Predictions Predictions - June 21-24th System

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Claude Cat, Jun 13, 2016.

  1. Philski1961

    Philski1961 Active Member

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    BoM advice to us at SES for NSW late this morning is 20-50mm for Alps Friday.
     
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  2. Philski1961

    Philski1961 Active Member

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    Oh and 5-10 BMs Iberon and Orange. Dusting likely Katoomba.
     
  3. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    You're not wrong. Love the 528 pool conveniently over the main range.
    [​IMG]
     
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  4. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon Active Member

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    Yes looking good for another 50cm
     
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  5. 7wombathead

    7wombathead Dedicated Member

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    It will be a pretty long sustained fetch if it hits like that and goes orographic on the alps.

    Drove back from Canberra to Merimbula last night, and it was so clear and dry at Nimitabel.

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[​IMG]
     
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  6. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 Dedicated Member

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    That is true, however, BOM Snowy Mountains forecast had snowfalls above 1300m mentioned...... :D
     
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  7. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Part of the Furniture
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    This is the reason i was pessimistic a couple of evenings ago. Charts showed it too southerly too early. Now looks like a solid 24 hrs of westerly flow which is what is needed. Only Baw Baw and Buller do well in southerlies and they are too far away for me to care. Sorry melbournites.
     
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  8. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Part of the Furniture
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    And the southerlies also suck for stripping snow off the areas where you want to ski, turning all the typical fresh snow areas into sastrugi fields.
     
  9. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    Still looks lovely on 00Z GFS

     
  10. Seafm

    Seafm Dedicated Member
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    I only follow the weather threads casually because of where I live but looking at this chart I can see why everyone is blowing in their pants with excitement:thumbs:
    [​IMG]
     
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  11. 7wombathead

    7wombathead Dedicated Member

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    Looks like a Balloon Shop.
     
  12. tele-whippet

    tele-whippet beard stroker
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    Just my luck the Great Western HWY will be closed, like last year after we skied to Mt York, as I'm trying to drive to Thredbo on Saturday.
     
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  13. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Part of the Furniture
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    Sounds like you need to pack the car tomorrow, head to work loaded and then get going from there. Much greater chance of finding your way around closed roads out west.
     
  14. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room
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    Even Frog would have been able to pick this one (Friday) #2004GFSsetmeupforlyf
     
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  15. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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  16. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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  17. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    Yeh, I reckon a fair chance. Also the Strzelecki Ranges and Otways as well.
     
  18. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon Active Member

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    BOM going nuts for Thredbo top precipitation and thunderstorm mentioned
     
  19. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Addicted Member
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    Thundersnow.

    Thats awesome

    [​IMG]
     
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  20. absentskier

    absentskier Old And Crusty
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  21. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    Oh, yes, without any question Macedon, Trentham will be in with a big show.
     
  22. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon Active Member

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    Gotta love thundersnow
     
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  23. cookieman

    cookieman Dedicated Member
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    BOM using the BLIZZARDS word to describe forecast for hotham tomorrow.
    This system is delivering above my expectations :).
    Falls Creek marketing heading on email received this afternoon: the SOLSTICE STORM
     
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  24. absentskier

    absentskier Old And Crusty
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    Ball park prediction for Baw Baw?
     
  25. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    Say 15cm Friday, another 10cm Saturday?

    IMO
     
  26. Adelaidometer

    Adelaidometer Active Member

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    Mountainwatch saying 29.2cm (perisher) for Friday.

    I'd say it would be more like 28.9
     
  27. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    Blizzards just means windy. It's not an indication of lots of snow. Although there could be.
     
  28. tele-whippet

    tele-whippet beard stroker
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    BOM going for 700M NSW CTs Friday
     
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  29. vibe++

    vibe++ Dedicated Member
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    I hope Brown mountain isn't closed on friday will mean no snow for me:cry:
     
  30. Billy_Buttons

    Billy_Buttons Dedicated Member
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    They need to pay me naming rights #SolticeSnowStorm :p
     
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  31. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon Active Member

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    I think there will be a few road closures on Friday around that area
     
  32. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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  33. TIA_Macca

    TIA_Macca Active Member

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    Has bom uprgraded the moisture for thursday for hotham ?? With low temps !
    surely we will cruise past 50cm for this system by saturday
    :blb: but in the meantime the snow dances and sacrifices will contiinue
     
  34. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    ^^^^ That post is from last week (GFS last week). Models have done very well IMO.
     
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  35. vibe++

    vibe++ Dedicated Member
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    looks like Saturday then but that means I'll have to take the kids:D
     
  36. glengary

    glengary Dedicated Member
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    Hello Baw Baw
     
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  37. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    Looks like any pre-front over the alps will be snowfall tomorrow PM, IMO. Uppers are too cold for much else above 1600-1700m
     
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  38. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    As a side-note, uppers @7pm tomorrow are progged 2/-8/-22 which is virtually similar to yesterday so expect snow showers above 1600m until it starts hammering down in Vic resorts from 7-8pm tomorrow when freeze levels will drop with the increase in showers to snow.
     
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  39. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 Dedicated Member

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    I predict Perisher will do very, very well out of this system if that's the case Pow......certainly more than 50cm for the week at this rate.....
     
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  40. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room
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    I cant remember the last time I saw this much blue rushing at us:
    [​IMG]
    Sweet Jesus
     
  41. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon Active Member

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    You can see it on the sat image
     
    #591 TomGroggon, Jun 22, 2016
    Last edited: Jun 22, 2016
  42. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    Polar jet stream
    [​IMG]
     
  43. absentskier

    absentskier Old And Crusty
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    Beautiful.
     
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  44. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    I am tempted to like the shit out of this purely because I think you maybe right.
     
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  45. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 Dedicated Member

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    Hey Verm, where's Australia on this?
     
  46. skimax

    skimax Old And Crusty
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  47. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room
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    12-1 oclock (top).
     
  48. Billy_Buttons

    Billy_Buttons Dedicated Member
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    No can see post?
     
  49. sidetrack

    sidetrack Dedicated Member

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    Im assuming my place at 640 in Woodend as well??
     
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  50. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    I think you may very well see flurries/sago, I wouldn't expect to see much settling at that ele though.