Day to Day SA & Adelaide weather

Gary Smith

Early Days
Dec 4, 2020
48
55
18
Fairview Park
Ok folks I am calling it done and dusted for the first month of Spring. No where near average let alone above average rainfall for the month and nothing on the horizon to get excited about. There better be a big change for Oct/Nov or the agencies will have failed big time once again.
 
  • Sad
Reactions: skifree

Parklife

Early Days
Jan 23, 2021
60
82
18
Hazelwood Park
Winter rainfall:
June 140.5 vs Average of 95.2
July 146.8 vs Average 79.8
August 55 vs Average 75.1

September thus far, 27 vs Average of 56.9.

Not a nice start to spring, and certainly not looking like anything much for the remainder of September.
 

Parklife

Early Days
Jan 23, 2021
60
82
18
Hazelwood Park
Models starting to show a bit more colour in the Indian Ocean towards the end of September, at least more action than there has been of late. Our optimistic mate ECMWF has some nice systems brewing, but unfortunately its reputation has taken a hit. Fingers crossed for the first couple of weeks of October.
 
  • Like
Reactions: skifree

wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
192
484
163
Flinders Park
Some rainfall updates for Aug & Sep.

The figures for August and September monthly rainfall figures will be estimates as I was away during part of that time and hence only had a total reading for the time I was away.

So, what I have done is to use the rainfall data from the observation tables for Adelaide Airport for the days I was away & add up the total for those days. Then I calculated a ratio of the total for each of the days rain fell and multiplied it by the total rainfall I measured at home to get an estimated daily rainfall at home. This will only affect the monthly rainfall for Aug & Sep, but not the total for the year. Hope that makes sense.

Thus for August, I have an estimated total of 42.5mm vs Adelaide Airport's total of 39.6mm (under average).

Sep to date estimate for home is 18.1mm & for the airport it's 20.6mm.

Total estimated rainfall for home was 177.0mm vs the Airport's winter total of 159.4mm (just under the winter average).
 

FarmWeather

Early Days
Nov 26, 2020
24
16
8
Bit of a slow moving cut off especially east will favour east of ranges tuesday onwards? Sorry guys ain’t been here for a while actually got a new iPad lost all me stored stuff. I’m back better or for worse. Probably best eastern border and south east or into Vic again
 
  • Like
Reactions: Homer

Parklife

Early Days
Jan 23, 2021
60
82
18
Hazelwood Park
Black Core over lofty
black core.PNG
 
  • Like
Reactions: skifree and Craig B
Remove ads with a
Ski Pass

wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
192
484
163
Flinders Park
Only had a short shower or two of heavy drops at Kilburn during the afternoon.

My partner told me that there was a reasonable amount of thunder heard at home (not overhead) although not much rain.

Some nice convection visible to my SE from work. Sky looked black to the east for most of the afternoon with the storms & hail over the Mt Lofty Ranges. The hail may have affected some of the fruit tree crops in those areas such as apples & cherries although I'm not sure at what stage the trees are at.

Mt Lofty's rapid fire 56.8mm over 2 hours was quite impressive, something quite common in NT during the Wet Season.

There was orange colouring on the 128k radar around the Mannum area just as I left work at 5pm with a small elongated pale blue "donut" about where my property is. I'm not sure whether this was a real lack of rain or just the limitations of resolution of the radar image.

I did see Pallamanna recorded ~21mm and Mypolonga NRM station recorded 42.8mm since 9am, so if my property recorded anything ~20mm+, I will be very happy. I'll find out on Saturday what the total for the last fortnight has been.

Not sure what the heavy rain has had on the grain crops in the Murray Mallee, but some of them looked like they could do with some more precipitation when I was in the Mannum area recently. Crops north of Gawler were around 30cm high in places, so hopefully not too much damage there.

Anyway, all in all, a nice tropical injection of moisture to parts of the Central/Eastern regions of the state.

The rain forecast in northern Vic & Riverina districts should hopefully flush the Murray a bit.

