Predictions October 3rd - 5th

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Sep 26, 2016.

  1. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    But wait, you also get another dumper between the 3rd & 5th ...
    (IMO)

    [​IMG]

     
  2. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  3. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Open to being ridged out, but given the anomalies progged over the next 96 hours we'll need Thursday's system to clear before it's a consideration IMO.
     
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  4. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    A much different front to Thursday's beast IMO
    Cold and heavy IMO
    Let's see how the beast moves through the bight before jumping to any major conclusion about this one.
     
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  5. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Dis. But I wouldnt write off anything this spring.
     
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  6. sbm

    sbm One of Us

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    Yr.no is off its nut, forecasting ~80mm for Perisher on tuesday/wednesday?
     
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  7. jungfrau

    jungfrau One of Us

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    Same for Vic... What are the chances of Falls creek extending season?
     
  8. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Probably not
     
  9. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Can't see it happening TBH.
    Likely good rainfall Monday morning ahead of this little number.
     
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  10. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Except a stable high pressure. Bloody hell.
     
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  11. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Last spring it wasnt even a discussion of when to go out for a fish, any day was good. This year, it's which few hours are the least windy for us to go out in. Nuts.
     
  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  13. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  14. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Oh go on GFS give us a cm...
     
  15. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  16. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    ^^ Double whammy, although probably mostly the clear stuff in the first band.
     
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  17. jeffx

    jeffx Hard Yards

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  18. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Where do you buy high pressures
     
  19. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    From the Southern Indian Ocean
     
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  20. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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  21. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    They must be a high price this year.
     
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  22. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    This high is not very convincing. Still ridging and windy enough. Want the high more centered further south

    [​IMG]
     
  23. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Goid year for planting.
     
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  24. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I would like 4-5 days worth please, in a row.
     
  25. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm sure October will deliver for you.
     
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  26. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    After 11th Oct should be good
     
  27. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Too high.
     
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  28. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hoping my knee is too.
    Like to get up at least once this season.
    1st ever no ride calender year since.....1994
     
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  29. jeffx

    jeffx Hard Yards

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    Cold and moisture rich.

    [​IMG]


    [​IMG]
     
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  30. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Could actually deliver more snow than this weeks system IMO
     
  31. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yep.
    This Adelaide system is more an epic weather event.
    Should still deliver though.
     
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  32. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Yeh, the current system will be more epic, however the winds are so strong it will limit the amount of rainfall IMO.
     
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  33. jeffx

    jeffx Hard Yards

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    [​IMG]


    [​IMG]
    12z harsh conditions.
     
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  34. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Looks solid.
     
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  35. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Tasty... maybe next Tuesday or Wednesday for best day of season.
     
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  36. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  37. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Would have been nice a few weeks ago.
     
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  38. sbm

    sbm One of Us

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    I think I'm bailing on trying to ski or bike tour this long weekend, weather is too much IMO. Looking at late next week now.

    Snowy River Extreme whitewater kayak race is on the lower snowy this Sunday. My forecast for the Sydney Students Kayaking group was that conditions are looking "epic to terrifying".
     
  39. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    if the FL was a tad lower on Monday morning....
    as it is MR looks to be in for an impressive 7 days from today.
     
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  40. jeffx

    jeffx Hard Yards

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  41. Karicta

    Karicta A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    This season is officially ridiculous
     
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  42. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yr no totals - Mount Kozzy are up to over 70cm :eek:. Surely not.
     
  43. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    And that is a downgrade the 7 day accumulation was over a metre a few days ago.
     
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  44. climberman

    climberman CloudRide1000 Legend Ski Pass: Gold

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    I was thinking... "Alaskan"!
     
  45. dr80

    dr80 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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  46. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looking massive for resorts in the upper-reaches from Mon through Wednesday on GFS 00Z run.
    Main front passing early Monday morning. Timing dependent, places like Bogong could see a foot of snow by daybreak.

    Hotham & Falls will do well.
    [​IMG]

    Winds will be chronic come Monday night.
    [​IMG]

    Potential storm total
    [​IMG]
     
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  47. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Early hours Monday has been wavering a bit temp wise, it doesn't need to drop much for big totals. Conversely if it doesn't drop then we are looking at a lot of undesirable precipitation at pretty damaging rates.. Given the surface is unlikely to be very resilient.
     
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  48. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Snow down to 1800m as the front passes IMO. Falls down to 1400m by 7/8am.
     
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  49. fmdc9

    fmdc9 Hard Yards

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    so are we talking prefontal in the resorts (perisher) in the early morning monday followed up snowfalls during the day, through to wednesday? thinking about a trip up on monday,
     
  50. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Pre frontal Sunday night to Monday ~3am in the resorts likely IMO. Peaks and MR should see snow from maybe as early as midnight Monday IMO.