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Predictions Predictions 1st -5th August

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Jul 23, 2015.

  1. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Saturday Night Looks Good too now on ACCESS R. But TEMPS better during the week.

    [​IMG]
     
  2. Belly

    Belly A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm no snow forecaster but with the low sitting just off the antartic shelf I was wondering where the moisture would come from for Wednesday's dump. And generally Vic would do better than NSW from bread'n'butter SW systems would they not!?
     
  3. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    This arvo's GFS looks good for those restricted to weekends for the next couple of weeks. Just stay cold and snowy till friday night please system.
     
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  4. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Based on the GFS I should see you out there on the Friday. HMM-MM were do you session. Need to overnight it to really nail it with the dry stuff.Be good to meet you out there in the snow cave that "Bloke & Co" might Dig for Us if they show up. Who knows maybe even the feral goat from Brogo might turn up. But heaven forbid the Franksters from Tathra they will rob you of your line. LOL.

    EC going for Sunday clearing Monday / Tuesday.

    GFS going for Wednesday - Thursday Clearing Friday.

    Bom going with everything. i am on board with BOM access.

    But this will change no doubt
    [​IMG]
     
    #204 7wombathead, Jul 31, 2015
    Last edited: Jul 31, 2015
  5. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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  6. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    This is my first time so please tell me if I'm out of line. 2 things required for snow, moisture and cold air, very cold air. Sat. should produce a nice 5 to 10 then Wed up to 20. After that who knows, anything could happen. I was born and raised in the North East of Vic and helped dig the lifts out at Mt. Buffalo in 1964 when there was 3 meters of snow there. That was a cold and wet year. I enjoy reading all the posts and every one has a different view of what's about to happen. I still believe a dropping air pressure and dropping temps mean more than anything else. Have a nice day and enjoy the fresh, dry snow that will fall tomorrow through to Thursday. Not a lot of it but great quality.
     
  7. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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  8. blackice

    blackice One of Us

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    Casper has been a bit bent out of shape..

    I predict I'll be able to provide observations from PV for the week starting Sunday ;)

    EDIT : I still like Casper :D
     
    #208 blackice, Jul 31, 2015
    Last edited: Jul 31, 2015
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  9. blackice

    blackice One of Us

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    One day out, any updated predictions?

    Divergence, convergence...possibly something on Saturday, Sunday, Monday - possibly something else on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

    Glengary has had a go. Anyone else prepared to give it a crack regarding falls?

    I'm sure you regular contributors do realise, but there is a large crowd of silent lurkers riding the roller coaster of every system(s) - so no pressure ;)
     
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  10. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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    I will stick my neck out and say 50-60cm by first tracks Thus.
     
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  11. brett gordon

    brett gordon Hard Yards Ski Pass: Gold

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    I predict I am going to be a very happy vegemite this time next week at perisher starting 9 days of skiing
     
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  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    EC looking very good for Wednesday on this afternoon's runs IMO.
     
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  13. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Really quite hard to get a good handle on totals. TBH
    NSW looks to do better in the first phase of the system.
    I'm thinking 30-40cm for NSW for Saturday & Sunday
    20-30cm for Vic
    Then for Sunday - Monday 10-15cm (both NSW & Vic)
    Then Wednesday 20-30cm NSW & Vic - but I'd be careful that estimate, as the models are far from settled about the strength of the Wednesday front.
     
  14. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    The moon says ..... snow :thumbs:
     
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  15. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Blue too.
     
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  16. PMG

    PMG One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ditto GFS
     
  17. Nidecker

    Nidecker One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    At Marg River it used to mean surf as well :) Always wonder how the moon manages to do both so well?
     
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  18. blackice

    blackice One of Us

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    Thanks guys, I'll be contributing in the obs thread for the rest of the week.
     
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  19. Lady Penelope

    Lady Penelope One of some lot ... Ski Pass: Gold

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    Anyone willing to predict Sunday's conditions, particularly at Perisher? 100kmh winds with kids = not pleasant at all! Was planning a day trip tomorrow ...
     
  20. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo Ski Pass: Gold

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    This is Wind tomorrow from 7 am in 3hr increments. Speed is in knots. More Red = Bad

    Sorry M'Lady.

    [​IMG]
     
  21. Lady Penelope

    Lady Penelope One of some lot ... Ski Pass: Gold

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    S
    i predict we will sleep in!
     
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  22. zar

    zar One of Us

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    Anyone willing to make a prediction on whether a) it will snow in Hobart at sealevel on Monday and b) chances of it settling, and how much?

    This will be the first settled snow in the CBD ( if it comes off ) for 30 years but no one is touching it. Even Ms Jane Bunn has gone quiet, in the past we could rely on her for a Tas forecast ( no one else bothers ).
     
  23. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    I think Hobart a better chance on Thursday and Friday
     
  24. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    If you look at the current sat picture you can see the super cold pool sw of Tassie. Apparently Hobart can get caught in some sort of rain shadow and miss out when other locations at sea level get snow you would need to talk to someone from Tassie.
     
  25. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Agree and so are the mainland resorts
     
  26. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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    Wed still looking good [​IMG]
     
  27. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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    Upgrade for Tue IMO [​IMG]
     
  28. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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    Tue GFS upgrade IMO [​IMG]
     
  29. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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  30. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Has a low developing of the NSW coast And spag watchers is it casper.
     
    #230 TomGroggon, Aug 1, 2015
    Last edited: Aug 1, 2015
  31. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    BOM suggesting snow above 600 M NSW CT's on Wednesday
     
  32. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Wow that's low long way out but interesting weather coming up.
     
  33. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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    Well Saturday was a bust
     
  34. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

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    Still 'on' from this evening. Good riding tomorrow.
     
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  35. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    3rd > has always had a better vibe IMO. The wind got me thinking a better outcome was possible for this weekend.
     
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  36. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Tuesday ....
     
  37. incogski

    incogski One of Us

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    Yeah bom has perisher and thredbo min of -10 on tuesday! First double digits I've seen in a while
     
  38. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

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    High and wide...
     
  39. Baw Baw Bear

    Baw Baw Bear One of Us

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    Radar looking promising for BB if the temps stay low, hopefully another top up tonight :thumbs:
     
  40. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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    Late Sun/Early Monday looking better on this run IMO[​IMG]
     
  41. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us

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    Still liking the period from late 4th till early 6th ( Tuesday to Thursday) for maybe 20 - 25 cms.
     
  42. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Agree very cold now big freeze coming 20 to 25 maybe more
     
  43. Martyr

    Martyr Hard Yards

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  44. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hey Wednesday
     
  45. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Tuesday looks good if you like the Sun.

    Its like good clearing conditions Thursday to Sunday.

    I hope the BC crew are gonna be out camping.
     
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  46. PiedPiper

    PiedPiper One of Us

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    cough cough, sniffle sniffle, i think thats a wee cold coming on, better take weds off boss ;)
     
  47. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Some cold overnight temps forecast -11 at Thredbo Top and Perisher even Jindy -8
     
  48. RobboDP

    RobboDP Hard Yards Ski Pass: Silver

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    Yep looks that way 7wombat, with 10-20cm Wednesday in between by the looks, greetings from Hotham btw and avagadoone BC
     
  49. Baw Baw Bear

    Baw Baw Bear One of Us

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    Brass Monkey's wont be happy :thumbs::thumbs:
     
  50. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Wednesday looking really nice IMO

    [​IMG]
     
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