Enough of my ramblings for now.
 

wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
192
484
163
Flinders Park
Here's an update to my rainfall figures.
My total estimate for Sep at home was 19.0mm vs 21.6mm at the Airport (Sep average = 45.0mm, so ~half the average).

For Oct so far, 9.1mm at home & 5.6mm at the airport (35.7mm average).

The YTD at home is 352.6mm vs 329.8mm at the airport.

I found 30.1mm in the gauge on my property for the 4 weeks ending Oct 2, most of which fell on Sep 29.

Nothing major in the next week or so apart from some drips & drabs from showery stuff, no NW cloudbands that I can see anyway. They seem to be favouring the eastern states atm.
 
  • Like
Reactions: skifree

FarmWeather

Early Days
Nov 26, 2020
24
16
8
Yep looks like Saturday top up vanished and mid week may not materialise just a top up of 5 plus mm be great after last weeks 18 to 25 soil still damp
 
  • Sad
Reactions: skifree

FarmWeather

Early Days
Nov 26, 2020
24
16
8
Dare to dream a nick of time top up this week 10mm maybe or did I just give it the kiss of death. Mid north of SA will do well this week
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: skifree

Parklife

Early Days
Jan 23, 2021
60
82
18
Hazelwood Park
Yes finally a Low that is not being repulsed by SA, Thursday the pick rain wise, models not exactly agreeing on totals, but all at least agreeing on 5mm and as much as 35mm.
 

skifree

A disciple of the blessed avi giraffe
Moderator
Ski Pass
Jul 13, 1998
33,798
35,474
1,063
Middle Oz
EC and GFS backing off and BoM more optimistic.

Edit: BoM backed off also.
As per normal, promise a sniff then slowly back away so tomoroz is just a sunny repeat of the previous.

Unless you live in Mt Compass, it always rains in Mt Compass.
 
  • Like
Reactions: betsuin

Parklife

Early Days
Jan 23, 2021
60
82
18
Hazelwood Park
As per normal, promise a sniff then slowly back away so tomoroz is just a sunny repeat of the previous.

Unless you live in Mt Compass, it always rains in Mt Compass.
Very complex system, seems the low crossed a bit further north west than the models were predicting a week to 10 days ago. Listening to the duty forecaster on the ABC, Low is now weakening and heading east with a smaller low developing about the Murray mouth. Tonight may see high falls about the ranges, with the metro region seeing decent totals and storms to the east of the ranges. Looking at the satellite, it sure looks as though there is a heap of dense cloud heading up from the south as the low swirls it way east.
 
  • Like
Reactions: wernerk and skifree

Parklife

Early Days
Jan 23, 2021
60
82
18
Hazelwood Park
Wow 27.5 mm overnight from that pool of cloud that gradually moved north. It proved to be a solid dumper for the metro region at least; total for the system so far 31mm. Models were actually more accurate rainfall wise 2 weeks ago LOL
 
  • Like
Reactions: wernerk

wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
192
484
163
Flinders Park
Rainfall figures for the last 3 days :
Oct 13 1.3mm to 07:45
Oct 14 5.6mm to 07:50
Oct 15 16.0mm to 06:00 (had to be somewhere at 7am).

So system total = 22.9mm, with last night's effort quite a bit more from what I was expecting.

Brings the October monthly total to 32.0mm & YTD 375.5mm.

Corresponding figures for the airport are
Oct 13 1,6mm, Oct 14 3.2mm & Oct 15 16.6mm. System total 21.4mm, Oct 27.0mm & YTD 351.2mm
 
  • Like
Reactions: skifree

Parklife

Early Days
Jan 23, 2021
60
82
18
Hazelwood Park
Well we failed to get to the 30 degrees today due to the cloud cover, and that front looks to be a whopper on the satellite although it must be more high based stuff. Nevertheless it still looks as though we are due a rain band at the back end, but the models are not predicting it. At least we are not forecast for giant hail, sometimes I am envious of the easterners with their weather but not their hail.

Capture 20-10.PNG


hail.PNG
 
  • Like
Reactions: skifree
Remove ads with a
Ski Pass

Log in

or Log in using
Remove ads with a
Ski Pass