New Zealand NZ Obs/Predictions 2016

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Draizuh, Apr 30, 2016.

  1. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    I bet NZ have a good early season, then OZ will have a good late season
     
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  2. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Scrap that. Latest forecasts indicating 2-3cm. Will be very cold though for snowmaking, which is just as important :)
     
  3. col

    col One of Us

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    ok bummer.....looks like most of the moisture will push up out to the west on Tuesday. Lets hope its wrong. Metvuw looking ok still though.
     
  4. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Also have to take into account how unpredictable the weather has been the last few weeks. Was only looking like 5cm for Remarks yesterday, yet they end up with 15cm. And last Sunday, about 30cm was forecasted, and resorts get 50cm-100cm. Anyway, come Tuesday we will find out.
     
  5. col

    col One of Us

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    Porters report for this morning:

    "Last night we had another 30cm on the upper mountain and 20cm in the car park. The upper mountain has now a consistent average base of 75cm which is awesome for this time of the year."

    Excellent....I have a porters seasons pass this year. Not even June yet !
     
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  6. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Snowing again on the Remarks cams. Snow guns also on.
     
  7. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    Awful conditions at the Remarks today.
     
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  8. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Remarks reporting 15cm on 29/5/2016. Is that yesterday's fall, or was there another 15cm today?
     
  9. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Overnights, It was snowing on an off today, but not that much. Still raining here, bit warmer on 6c but still cold enough for snow.
     
  10. col

    col One of Us

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    Looks like Tuesday morning is back on again according to Metservice. Forecast is Porters 19cm, Hutt 12cm...Queenstown Wanaka less.

    Dobson this morning

    [​IMG]

    Mt Hutt:

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    #160 col, May 30, 2016
    Last edited: May 30, 2016
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  11. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    So far so good. Looks like we'll have a chance to dry out down south over the next few days, then things will likely turn NW. Let's hope that is shortlived before the next snow bearing system.
     
  12. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Keep an eye on the 10th-12th.
     
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  13. buckcompton

    buckcompton Hard Yards

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    You better be wrong mate!

    Im heading to NZ for 8 days from 20th August to 28th.
     
  14. col

    col One of Us

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    Computer still bullish for tomorrow night. Forecast still says Mt Hutt = 21cm. I reckon less....maybe only 10cm
     
  15. jab1966

    jab1966 Hard Yards

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  16. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Raining steadily at my place for about an hour, Nothing showing on queenstown metservice though. Still calling for snow to 300m
     
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  17. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Passing down in Dunedin and cooling down. Be interesting to see whether the hill suburbs cop some snow. Rock not Pillar range is loaded
     
  18. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Currently about 3 degrees at my place (at the foot of the Remarks) and steady rain has set in. QLDC road report has issued a chain advisory for the Crown Range where snow is settling down to Crown Terraces.
     
  19. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    When I flew home end of last week from Auckland it was noticeable how loaded all the ranges out east were, Pisa, Old Man and Old Woman, Dunstan, St Bathan's, St Mary, right out as far you could see to Rock and Pillar.[​IMG]
     
    #169 ScottGN, May 31, 2016
    Last edited: May 31, 2016
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  20. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Snow settling now on Deer Park Hill.
     
  21. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    A dusting to 400 m on the hills around Dunedin this morning.

    Cams suggest that Southern Lakes may have picked up a bit more precip than forecast from the front this morning. Good to see.
     
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  22. col

    col One of Us

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    raining for last 6 hours here in Christchurch with a pretty much constant stream of moisture heading towards Mt Hutt. They should do well out of this one. Computer has downgraded to 10-15cm since I last looked.
     
  23. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    We had snow settling to lake level down here in the southern wakatipu this morning. Was sleeting very very heavily when i left for work at 7am this morning.
     
  24. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Coronet Peak reporting 10cm on facebook.
     
  25. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    June update from Moutainwatch is up and it isn't such great reading.
     
  26. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Yeah but the may "forecast" wasnt exactly accurate.
     
