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Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Aug 8, 2010.
low pressure flakes froggy
That loop is a thing of beauty. IMO
10.15pm & still light rain at thredbo village. AWS showing 22kmh NW wind and -1.6 still waiting for this big snow fall.
Looks like snow down to about 1500m in NSW at the moment. From the obs of Perisher AWS 10-15cm maybe since it turned at 6pm above about 1600m. The village in Thredbo should see some flakes when it turns more SW tomorrow. This is looking pretty good at the moment.
Thredbo village unfortunately about 150m too low at the moment.
I'm sure up top it doing well though. still snowing lightly here at Smiggins.
I observe that it's probably a good thing the village cam isn't working. Raining in the village, pretty steadily. Should be some nice snow up higher though.
15cms fallen at cp since 5pm
Otways and western districts getting very wet atm. Rotating around Melb and mountains tho. BOM downgraded this mornings rain but upgraded for the arvo.
Due to stalling I would say
Looks good here at perisher this morning. Looking out the window, 15-20 cm an still fine light snow. Windy though.
nice band heading in from the north towards the vic resorts .
barely 5 cm at Buller - better than a poke in the eye, but the 20cm that Perisher got would have been better. Notice there seems to have been downgrades in moisture for the next couple of days in most forecasts as well
I should mention that early this morning a floodwatch was issued for Melbourne and surrounds, not often that is issued so far in advance.
I observe 52.8mm of rain at Port Fairy (Vic) so far!
With 8mm in 30 mins!
Has the Thompson filled yet? Would love to hear how much it's gone up!
Back on topic and the Perisher cams look tasty this morning after their 18cm O'night - Mountainwatch FV cam shows the snow has stopped for the moment but has that threatening look that it could start up again any minute.....
Thompson will be a long time before she is full again. Only at 24.1% at the moment
I observe that over the next few day she should rise quite a bit though
I observe blob making its way across Victoria
Low on the move east again after being stationary for a while. Moisture is being cut off slowly but there is enough there and enough cold air to produce a decent fall of snow.
Once the centre of the low hits the Tasman(say off Gabo Island, it will pick up more moisture IMO.
It might also pick up some of the moisture which is currently waaaaay below South Australia. In fact LAPS has that scenario happening by Friday.
Re: Vic Resorts -
any updates on how low the falls got to overnight? was it top to bottom or r##n damage to lower slopes?
Also how are we looking today freezing level wise?
Falls reporting 6cms but have the snow depth the same so obviously some rain damage.
Hotham reporting 9cms.
Hopefully a good dump today and tmrw!
Nice walk to work this morning in Jindabyne the clouds lifted for 5 minutes and the sun was catching the fresh new layer on the hills just up towards the resorts. Brisk Breeze but not overly cold at around 7c
Observing the rainfall figures for western districts and radar images has shown that EC and UKMET have got this one pretty much right - the rainfall has spun up through the west rather than GFS's suggestion of central to eastern districts. This favours the northern resorts, although Buller and Baw Baw will have their turn later today.
I note on the sat loops that the low is spinning the moisture on a pretty tight radius, so you'd hope there'd be more moisture+cold coming for the Alps.
I observe lots of blowing snow at Charlotte Pass
Ok, the centre has hit the water in Bass Strait, and the central pressure has dropped to 998hPa.
This is very good, as the pressure gradient will increase, it will spin more, and the system will suck up more moisture, IMO!!!!
the satellite pic and cloud mass is looking purrrfect
Anyone got any on mountains is from Vic? Weatherzone showing no precipitation since 9am, judging by the radar, I would suggest that information is probably incorrect.
There is a bit of a clear spot where the cloud is wrapping around the low.
See the Predictions thread for the latest prognosis!!!1
Been light snow since 7.30 this morning here at hotham. Very nice out today, pretty windy, but snow is reasonably good
Snowing lightly but consistently in Thredbo Village over the last hour and a half, mixture of both windblown and precipitation. Very small flakes.
Temps still above zero, so no accumulations yet (although I am sure that it is a different story up on the mountain).
Rain has set in at St Kilda. Wind still from the north, chilly, miserable out there now.
Mt William gusts to 117 Kph!
I observe we had 90mm of rain at my place here in Brisbane in the last 24hrs, most of that was last night. Not raining now.
I observe its -2.4c top of Perisher, and snow on the cams!
Negative 1000's for preassure now for Thredbo
Under 1000 at falls also and just received unconfirmed report that "it's dumping". -2.4oC means for really nice dry snow at that!
Lowest pressure in Victoria seems to be at Geelong, at 996.7 hPa
The fact that it's still west of Melbourne is a good sign.
We could be looking at some serious lifting with that sort of low pressure Sandy, wouldnt you think?
Yes, it's all looking very promising right now.....
996.3 hPa in Geelong now.
The Bogong Moth motel in Tawonga South has a weather station which is a reasonable proxy for Falls. Falls generally does get a little bit more than down in the valley obviously.
check out the pressure drop at thredders! Link
In Canberra it's been 6-7 degrees all day with light rain and a gusty westerly.
995.8 hPa in Geelong now.... the low is deepening!!!!
looks like the low is centered right over Avalon airport looking at radar and satellite loops.
No the best for rain in Melbourne but good for elsewhere.
Melbourne is gonna get belted by ferocious winds and rain tonight, hang on to you hat CC. Can't believe how low the pressure is dropping, the lowest so far this year.
Looks like Geelong might have bottomed out at 995.8 hPa because it's now 996.0 hPa. Avalon was still heading down a little to 996.1 hPa.
Mt Gellibrand west of Geelong is 995.9 hPa
Melbourne 996.8 hPa
Laverton 996.3 hPa
All other places around that area are higher (around 998 hPa), so we know where the low pressure is located!!
I expect we will. Mt William got to 139 Kph today, but I doubt we'll get past 100 kph in Melbourne.
Is this really going to help with moisture over the Alps though?
Seems the low is positioned now in the wrong place and will favour useless Western Vic.