Predictions Predictions 9th - 13th August #thething

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Jul 31, 2015.

  1. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    EC has a system potentially for this period

    [​IMG]

    GFS not quite going with it yet. One to keep an eye on.
     
  2. incogski

    incogski One of Us

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    BOM has something showing

    [​IMG]
     
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  3. incogski

    incogski One of Us

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    Today's updates have it sliding south but I will be watching this period closely with a vested interest
     
  4. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Perhaps a bit of a westerly regime; might work for all except Buller?

    [​IMG]
     
  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Or slipping out to the 11th ...

    [​IMG]
     
  6. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ditto. Am at Falls from 9 until 16 August.
     
  7. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    With that pressure and flow it's not going to benefit Buller. Orographic lift will be nice for the other resorts though.
     
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  8. Chondro

    Chondro One of Us

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    Same. watching with interest.
     
  9. incogski

    incogski One of Us

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    EC has been consistent the last couple runs

    [​IMG]

    GFS is showing something similar IMO

    Temps good to go

    20cm by the 12th?
     
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  10. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    looking like 5-10cm on the 10th, and then 20-30cm on the 11-12th on this afternoon's EC run.

    IMO.
     
  11. cookieman

    cookieman One of Us

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    BOM also now liking this period,so am I.
    could be another 30+ cm .IMO
    this season just keeps getting better.☺☺☺
     
  12. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS is onboard IMO. 12z run.
    [​IMG]
     
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  13. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    This is looking very good on EC this morning IMO

    soften-up burst on the 10th

    [​IMG]

    Then smacks through on the 11th
    [​IMG]

    Still looks like 10cm initially, but the 11th looks better than yesterday, (so I'll add another 10cm) 30-40cm!
     
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  14. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Jane and @Gerg on board.. what is not to like.
     
  15. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    Might take from next wednesday off.
    (mind you i'm stuck on the lounge at mo, damn illness)
    Join it up to 14th thread?
    [​IMG]
     
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  16. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    So many heads on these.
     
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  17. PMG

    PMG One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I hereby name thee - Cerberus!


    Too obscure?
     
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  18. bdenny4

    bdenny4 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    You can name it after me.......my birthday falls right in the middle
     
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  19. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Stay on topic.
     
  20. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    This period looks like back to back fronts .

    Actually since Sunday we have had two. and looks like three more to come.

    This will lead to a excellent August.

    I easily had the best POW in OZ yesterday. South Facing 2000 m protected from NW winds on Monday (TWIN HUMPS). It was F$%^&* Awesome. Sorry to Brag. But these weather forecast need to be a bit more sophisticated than just accumulations.

    Looks Good
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
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  21. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    sorry to pump up tires..... but this looks the best start to august in years...........so many.

    So many times this has occurred in July....
     
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  22. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo Ski Pass: Gold

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    3 days. 2 fronts. = More goodness.

    1st front arriving Monday Morning. 2nd front Late Wednesday. IMO.

    [​IMG]
     
  23. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    The Lows are deep at 940 Hpa.
     
  24. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Looking mega on EC

    [​IMG]

    IMO
     
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  25. incogski

    incogski One of Us

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    EC definitely looks the best at the moment. Hope it gets here a bit earlier though (I have to leave mid week!).
     
  26. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    The weekend starting the 15th looks to be the weekend of the season so far IMO
     
  27. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    So it should; I am at FC from 16th. So, to confirm prediction, the week of the season so far.
     
  28. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    why oh why am I planning to put up a new TV aerial next wednesday in Jindy
    damn wind and snow will ruin it
     
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  29. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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  30. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Like, this legit:
    [​IMG]
     
  31. kaegee

    kaegee One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Haven't checked all weather threads but is anyone calling 'Wrongun' yet?
     
  32. TIA_Macca

    TIA_Macca Hard Yards

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    dont think so , looking like wont be too long till normal el nino service resumes
     
  33. Normo

    Normo Mostly Harmless Ski Pass: Gold

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    I predict that the 9th will be followed closely by the 10th. After that, I would expect that the following three days will occur in chronological order......and there will be weather on each of them.....and those inclined to ski on the incline...will. :)
     
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  34. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    By 'not too long' you mean September?
     
  35. Baw Baw Bear

    Baw Baw Bear One of Us

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    Keep that volcano going :D Seems to be doing the trick :D
     
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  36. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    1st after this one
    [​IMG]

    2nd
     
  37. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Still looking terrific on EC this morning.
    IMO a good 50cm system.
     
  38. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    BOM 4 chart:
    [​IMG]
    Setting up nicely on Monday as that front passes through.
    Jane now predicting 25-50 into next week.
    Looks like I'm arriving at Falls on Sunday at a perfect time. Might have 3-4 days of freshies. Am legit foaming right now.
     
  39. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    definitely foamworthy
     
  40. neck_deep

    neck_deep Addicted

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    Lots of mention of fog and potentially drizzle sat. Why so with that big high over head? any confirmation/thoughts would be good as it will potentially impact the riding this weekend.

    Edit: Sunday I can see the season
     
  41. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Saturday will be nice.

    Looks really good for next week ( Snow)

    It will make this the best August in ages.
     
  42. neck_deep

    neck_deep Addicted

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    Good to hear, As long as I can see to explore a new venue then I'm stoked!
     
  43. Adamski

    Adamski Hard Yards

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    Really best August? Wondering whether to go again late August or early September now.
     
  44. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Potentially.

    But the August last year was average. So its relative.

    But this is good on 4 day image.
    [​IMG]
     
  45. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Mmm, that low looks nice and deep, and being just West of Tassie, it's looking nice. I'm thinking it'll favour NSW more, along with Falls and Hotham, IMO.
     
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  46. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Agree, the W flow will suit the more N resorts of Vic and NSW.
    Later on Buller and Baw Baw will get some when it turns more traditional SW.
    Lets hope for none of that shitty W stuff for Buller initially
     
  47. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    this.
    Peaking a little early and sliding away. Will favour the northern hills.

    The one behind it though.....
    IMO
     
  48. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    The low is a little bit more north than yesterdays 4 day chart.

    Partial differential analysis suggest that Access R will upgrade through the day and have that low bombing at 970 hpa Over Bass Straight. LOL
     
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  49. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    That'd be the one in the thread set up for 14 August and beyond, that looks like being good through both 15 and 16 August?
     
  50. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    nope, that's due on about 11-12th and looks the goods. IMO

    [​IMG]
     
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