Predictions Predictions 9th - 13th August #thething

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Jul 31, 2015.

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  1. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    EC has a system potentially for this period

    [​IMG]

    GFS not quite going with it yet. One to keep an eye on.
     
    #1 Claude Cat, Jul 31, 2015
  2. incogski

    incogski One of Us

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    BOM has something showing

    [​IMG]
     
    #2 incogski, Jul 31, 2015
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  3. incogski

    incogski One of Us

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    Today's updates have it sliding south but I will be watching this period closely with a vested interest
     
    #3 incogski, Aug 1, 2015
  4. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Perhaps a bit of a westerly regime; might work for all except Buller?

    [​IMG]
     
    #4 Claude Cat, Aug 3, 2015
  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Or slipping out to the 11th ...

    [​IMG]
     
    #5 Claude Cat, Aug 3, 2015
  6. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ditto. Am at Falls from 9 until 16 August.
     
    #6 Edgecrusher, Aug 3, 2015
  7. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    With that pressure and flow it's not going to benefit Buller. Orographic lift will be nice for the other resorts though.
     
    #7 Vermillion, Aug 3, 2015
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  8. Chondro

    Chondro One of Us

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    Same. watching with interest.
     
    #8 Chondro, Aug 4, 2015
  9. incogski

    incogski One of Us

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    EC has been consistent the last couple runs

    [​IMG]

    GFS is showing something similar IMO

    Temps good to go

    20cm by the 12th?
     
    #9 incogski, Aug 4, 2015
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  10. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    looking like 5-10cm on the 10th, and then 20-30cm on the 11-12th on this afternoon's EC run.

    IMO.
     
    #10 Claude Cat, Aug 4, 2015
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  11. cookieman

    cookieman One of Us

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    BOM also now liking this period,so am I.
    could be another 30+ cm .IMO
    this season just keeps getting better.☺☺☺
     
    #11 cookieman, Aug 5, 2015
  12. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS is onboard IMO. 12z run.
    [​IMG]
     
    #12 mick chopps, Aug 5, 2015
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  13. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    This is looking very good on EC this morning IMO

    soften-up burst on the 10th

    [​IMG]

    Then smacks through on the 11th
    [​IMG]

    Still looks like 10cm initially, but the 11th looks better than yesterday, (so I'll add another 10cm) 30-40cm!
     
    #13 Claude Cat, Aug 5, 2015
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  14. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Jane and @Gerg on board.. what is not to like.
     
    #14 Majikthise, Aug 5, 2015
  15. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    Might take from next wednesday off.
    (mind you i'm stuck on the lounge at mo, damn illness)
    Join it up to 14th thread?
    [​IMG]
     
    #15 Donza, Aug 5, 2015
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  16. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    So many heads on these.
     
    #16 Vermillion, Aug 5, 2015
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  17. PMG

    PMG One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I hereby name thee - Cerberus!


    Too obscure?
     
    #17 PMG, Aug 5, 2015
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  18. bdenny4

    bdenny4 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    You can name it after me.......my birthday falls right in the middle
     
    #18 bdenny4, Aug 5, 2015
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  19. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Stay on topic.
     
    #19 Claude Cat, Aug 5, 2015
  20. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    This period looks like back to back fronts .

    Actually since Sunday we have had two. and looks like three more to come.

    This will lead to a excellent August.

    I easily had the best POW in OZ yesterday. South Facing 2000 m protected from NW winds on Monday (TWIN HUMPS). It was F$%^&* Awesome. Sorry to Brag. But these weather forecast need to be a bit more sophisticated than just accumulations.

    Looks Good
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    #20 7wombathead, Aug 5, 2015
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  21. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    sorry to pump up tires..... but this looks the best start to august in years...........so many.

    So many times this has occurred in July....
     
    #21 Donza, Aug 5, 2015
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  22. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo Ski Pass: Gold

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    3 days. 2 fronts. = More goodness.

    1st front arriving Monday Morning. 2nd front Late Wednesday. IMO.

    [​IMG]
     
    #22 Astro66, Aug 5, 2015
  23. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    The Lows are deep at 940 Hpa.
     
    #23 7wombathead, Aug 5, 2015
  24. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Looking mega on EC

    [​IMG]

    IMO
     
    #24 Claude Cat, Aug 5, 2015
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  25. incogski

    incogski One of Us

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    EC definitely looks the best at the moment. Hope it gets here a bit earlier though (I have to leave mid week!).
     
