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Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Lady Penelope, Apr 30, 2020.
No news re snow depth at Spencers for 9th/10th July. Last reading 21.6 cm on 1st. 3 Mile Dam still zero for public access and snow and I don't know how deep the creek might be at Deep Ck but the snow depth is a very shallow 7.3 cm, 3 cm worse than last year. Perhaps an update later today... W
Thredbo is reporting a natural depth of 33cm. So that could be it
33.9. Lowest this time of the year since 2015.
Let’s hope we see an increase similar to 2015’s .... (edit: graph is definitely Spencer’s Creek if anyone is confused).
I predict 98.3cm for thursday
60 + cm of fresh but gluggy snow will compact under its own weight. By how much is the $64 question. Little wind to scour or build drifts so coverage is even, but that's irrelevant to upcoming measurement. 88 cm for me... W
It almost mirrors last year. Do we throw in five dollars each and whoever guesses keeps the kitty? My option is 92.4cm.
88.6cm on the deck this week.
given water content is a key part of the measuring equation - could easily blow out to a +1 metre reading.
it's pure glug and basically only groomers are skiable at the moment
freeze overnight byt no way is it over 1m. ill go 65cm.
58 for me.
I’ll go for 100.1
Is no news good news? Latest stats still not up.. W
Often doesn’t go up till Friday morning, although you often see it on resort sites first
Edit: Thredbo now reporting 90cm. So something on 90cm is all but confirmed as today’s reading.
And I estimated 88 cm but Nightskywatcher said 89 !!!!
Data up with 90.2 cm for Spencers at 1830 m, a mere 7.3 for Deep Ck - at 1600 m but on W side of ranges, and just 1 cm at 3 Mile dam at 1500 m... W
Well with 90.2cm on the ground we have done better than the worst season on record. 2006 stands to live another year in shame
And peak depth is traditionally toward the end of August or later.
You’ve both done very well! Now for next week with minimal snow in the forecast ....
Did I win, did I win, did I win
What did i win?
Considering approximately or precisely 22mm of 'settling' or 'compacting", it looks like my 92.4 was about spot on as it was only 22mm out / 2.2cm.
We must my comment gentlemen.. 88.6cm on the deck this week.
Once again no update on Thurs. It's set like concrete apparently so maybe down to 80 cm with not much from the sky in the last week.. W
Measurement taken Wednesday @ 84cm. As per SMSkier.
Snow pack consolidating nicely.
Unfortunately I think the depth will reduce next week. 82cms. What a sod of a season!
Probably below 60cm by this Thursday! Doesn’t seem to be as much of a rush for online day tickets in advance now?
Quite likely. Unless we start to get some cold fronts dumping snow (and the outlook doesn’t look good) there is a real possibility of an early season peak (ie July!).
You are starting to sound like @rocketboy It is a terrible season, no doubt. However, still 10 weeks of season to go. I am sure we will get a decent system come through at some stage in August
Late season comin up
We did peak late October not too many years ago. Rare that the peak is not around the end of August though?
Statistically it is typically last week of august or first week of september. There was an analysis done on the spencers data a couple of years ago that showed it was gradually trending slightly later. That was posted on these forums, but buggered if I can find it
Here you go.
I found the link to the data about date of peak depth, originally analysed by Gerg.
Good job I found it, because my recollection was completely wrong Turns out day of peak depth is trending earlier, not later
Wouldn't you all prefer we get the bad season out of the way this year? Clear the decks for a ripper season next year.
CW I would actually prefer a better season this year to help make up for the non-existent summer we had. I feel so sorry for the businesses here and would hate virtually all of them to be forced out of business. In addition there is nothing to look forward to as far as a northern hemisphere winter visit is concerned. I think a big fall of beautiful dry snow would be very welcome here.
A 2016 repeat maybe. Starts dumping As soon as the lifts close!
Only 10 months to June
I’ll take that
or 9 months to peak 2021 depth in May