulation at the house. First time ive had the fire on during the day time!
     
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  12. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Heavy snow on the Remarkables cams at the moment
     
  13. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    The real show should start from about 9pm tonight.
     
  14. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Wednesday/Thursday also looking good for another 10cm or so.
     
    #64 Roarkie, May 22, 2016
    Last edited: May 22, 2016
  15. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Remarkables saying 25cm.
    Local climbers reporting 40cm in the upper shadow basin area.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

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    Upper shadow

    [​IMG]
     
  16. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Only gonna get better tonight :)
     
  17. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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  18. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Rain has started up again. still about 3 degrees. still about 10mm forecast overnight so another 10cm of snow easy.. this week is looking good too!
     
  19. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    Well, Metservice said 5mm fell between 10am - 6pm and Remarks got 25cm.
    So if it continues this way with another 10mm forecast then Remarks could get another 50cm tonight!!!!
    Hope the scale continues. :)
     
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  20. expatgm

    expatgm Addicted

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    Feeling somewhat optimistic might get first tracks this week.
    More than can be said for Aussie LOL.
     
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  21. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    There is of course the rain shadow effect. Higher terrain will always pick up more moisture.
     
  22. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Remarks snow making also kicking off next few days;)
     
  23. expatgm

    expatgm Addicted

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    Not exactly depends on freezing levels and prevailing winds, in some cases ridges are stripped bare by the wind and best snow can be found lower down. just need to be continually observant as conditions can change rapidly.
     
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  24. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Looking at the charts, should get another 5-10cm over this week after Monday. Next Tuesday/Wednesday looks interesting as well for 10-20cm or so, but still a bit far out.
     
  25. windy

    windy Hard Yards

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    Why does it seem that the remarks is picking up all the snow? Has it got to do with the direction it faces?
     
  26. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    Direction of the weather running into the mountains and where the resort is located depending on the weather direction.
     
  27. MisterMxyzptlk

    MisterMxyzptlk Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's a lot higher than Coronet
     
  28. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    Correct but also not the reason.....................the base of Remarks is close in altitude to the top of Coronet. Remarks received much more at it's base today than Coronet received at its top. It's all about direction.
     
  29. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    The remarkables is the furthest south ski area in NZ, double cone, its high point is also the highest point between NZ and Antarctica.
    When weather arrives southerly, the moisture in the higher parts of the atmosphere faces little in the way of resistance until it arrives in the remarkables area and alot of it catches into the previously glaciated terrain.
    The remarkables ski area is also a glacial carved cirque which creates alot of swirling winds which makes for a lot of wind loading. A lot of it also faces directly north.

    Coronet on the other hand is only 1600m at its summit, the same level as the remarkables car park.
     
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  30. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Moutainwatch saying 12cm next Saturday. Not sure of that myself, looking at the charts.
     
  31. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    It's like the question.............why did Treble Cone receive so much snow after a NW system? Location to the weather.
     
  32. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    Looking better later at this stage.
     
  33. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Precip looks to be sliding north of Queenstown? Imo.
     
    #83 Roarkie, May 22, 2016
    Last edited: May 22, 2016
  34. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    Too far out at this stage to know. The ECL once it forms (if it forms) off Sth NSW on Friday could go anywhere.
    Just have to wait and watch - that's the fun part.
     
  35. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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  36. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    TC Enjoys a position very close to the main divide and recieves a lot from NWer when it spills over the divide. coronet isnt that much further away and can do well from a strong NWer also.
     
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  37. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Metservice saying Queenstown recorded 10.2mm in the last 2 hours.
    Its still raining very steadily to the south of queenstown. Its been rather consistent all day.

    Id say there could be a good 30cm plus up there by morning, possibly more.

    To do list this week:
    Wax Splitboard.
     
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  38. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Has there been any accumulation at your place Draizuh?
     
  39. windy

    windy Hard Yards

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    Make sure to post photos, I need something to keep me going until I arrive in August ;)
     
  40. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Nah it not cold enough down at this level. Id say the snowlines at about 700m. Its very cold rain and there is ice particles in it, but not quite sleet.
     
  41. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Further 10mm between 12 and 6 am. Still plenty cold enough for snow.
     
  42. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Another SE system on Thursday, not as cold and not as much precip but resorts should still get 5-10cm.
     
  43. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Remarks & Cardies reporting huge totals this morning after overnight nukage
     
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  44. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    As Richie Benaud would have said "simply marvelous".
    More snow in a few more days time, then another system Sunday.
    Freeze levels look to be around 1200-1400m for the next two systems at this stage.
     
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  45. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Metservice has issued another warning for Otago. Another 15-20cm tonight possibly.
     
  46. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    Must be some tasty photos floating around. Anyone got some?
     
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  47. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Another 35cm to come for Remarkables this week according to mountainwatch. Should also be able to pump out a lot of snow with cold temps in the nights. Good week for base building :woohoo:
     
    #97 Roarkie, May 23, 2016
    Last edited: May 23, 2016
  48. craighelo

    craighelo One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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  49. bengarden

    bengarden One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    You gotta be pumped with those totals to start the season. Someone didn't get the memo about the slow start to the season for NZ that a few places have predicted........even if it warms up a bit in the next week or two with snow making and a bit more natural forecast should be great mid June at this rate. We can only wish for over half a metre here in OZ to get things going.......I was thinking of a sneaky NZ trip too but ended up buying a Perisher season pass. Heres hoping we get some of that stuff soon to start things off.
     
  50. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Remarks this afternoon.