1. SPECIAL NOTE TO NEW REGISTRATIONS

    If you recently registered and have not received a confirmation email - please check your 'Spam or Junk' folders. Especially if your email is Hotmail. More help with confirmation issues

    NOTE: This notice may be closed.

    Dismiss Notice

Predictions Predictions: September 21st - 23rd

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Sep 17, 2015.

Page 1 of 2
  1. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Perhaps the last hurrah of the season (at least while lifts are running)
    EC has been pretty solid on this for a few days.

    Monday

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Tuesday

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Wednesday

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Temps on Monday will be marginal to start. Some shadowing effect from Tasmania Tuesday morning then should be good at least for NSW Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday.

    IMO
     
    #1 Claude Cat, Sep 17, 2015
  2. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

    Joined:
    Apr 21, 2004
    Messages:
    72,779
    Likes Received:
    16,608
    Location:
    wollongong
    Yeah concur.
    Think with that setup , snow for Bombala, Jindy etc might be a chance.
     
    #2 Donza, Sep 17, 2015
  3. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 24, 2003
    Messages:
    16,472
    Likes Received:
    7,905
    Location:
    melbourne
    up at hotham til tues but it doesnt look like ill be able to use the 'snowed in, cant get off the mountain excuse'
     
    #3 mr, Sep 17, 2015
  4. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    GFS
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
    #4 Claude Cat, Sep 17, 2015
  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Probably good for 5-10cm Tuesday afternoon at Hotham. There's a chance!
     
    #5 Claude Cat, Sep 17, 2015
    mr likes this.
  6. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

    Joined:
    Apr 21, 2004
    Messages:
    72,779
    Likes Received:
    16,608
    Location:
    wollongong
    GFS doesn't
     
    #6 Donza, Sep 17, 2015
  7. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    GFS is only slowly getting on board.
     
    #7 Claude Cat, Sep 17, 2015
  8. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 1, 2005
    Messages:
    1,714
    Likes Received:
    468
    Location:
    Beaconsfield,Victoria
    Jane is on board, calling 5-10 cm. Tuesday-Wed although I think she has modified her initial forecast.
     
    #8 chriscross, Sep 17, 2015
  9. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    00 EC run
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Perhaps a little less on Monday - when the temps are marginal, but otherwise on track.
     
    #9 Claude Cat, Sep 17, 2015
  10. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2009
    Messages:
    16,886
    Likes Received:
    11,122
    Location:
    Eastern Subs Syd
    ASX starting to come onboard. 850's come good late Tuesday. But Uppers lagging cold pool.

    So R##n Monday into Tuesday. Then 10 -15cm Tuesday into Wednesday. IMO.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    #10 Astro66, Sep 17, 2015
  11. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    EC suggest Baw Baw could get a little at the tail end of this, on the 24th.

    IMO
     
    #11 Claude Cat, Sep 17, 2015
    Vermillion likes this.
  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    AXS falling in line with EC. IMO
     
    #12 Claude Cat, Sep 17, 2015
  13. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

    Joined:
    Apr 21, 2004
    Messages:
    72,779
    Likes Received:
    16,608
    Location:
    wollongong
    which is all falling in line with the mean on the spag.

    EC ........then axs...72 hours
    nothing else matters
     
    #13 Donza, Sep 17, 2015
    Claude Cat likes this.
  14. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 21, 2008
    Messages:
    4,036
    Likes Received:
    225
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Not that it matters. They shut up shop last weekend. Good for XC though I guess.
     
    #14 ice_man, Sep 17, 2015
  15. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Yeh, the XC folk will like it.
     
    #15 Claude Cat, Sep 17, 2015
  16. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

    Joined:
    Apr 21, 2004
    Messages:
    72,779
    Likes Received:
    16,608
    Location:
    wollongong
    this still looks like a thing
     
    #16 Donza, Sep 18, 2015
  17. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 24, 2003
    Messages:
    16,472
    Likes Received:
    7,905
    Location:
    melbourne
    #17 mr, Sep 18, 2015
  18. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 24, 2003
    Messages:
    16,472
    Likes Received:
    7,905
    Location:
    melbourne
    pow at hot ham on tuesday!
     
