Day to Day SA & Adelaide weather

ThÜñDå HûÑtÅ

One of Us
Jul 19, 2019
285
324
163
Reynella, South Australia
Unfortunately the NSW ECL on steroids and a positive Southern Annular Mode is the culprit behind our severe weather even drought at present of which has resulted in Thunda going to sleep until something happens
ZZZZZZZZZ.... ***pop***... huh, oh, yeah... ok.
wish you wouldn't talk so loud RS, you just woke me up. o_O
so while i'm awake it looks like a frold c... i mean... cold front is
finally on its way to us on monday.
a decent short lived coldpool, the whole system looks to be a 36 hr
flash in the pan. my gauge appears to have snorted 1.8mm from
somewhere since the last reading back whenever.
for me the system looks to be good for ½ - 1".
southern coastal and LSE 10-20mm.
mid north, USE, mallee, YP 5-10mm.
EP, riverland 1-5mm.
lofty 1 - 2"
there i go sticking my neck out again, i swore i was going to give
this up, never mind... ive done it now...
bring it... yawn... on.

TH
 
Remove ads with a
Ski Pass

FarmWeather

Addicted
Nov 26, 2020
207
233
113
ZZZZZZZZZ.... ***pop***... huh, oh, yeah... ok.
wish you wouldn't talk so loud RS, you just woke me up. o_O
so while i'm awake it looks like a frold c... i mean... cold front is
finally on its way to us on monday.
a decent short lived coldpool, the whole system looks to be a 36 hr
flash in the pan. my gauge appears to have snorted 1.8mm from
somewhere since the last reading back whenever.
for me the system looks to be good for ½ - 1".
southern coastal and LSE 10-20mm.
mid north, USE, mallee, YP 5-10mm.
EP, riverland 1-5mm.
lofty 1 - 2"
there i go sticking my neck out again, i swore i was going to give
this up, never mind... ive done it now...
bring it... yawn... on.

TH
Good morning thunda looks pretty quite to me Riverland 1 to 5 I concur 1 to 5 in most parts except lofties and fleriue maybe lower ep.
Go back sleep wake you up September for first storm event
 
  • Like
Reactions: ThÜñDå HûÑtÅ

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
there i go sticking my neck out again, i swore i was going to give
this up, never mind... ive done it now...
bring it... yawn... on.
Old habits die hard Thunda but you maybe on the money with 36 hour flash in the pan as current forecast has LSE getting 5-10 mms Monday followed by another 1 mm and possible small hail during the morning Tuesday next Sunday weatherzone has Thunderstorms forecasted with between 1-5mms but I am going to be sitting back and seeing if it changes before next weekend as it usually does
 

wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
365
1,049
263
Flinders Park
July at home recorded 80.1mm with the YTD for the first half of the year at 259.7mm. This is the second highest YTD to end of June during my rainfall data collection period of Mar 2014 - present with only 2016 surpassing this year's figure with 274.0mm.

Corresponding June 2022 figures for the airport are 59.2mm & 203.7mm.

To summarise 2022 : Monthly mean first, then YTD mean

Monthly 2022 vs Monthly mean; End of Month YTD 2022 vs mean YTD; # raindays >0.1mm

Jan 49.8mm vs 27.6mm (2015-2021); 49.8mm vs 30.4mm; 7 days
Feb 8.7mm vs 15.7mm (2015-2021); 58.5mm vs 43.3mm; 5 days
Mar 25.9mm vs 13.2mm (2015-2021); 84.4mm vs 50.5mm; 4 days
Apr 10.0m vs 32.8mm (2015-2021); 94.4mm vs 83.4mm; 6 days
May 85.2mm vs 53.7mm (2015-2021); 179.6mm vs 138.2mm; 18 days
Jun 80.1mm vs 51.9mm (2015-2021); 259.7mm vs 194.0mm; 23 days

Jan 7.1 avg mm/day; 1 event 5-10mm, 1 event 15-20mm, 1 event 20-25mm
Feb 1.7; 1 event = 5mm
Mar 6.5; 1 events 5-10mm, 1 event 15-20mm
Apr 1.7; 1 event 5-10mm
May 4.0; 5 events 5-10mm, 1 event 30-35mm
Jun 3.5; 3 events 5-10mm, 1 event 35-40mm

The data above indicates more convective, potentially stormy events in the usually drier months of Jan & Mar while the usually wetter months of May & Jun had a lot of smaller daily totals, 12 & 19 respectively.

The next event for a potential 5+mm rainfall may be on Monday next week although if recent "wetter"events are anything to go by, the totals will be revised downwards.
There, let's see if the reverse psychology works or if it's programming as normal re downgrades, lol!

I hope you have found the above analysis of interest.
 

skifree

A disciple of the blessed avi giraffe
Moderator
Ski Pass
Jul 13, 1998
37,218
41,498
1,063
Middle Oz
July at home recorded 80.1mm with the YTD for the first half of the year at 259.7mm. This is the second highest YTD to end of June during my rainfall data collection period of Mar 2014 - present with only 2016 surpassing this year's figure with 274.0mm.

Corresponding June 2022 figures for the airport are 59.2mm & 203.7mm.

