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Predictions Predictions: September 21st - 23rd

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Sep 17, 2015.

  1. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Perhaps the last hurrah of the season (at least while lifts are running)
    EC has been pretty solid on this for a few days.

    Monday

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Tuesday

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Wednesday

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Temps on Monday will be marginal to start. Some shadowing effect from Tasmania Tuesday morning then should be good at least for NSW Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday.

    IMO
     
  2. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    Yeah concur.
    Think with that setup , snow for Bombala, Jindy etc might be a chance.
     
  3. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    up at hotham til tues but it doesnt look like ill be able to use the 'snowed in, cant get off the mountain excuse'
     
  4. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Probably good for 5-10cm Tuesday afternoon at Hotham. There's a chance!
     
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  6. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    GFS doesn't
     
  7. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    GFS is only slowly getting on board.
     
  8. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Jane is on board, calling 5-10 cm. Tuesday-Wed although I think she has modified her initial forecast.
     
  9. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    00 EC run
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Perhaps a little less on Monday - when the temps are marginal, but otherwise on track.
     
  10. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo Ski Pass: Gold

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    ASX starting to come onboard. 850's come good late Tuesday. But Uppers lagging cold pool.

    So R##n Monday into Tuesday. Then 10 -15cm Tuesday into Wednesday. IMO.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  11. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    EC suggest Baw Baw could get a little at the tail end of this, on the 24th.

    IMO
     
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  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    AXS falling in line with EC. IMO
     
  13. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    which is all falling in line with the mean on the spag.

    EC ........then axs...72 hours
    nothing else matters
     
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  14. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    Not that it matters. They shut up shop last weekend. Good for XC though I guess.
     
  15. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Yeh, the XC folk will like it.
     
  16. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    this still looks like a thing
     
  17. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  18. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    pow at hot ham on tuesday!
     
  19. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

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    It's a bit C + C Music Factory...
     
  20. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Large downgrade on EC tonight.
     
  21. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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  22. blackice

    blackice One of Us

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    Boo
     
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  23. blackice

    blackice One of Us

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    Hopefully no rain
     
  24. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some r**n before the main event was always part of the system, but what is with the downgrade?
     
  25. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Coming into line with gfs/axs
    Ec the looser for this one.
    Has been good mostly this season.
     
  26. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Looks like 10-15mm precipitation. How much of that falls as rain depends upon the elevation, as it's reasonably warm initially.
    IMO
     
  27. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I've got the power?
     
  28. MisterMxyzptlk

    MisterMxyzptlk Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I think he was channelling
    Things that make you go Hmmmmmmm
     
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  29. Adelaidometer

    Adelaidometer Addicted

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    EC has bounced back for Perisher this Monday and Tuesday:)
    But then it goes bezerk the following Tuesday 29th totalling over 30cm for the next couple weeks!
    Any real substance in this?
     
  30. cin

    cin Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I think so
    Season starter if you ask me
     
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  31. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Models are notoriously unreliable over the changes (spring and autumn). I'd hold your horses until it's a bit closer.
     
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  32. Karicta

    Karicta A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    David stretch says 15-30cm

    (Favouring da baw)
     
  33. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Which, is now closed.
    Good one parks Vic.
    Has been open on far less mid season.
    Local businesses must love it.
     
  34. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    whaddyouguysreckon the snow level will be tomoz? mostly during skiing oclock.....
     
  35. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    High dropping to 1200 early afternoon?
    Tuesday is the better option, should be more like 800m
     
  36. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    fortunately i have both options at my disposal cheers
     
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  37. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    i see speckled behind the warm front off Adelaide so maybe even snow here at hotham by mid morning? or is that a hope cast
     
  38. Snow Dog

    Snow Dog Addicted

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    nice to see some real cold coming through this week!
    all snow falls for the past 6 weeks have been Mon-Wed (with weekends warm and clear which has been good for resorts)
    I see anything open on Wed to be fun, fresh, cold and dryish snow - pretty good for late sept
     
  39. sbm

    sbm One of Us

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    [​IMG]
     
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  40. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hotham go's ok with totals from dead south so I reckon Tuesday is looking good
     
  41. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    And Thredbo too....
     
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  42. jungfrau

    jungfrau One of Us

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    What sort of totals are we talking?
    2-5 or more substantial?
    For hotham tomorrow..
     
    #42 jungfrau, Sep 21, 2015
    Last edited: Sep 21, 2015
  43. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    5-10 leeward imo
     
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  44. sbm

    sbm One of Us

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    If if fills in the tracks off piste, and holds up the melt til the weekend, as it looks like it should do, I'll be very happy.
     
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  45. sbm

    sbm One of Us

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  46. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

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    This is more likely to disappoint than surprise IMO. Pressure is too high.
     
  47. ladycamper

    ladycamper One of Us

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    I'm in Harrietville right now, I can hear the wind, it's getting slowly darker, all cloud south. The forecast says snow down to 1100m tonight.
     
  48. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    ill have 10cms thanks and the younger kids in ski school
     
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  49. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Maybe a little freshner in it.

    [​IMG]
     
    #49 nfip, Sep 21, 2015
    Last edited: Sep 21, 2015
  50. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Image not worky