    #18 mr, Sep 18, 2015
  19. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,114
    Likes Received:
    497
    Location:
    The edge of the bell curve
    It's a bit C + C Music Factory...
     
    #19 Wardy, Sep 18, 2015
  20. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Large downgrade on EC tonight.
     
    #20 Claude Cat, Sep 18, 2015
  21. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

    Joined:
    Apr 21, 2004
    Messages:
    72,779
    Likes Received:
    16,608
    Location:
    wollongong
    Indeed
     
    #21 Donza, Sep 18, 2015
  22. blackice

    blackice One of Us

    Joined:
    Dec 15, 2000
    Messages:
    503
    Likes Received:
    332
    Location:
    Nations Capital
    Boo
     
    #22 blackice, Sep 18, 2015
    mr likes this.
  23. blackice

    blackice One of Us

    Joined:
    Dec 15, 2000
    Messages:
    503
    Likes Received:
    332
    Location:
    Nations Capital
    Hopefully no rain
     
    #23 blackice, Sep 18, 2015
  24. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 1, 2005
    Messages:
    1,714
    Likes Received:
    468
    Location:
    Beaconsfield,Victoria
    Some r**n before the main event was always part of the system, but what is with the downgrade?
     
    #24 chriscross, Sep 19, 2015
  25. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,296
    Likes Received:
    9,742
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    Coming into line with gfs/axs
    Ec the looser for this one.
    Has been good mostly this season.
     
    #25 The Plowking, Sep 19, 2015
  26. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Looks like 10-15mm precipitation. How much of that falls as rain depends upon the elevation, as it's reasonably warm initially.
    IMO
     
    #26 Claude Cat, Sep 19, 2015
  27. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 12, 2000
    Messages:
    75,100
    Likes Received:
    38,670
    Location:
    Les Hautes Montagnes
    I've got the power?
     
    #27 CarveMan, Sep 20, 2015
  28. MisterMxyzptlk

    MisterMxyzptlk Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2002
    Messages:
    24,945
    Likes Received:
    8,583
    I think he was channelling
    Things that make you go Hmmmmmmm
     
    #28 MisterMxyzptlk, Sep 20, 2015
    Wardy and mr like this.
  29. Adelaidometer

    Adelaidometer Addicted

    Joined:
    Jun 24, 2015
    Messages:
    228
    Likes Received:
    192
    EC has bounced back for Perisher this Monday and Tuesday:)
    But then it goes bezerk the following Tuesday 29th totalling over 30cm for the next couple weeks!
    Any real substance in this?
     
    #29 Adelaidometer, Sep 20, 2015
  30. cin

    cin Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 31, 2008
    Messages:
    20,302
    Likes Received:
    8,468
    Location:
    Chernobyl, Russia
    I think so
    Season starter if you ask me
     
    #30 cin, Sep 20, 2015
    Wardy, Normo, Majikthise and 4 others like this.
  31. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Models are notoriously unreliable over the changes (spring and autumn). I'd hold your horses until it's a bit closer.
     
    #31 Claude Cat, Sep 20, 2015
    Adelaidometer likes this.
  32. Karicta

    Karicta A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2011
    Messages:
    5,930
    Likes Received:
    3,915
    David stretch says 15-30cm

    (Favouring da baw)
     
    #32 Karicta, Sep 20, 2015
  33. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,296
    Likes Received:
    9,742
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    Which, is now closed.
    Good one parks Vic.
    Has been open on far less mid season.
    Local businesses must love it.
     
    #33 The Plowking, Sep 20, 2015
  34. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 24, 2003
    Messages:
    16,472
    Likes Received:
    7,905
    Location:
    melbourne
    whaddyouguysreckon the snow level will be tomoz? mostly during skiing oclock.....
     