    #25 incogski, Aug 5, 2015
  26. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    The weekend starting the 15th looks to be the weekend of the season so far IMO
     
    #26 SnowBound, Aug 5, 2015
  27. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    So it should; I am at FC from 16th. So, to confirm prediction, the week of the season so far.
     
    #27 chriscross, Aug 5, 2015
  28. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    why oh why am I planning to put up a new TV aerial next wednesday in Jindy
    damn wind and snow will ruin it
     
    #28 Donza, Aug 5, 2015
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  29. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Legit.
     
    #29 Vermillion, Aug 5, 2015
  30. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Like, this legit:
    [​IMG]
     
    #30 Vermillion, Aug 5, 2015
  31. kaegee

    kaegee One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Haven't checked all weather threads but is anyone calling 'Wrongun' yet?
     
    #31 kaegee, Aug 5, 2015
  32. TIA_Macca

    TIA_Macca Hard Yards

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    dont think so , looking like wont be too long till normal el nino service resumes
     
    #32 TIA_Macca, Aug 5, 2015
  33. Normo

    Normo Mostly Harmless Ski Pass: Gold

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    I predict that the 9th will be followed closely by the 10th. After that, I would expect that the following three days will occur in chronological order......and there will be weather on each of them.....and those inclined to ski on the incline...will. :)
     
    #33 Normo, Aug 5, 2015
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  34. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    By 'not too long' you mean September?
     
    #34 Vermillion, Aug 5, 2015
  35. Baw Baw Bear

    Baw Baw Bear One of Us

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    Keep that volcano going :D Seems to be doing the trick :D
     
    #35 Baw Baw Bear, Aug 5, 2015
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  36. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    1st after this one
    [​IMG]

    2nd
     
    #36 7wombathead, Aug 5, 2015
  37. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Still looking terrific on EC this morning.
    IMO a good 50cm system.
     
    #37 Claude Cat, Aug 6, 2015
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  38. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    BOM 4 chart:
    [​IMG]
    Setting up nicely on Monday as that front passes through.
    Jane now predicting 25-50 into next week.
    Looks like I'm arriving at Falls on Sunday at a perfect time. Might have 3-4 days of freshies. Am legit foaming right now.
     
    #38 Edgecrusher, Aug 6, 2015
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  39. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    definitely foamworthy
     
    #39 mr, Aug 6, 2015
  40. neck_deep

    neck_deep Addicted

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    Lots of mention of fog and potentially drizzle sat. Why so with that big high over head? any confirmation/thoughts would be good as it will potentially impact the riding this weekend.

    Edit: Sunday I can see the season
     
    #40 neck_deep, Aug 6, 2015
  41. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Saturday will be nice.

    Looks really good for next week ( Snow)

    It will make this the best August in ages.
     
    #41 7wombathead, Aug 6, 2015
  42. neck_deep

    neck_deep Addicted

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    Good to hear, As long as I can see to explore a new venue then I'm stoked!
     
    #42 neck_deep, Aug 6, 2015
  43. Adamski

    Adamski Hard Yards

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    Really best August? Wondering whether to go again late August or early September now.
     
    #43 Adamski, Aug 6, 2015
  44. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Potentially.

    But the August last year was average. So its relative.

    But this is good on 4 day image.
    [​IMG]
     
    #44 7wombathead, Aug 6, 2015
  45. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Mmm, that low looks nice and deep, and being just West of Tassie, it's looking nice. I'm thinking it'll favour NSW more, along with Falls and Hotham, IMO.
     
    #45 Edgecrusher, Aug 6, 2015
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  46. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Agree, the W flow will suit the more N resorts of Vic and NSW.
    Later on Buller and Baw Baw will get some when it turns more traditional SW.
    Lets hope for none of that shitty W stuff for Buller initially
     
    #46 Chowder11, Aug 6, 2015
  47. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    this.
    Peaking a little early and sliding away. Will favour the northern hills.

    The one behind it though.....
    IMO
     
    #47 mick chopps, Aug 6, 2015
  48. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    The low is a little bit more north than yesterdays 4 day chart.

    Partial differential analysis suggest that Access R will upgrade through the day and have that low bombing at 970 hpa Over Bass Straight. LOL
     
    #48 7wombathead, Aug 6, 2015
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  49. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    That'd be the one in the thread set up for 14 August and beyond, that looks like being good through both 15 and 16 August?
     
    #49 Edgecrusher, Aug 6, 2015
  50. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    nope, that's due on about 11-12th and looks the goods. IMO

    [​IMG]
     
    #50 mick chopps, Aug 6, 2015
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