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Predictions Predictions - June 21-24th System

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Claude Cat, Jun 13, 2016.

  1. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Upgrade on cold air and downgrade on warm/moist trans-continental prefrontal. That 140kts West to East jetstream may have helped there.
     
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  2. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Baw Baw looking good on this IMO.
     
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  3. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Just needs the freeze level to come in with it as that's for 7-10pm tonight and temps are marginal for BB at the moment. I think it will do very well overall this system, being Southerly and all.
     
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  4. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    IMO not sure that Baw Baw will do much good until tomorrow morning, but it should be on after that right through Saturday morning.
     
  5. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    In the negatives at the moment and dropping so hopefully it will be all snow when it hits.
     
  6. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    How's it currently looking for CT's tomorrow?
     
  7. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Very good. The AXS R 48 hr chart is showing 30-40mm for elevated areas around Orange.
     
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  8. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Yeh, but will be in rain shadow until it turns SW, so even though it's cold enough, moisture levels will rather low. IMO
     
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  9. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Still looks pretty good to me. Time will tell.
     
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  10. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sheep Graziers Alert - Check

    Warning to Sheep Graziers
    for the Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, South Coast, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, South West Slopes and Snowy Mountains forecast districts

    Issued at 3:27 pm EST on Thursday 23 June 2016.

    Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, heavy rain and showers and strong westerly winds are expected during Thursday and Friday. Areas likely to be affected include the Southern Tablelands, South West Slopes and Snowy Mountains forecast districts and parts of the Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, South Coast and Central Tablelands forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
     
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  11. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Melbourne forecast for tomorrow

    Min 6
    Max 10
    Showers.
    Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
    Chance of any rain: 80% [​IMG]
    Melbourne area

    Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling about the nearby hills above 500 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Possible hail from the late morning. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.
     
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  12. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    Central Tablelands
     
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  13. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    So, based on what we've got so far vs what's to come, anyone wanna make a call for total amounts by saturday arvo/night? I'm going for a total of 70cm for majors (tuesday to saturday)
     
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  14. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  15. skiingtk

    skiingtk Hard Yards

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    Mt Dandenong might get some snow?????
     
  16. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Almost a certainty. IMO
     
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  17. absentskier

    absentskier Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Possible.
     
  18. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Come on, put your nuts on the line.
     
  19. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    skiingtk, DidSurfNowSki, AJS and 2 others like this.
  20. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Guy at work reckons this system is good for 50 cm in total.
     
  21. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    That is showing sleet on the Warbies, just west of Wang. I remember snow on them in 1966
     
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  22. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Is his name Guy , or a generic guy ?
    Im liking what he says
     
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  23. derwent

    derwent One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Will be snow of some sort there in the arvo, whether it settles I'm not too sure. Work is at 470m asl.
     
    Claude Cat likes this.
  24. Jeffb

    Jeffb Hard Yards

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  25. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us

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    Have been moving my stock to the better protected areas since monday in anticipation of a warning. Good to see someone post it up anyway , good man DSNS.:cheers:
     
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  26. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Has there been a sheep grazier's warning issued yet @Kelpieboy ?
     
  27. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us

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    Highest point of my property is 860m approx so , yeah , might have my own snowfield for a day :woohoo:. I moved an old rope tow up there just in case , ..........well you never know;)
     
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  28. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us

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    Today at 3.27
     
  29. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    BOM saying up to 10mm for Hotham tomorrow, that equates to about 5cm of snow. 20cm will be a big bonus.
     
  30. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    10mm of rain will be more like 10cm+ at tomorrow's temps.
     
  31. jungfrau

    jungfrau One of Us

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    It will snow*
     
  32. snowblowa

    snowblowa One of Us

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    Sorry CC, off topic but can I just say, geez Fallen, that's awesome man! We arrived Sunday evening too, the freeze level was progged for like 1500 and about 5 mins after the last resort entry booth, I said to the lads, 'well, I reckon this rain has gotta go white soon boys'.... 3 turns later it sleeted it's melons off, and the rest my man was farkin history! We did laps off inter into cabbage patch, rock garden, gully glades non stop, dry as Oz gets, freakin special man :D
     
  33. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Doesn't take into account tonight either
     
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  34. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Back in the day, before cams and Jane's weather, this used to be the go sign for snow.
     
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  35. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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  36. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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  37. Bloke

    Bloke One of Us

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  38. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    climberman and benchives like this.
  39. the133448

    the133448 Hard Yards

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    Can i ask why bom have cancelled the warning?
    Cancellation of
    Severe Weather Warning
    for people in the North Central, North East, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts

    Issued at 9:05 pm EST on Thursday 23 June 2016.

    Weather Situation
    A cold front over eastern Victoria will clear the State early on Friday.

    The Severe Weather Warning for the North Central, North East, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.
     
  40. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Amazing low stall last night
     
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  41. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    yep. stopped on a dime. Sat pick looks awesome, you can see it stop and start sucking the moisture from that central QLD trough.
    [​IMG]
    spin baby, spin!
     
  42. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    The warning was for winds. The winds have eased.
     
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  43. Lady Penelope

    Lady Penelope One of some lot ... Ski Pass: Gold

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    Is this good or bad for snow falls?
     
  44. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    good. IMO. especially for the Northern resorts who will continue to get snow from the NW throughout the morning. This is their best aspect for bulk snow falls.
     
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  45. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    well ill leave that one to the experts ,
    but my laymans view means the cold air will hang round longer provided there is moisture with it all good
     
    Lady Penelope likes this.