Why run when you can walk? Nothing too spectacular this far, and nothing super inspiring yet in the longer range outlook. The prospect of a "weak/non-traditional" El Nino is fairly ambiguous as far as outlook goes. There is probably an expectation of enhanced SW flow which is typically good for the Southern Lakes. Above average SSTs persist, and the outlook for winter temperature wise is mild at this stage. That said, the precip outlook is normal to above normal, and snow cover duration in the region of our southern ski areas is more sensitive to variability in precipitation than temperature. If I could define a "fairly normal" ski season for the lower South Island, that's what I'd be predicting. Probably a bit scratchier in eastern ranges of Canterbury.