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  27. essjaywhy

    essjaywhy One of Us

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    pretty cracker snoMay so far, get the feeling a real decent base is building

    any field open yet ?

    http://snow.co.nz/snowreports/
    very schizo, sayss Roundhill opens Feb 7th ...
    useless website
     
  28. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Just crunched across my frosty lawn to where I get a view of Coronet Peak, all the guns are blazing away this morning.
     
  29. col

    col One of Us

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    Mt Hutt reports +25cm this morning. Heaps more than expected.
     
  30. col

    col One of Us

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    make that +30cm

    Porters reporting +20cm

    Hutt now on 65-100cm & Porters 85+ cm....great start to the season for Canterbury.
     
    #180 col, Jun 1, 2016
    Last edited: Jun 1, 2016
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  31. windy

    windy Hard Yards

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    What's everyone's thoughts on the next week? Looks like it's going to be a bit warmer. Anything to worry about?
     
  32. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Not yet. Models seem a bit out of whack this far out?
    At any rate a nor-wester and rain event preceding colder sou-westers is a typical feature of winter in the Southern Alps.
     
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  33. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Looks like guns have been on since midday yesterday at Coronet, a lot of snow making going on.
     
  34. col

    col One of Us

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    Maybe rain on 9/6 then possibly snow next day as it moves over or even no rain at all. Hard to tell this far out. Looks like queenstown/wanaka will get some snow Friday 10th.

    I reckon more damage will be done to the Aussie resorts on 6/6 with rain likely. What little snow they have could be completely washed away...same system
     
  35. expatgm

    expatgm Addicted

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    Not sure about warmer, more like cold and frosty. Fun skiing at cp today good powder in places. Remarks tomorrow after work. ( I start work early ).
     
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  36. windy

    windy Hard Yards

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    Well it sure looks colder than here in brissy. Save some snow for me ;) August can't come soon enough.
     
  37. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Hopefully there isn't too much rain next week, and the cover isn't damaged too much. Forecasts indicating that it should be 'repaired' by a strong system on the 15th or so, which should be aided by southerly winds. Still a while off though.
     
  38. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    Freezing levels would have been pretty low this morning. Queenstown got to -5.2 coronet was absolutely pumping snow out all damn day. When snowmaking hits below -6 they can fire up to the maximum output and they really starting pumping out the goods. thats when you start getting some big big whales!
     
  39. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    The base will take a pretty big hit next week. Temps up to 8 degrees and rain on the weekend. :(
     
  40. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Quick question for those who know better than me: are yr.no temps reliable for NZ?
     
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  41. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Personally I'm more likely to consult the charts on weatherzone and then turn to Metservice and snow-forecast.com.
     
  42. Draizuh

    Draizuh One of Us

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    If you are after Freezing level temps i find snow-forecast.com to predict very close to what we receive.
     
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  43. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Cheers guys
     
  44. col

    col One of Us

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    Well I was right about Aussie resorts. Looks like it is going to be a complete washout over there and what little snow they had will be gone by tomorrow. Metservice has most of the moisture tracking towards the nth island from this so looks like the sth island may only see a few showers hitting the west coast about Thursday 9/6. Possibility followed up by more snow on 11/6 for queenstown/wanaka??
     
  45. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Yep, this rain event has definitely downgraded. Shouldn't be too much snow on 11th, but snowmaking should happen. There is a promising system around the 14th that is much colder, and could drop some pretty good snow looking at GFS.
     
  46. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    Possible snow on Thursday with Metservice predicting snow down to 1800m around Queenstown.
     
  47. Telestrom

    Telestrom A Local

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    So CP should be all good then. ;-)
     
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  48. Roarkie

    Roarkie Addicted

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    J
    Just sayin, better than completely rain ;)
     
  49. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Frontal rain for the Lakes later this week looks pretty minimal now as the Alps do their blocking thing. Freezing level is going to drop quickly from Friday arvo, down to around 700 metres by Saturday. Any rain damage that Coronet Peak gets should be more than restored by the end of opening weekend.
    You can feel the buzz around town as the kickoff gets closer.
     
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  50. col

    col One of Us

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    might not even rain at all. If it does it will not be much and possibly replaced by next Tuesday.