    #34 mr, Sep 20, 2015
  35. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,296
    Likes Received:
    9,742
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    High dropping to 1200 early afternoon?
    Tuesday is the better option, should be more like 800m
     
    #35 The Plowking, Sep 20, 2015
  36. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 24, 2003
    Messages:
    16,472
    Likes Received:
    7,905
    Location:
    melbourne
    fortunately i have both options at my disposal cheers
     
    #36 mr, Sep 20, 2015
    The Plowking likes this.
  37. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 24, 2003
    Messages:
    16,472
    Likes Received:
    7,905
    Location:
    melbourne
    i see speckled behind the warm front off Adelaide so maybe even snow here at hotham by mid morning? or is that a hope cast
     
    #37 mr, Sep 20, 2015
  38. Snow Dog

    Snow Dog Addicted

    Joined:
    Jun 23, 2014
    Messages:
    164
    Likes Received:
    233
    nice to see some real cold coming through this week!
    all snow falls for the past 6 weeks have been Mon-Wed (with weekends warm and clear which has been good for resorts)
    I see anything open on Wed to be fun, fresh, cold and dryish snow - pretty good for late sept
     
    #38 Snow Dog, Sep 20, 2015
  39. sbm

    sbm One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 2, 2010
    Messages:
    3,064
    Likes Received:
    3,369
    Location:
    Sydney
    [​IMG]
     
    #39 sbm, Sep 20, 2015
    nfip and Majikthise like this.
  40. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,296
    Likes Received:
    9,742
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    Hotham go's ok with totals from dead south so I reckon Tuesday is looking good
     
    #40 The Plowking, Sep 21, 2015
  41. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2001
    Messages:
    5,653
    Likes Received:
    2,936
    Location:
    Wollongong
    And Thredbo too....
     
    #41 FourSquare04, Sep 21, 2015
    Majikthise likes this.
  42. jungfrau

    jungfrau One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 25, 2013
    Messages:
    617
    Likes Received:
    572
    What sort of totals are we talking?
    2-5 or more substantial?
    For hotham tomorrow..
     
    #42 jungfrau, Sep 21, 2015
    Last edited: Sep 21, 2015
  43. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,296
    Likes Received:
    9,742
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    5-10 leeward imo
     
    #43 The Plowking, Sep 21, 2015
    jungfrau and Claude Cat like this.
  44. sbm

    sbm One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 2, 2010
    Messages:
    3,064
    Likes Received:
    3,369
    Location:
    Sydney
    If if fills in the tracks off piste, and holds up the melt til the weekend, as it looks like it should do, I'll be very happy.
     
    #44 sbm, Sep 21, 2015
    Bloke and Kletterer like this.
  45. sbm

    sbm One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 2, 2010
    Messages:
    3,064
    Likes Received:
    3,369
    Location:
    Sydney
    [​IMG]
     
    #45 sbm, Sep 21, 2015
  46. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,114
    Likes Received:
    497
    Location:
    The edge of the bell curve
    This is more likely to disappoint than surprise IMO. Pressure is too high.
     
    #46 Wardy, Sep 21, 2015
  47. ladycamper

    ladycamper One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 16, 2010
    Messages:
    3,102
    Likes Received:
    547
    Location:
    Australia
    I'm in Harrietville right now, I can hear the wind, it's getting slowly darker, all cloud south. The forecast says snow down to 1100m tonight.
     
    #47 ladycamper, Sep 21, 2015
  48. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 24, 2003
    Messages:
    16,472
    Likes Received:
    7,905
    Location:
    melbourne
    ill have 10cms thanks and the younger kids in ski school
     
    #48 mr, Sep 21, 2015
    The Plowking likes this.
  49. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    18,369
    Likes Received:
    17,753
    Location:
    South Co.
    Maybe a little freshner in it.

    [​IMG]
     
    #49 nfip, Sep 21, 2015
    Last edited: Sep 21, 2015
  50. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    111,794
    Likes Received:
    49,077
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Image not worky
     
    #50 Claude Cat, Sep 21, 2015
(You must log in or sign up to post here.)
Page 1 of 2