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Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by BH, May 28, 2008.
Pilot to Navigator..Pilot to Navigator............Snow approaching at 8 o'clock
IMO, the front will be slowed up by the nw stream. Just in time to slow up over the nsw alps. 30cm with the addition of this moisture for nsw 20-25 for hotham and falls and only 15 for buller and baw baw as the front will be moving faster over these resorts.
With max daily temps of 6 degrees (even at the top of the mountain) I'm predicting any snowfall at Perisher to melt by Wed/Thurs next week.
Can someone on this thread with high connections ask this front to sssssllllllllooooooooooowwwwww ddoooooooowwwwwwwwwnnnnnnn...
for front valley, in the past, when they get a snowfall like this they will make a tone of snow as well as grooming it making it much more resistant to melting. IMO, this system will get front valley mabye a little more. Still going for 30cm, that will stay aroung 4 a while, long enough for the 21st system
Hopefully overnight temps will be low enough for snowmakers to top up what melts during the day. I think Merrits is a chance for Monday at Thredbo.
I'd just hate to be a snowflake on Front valley, looks to me like it will be sitting in 7/8 degree weather for 10 days, waiting for the next 'system' to come through..
I'm meltinnnnnggggg...arghhh. Please mother nature, help us out here!
Snowmakers will be pumping the good stuff out hardcore at night- Looks to me like nothing will be lost there will be a net gain by the end of the week.
Can't convince myself of anything more than 10 - 15cm. Temps are still relatively warm in western VIC and the sat pic does not show that much cloud. Will be nice to get some cold weather though.
The daily maximum is just that - a maximum. Not an average. Could be reached for 5 minutes in the middle of the afternoon. Temperatures still don't look great from the link you're showing but they are a long way off being constant 6 degrees for 10 days.
I have to say I've seen the very same BlueHue (good to see others watching the sat loop - not a model fan meself...) The NW moist feed appears to be going at a rate of knots quicker than the SW front. In fact, I'd almost go so far as to say that they look like colliding perfectly over the Alps at their current progress! This is a very, VERY good thing
We had a very similar situation at SIC at Buller ('02 or '03??) and it gave us a 80-90cm dump!!!!! Truly stunning and unbelieveable.
We'll just have to wait and see tomorrow
OMG, if we get nearly a meter im going to take a few days off school.
I like the optimism! Fingers and toes crossed that this bring something good
1 meter!!!!!!! i thought i was pushing it predicting 30cm! i don't think the moisture is anywhere near that.
I hope i am wrong!!!!!
by any chance was that dump around july 2002, maybe around school holiday period?
24-25 July 2003. At Buller it was more like 50cm.
Either way if theres a run open this week ill be up at buller . I wouldnt be suprised if up to at least bb1 is open. They have snow guns probably every 20 meters up to there so if there on there game theyll pump out alot of man made snow while its snowing!
oooh okay, i was at Baw Baw in 2002 i think and it snowed alot the night before we went, from bald as it is now, to completely open and covered. Anyways back on topic...
15 - 20 NSW
Vic to recieve a little more, give or take should start a base for the major resorts.
Reckon enuff to open at least 1 run sat.
I would not worry about the resiliance of any snow that falls (20cm more in wind drifts), all you have to is look at the web cams and see that the man made has managed to hang in there for over a week with barely an overnight frost and there are still small drifts still up top of thredbo from more than three weeks ago also the resorts will also run the groomers over anywhere there is enough snow again helping the snow that is there not to melt as fast as if they did not pack it down.