To summarise 2022 : Monthly mean first, then YTD mean

Monthly 2022 vs Monthly mean; End of Month YTD 2022 vs mean YTD; # raindays >0.1mm

Jan 49.8mm vs 27.6mm (2015-2021); 49.8mm vs 30.4mm; 7 days
Feb 8.7mm vs 15.7mm (2015-2021); 58.5mm vs 43.3mm; 5 days
Mar 25.9mm vs 13.2mm (2015-2021); 84.4mm vs 50.5mm; 4 days
Apr 10.0m vs 32.8mm (2015-2021); 94.4mm vs 83.4mm; 6 days
May 85.2mm vs 53.7mm (2015-2021); 179.6mm vs 138.2mm; 18 days
Jun 80.1mm vs 51.9mm (2015-2021); 259.7mm vs 194.0mm; 23 days

Jan 7.1 avg mm/day; 1 event 5-10mm, 1 event 15-20mm, 1 event 20-25mm
Feb 1.7; 1 event = 5mm
Mar 6.5; 1 events 5-10mm, 1 event 15-20mm
Apr 1.7; 1 event 5-10mm
May 4.0; 5 events 5-10mm, 1 event 30-35mm
Jun 3.5; 3 events 5-10mm, 1 event 35-40mm

The data above indicates more convective, potentially stormy events in the usually drier months of Jan & Mar while the usually wetter months of May & Jun had a lot of smaller daily totals, 12 & 19 respectively.

The next event for a potential 5+mm rainfall may be on Monday next week although if recent "wetter"events are anything to go by, the totals will be revised downwards.
There, let's see if the reverse psychology works or if it's programming as normal re downgrades, lol!

I hope you have found the above analysis of interest.
My heads just exploded.
 

FarmWeather

Addicted
Nov 26, 2020
207
233
113
2111763B-2870-438E-9F84-A18A50AF8182.png
 
  • Like
Reactions: ThÜñDå HûÑtÅ

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
Just like that the forecast has changed once again no thunderstorms or small hail to speak of this week although there's an 80% chance of anywhere between 5-10 mms tomorrow followed by 60% chance of at least 1-5mms Tuesday then pretty much at least 1 mm for rest of the week

Our best chance of anything significant popping up will most likely come in 7.5 weeks when winter transitions into spring and the negative IOD ramps up big time however given the recent setups over NSW as of late where a positive sam and rampaging ECL's have occurred consecutive times in a row it could be a very long wait for SA
 
Remove ads with a
Ski Pass

skifree

A disciple of the blessed avi giraffe
Moderator
Ski Pass
Jul 13, 1998
37,218
41,498
1,063
Middle Oz
The rain is done, we’ve mulched the garden with 100mm of pea straw as per normal.

Irrigation will be turned back on this week.
 

ThÜñDå HûÑtÅ

One of Us
Jul 19, 2019
285
324
163
Reynella, South Australia
ok so looks like something will happen tomorrow, yay.
did anyone get pics of the sunset tonight,
was absolutley spectacular, unfortunatley i was coming
down chandlers hill absolutley pissing myself looking for
a spot to stop... it never happened and by the time i got
home it was all over rover... damn it.
please someone tell me they got pics...

TH
 

Homer

One of Us
Ski Pass
Aug 3, 2005
2,526
7,239
363
Castle Hill - Sydney
The rain is done, we’ve mulched the garden with 100mm of pea straw as per normal.

Irrigation will be turned back on this week.

You can have some of ours from Sydney for the rest of the year if you like.
We are all seriously over the insane amounts of rain we have had this year and in the past 12 months overall.
The below figures are for the Sydney Observatory Hill site - next to the Harbour Bridge.
Many other suburbs have had way more than this.

Aug 21 - 81.4 mm's
Sept 21 - 47.8 mm's
Oct 21 - 54.6 mm's
Nov 21 - 137 mm's
Dec 21 - 132.8 mm's
Jan 22 - 166.2 mm's
Feb 22 - 356 mm's
Mar 22 - 554 mm's
Apr 22 - 267 mm's
May 22 - 187 mm's
June 22 - 16.8 mm's
July 22 (10 days) - 300.4 mm's

A total of 2301 mm's in 12 months. And it is still raining tonight.

Please, take as much as you want!!
 

skifree

A disciple of the blessed avi giraffe
Moderator
Ski Pass
Jul 13, 1998
37,218
41,498
1,063
Middle Oz
You can have some of ours from Sydney for the rest of the year if you like.
We are all seriously over the insane amounts of rain we have had this year and in the past 12 months overall.
The below figures are for the Sydney Observatory Hill site - next to the Harbour Bridge.
Many other suburbs have had way more than this.

Aug 21 - 81.4 mm's
Sept 21 - 47.8 mm's
Oct 21 - 54.6 mm's
Nov 21 - 137 mm's
Dec 21 - 132.8 mm's
Jan 22 - 166.2 mm's
Feb 22 - 356 mm's
Mar 22 - 554 mm's
Apr 22 - 267 mm's
May 22 - 187 mm's
June 22 - 16.8 mm's
July 22 (10 days) - 300.4 mm's

A total of 2301 mm's in 12 months. And it is still raining tonight.

Please, take as much as you want!!

We dream, oh the sweetest of dreams,
 
  • Like
  • Haha
Reactions: wernerk and Homer

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
You can have some of ours from Sydney for the rest of the year if you like.
We are all seriously over the insane amounts of rain we have had this year and in the past 12 months overall.
The below figures are for the Sydney Observatory Hill site - next to the Harbour Bridge.
Many other suburbs have had way more than this.

Aug 21 - 81.4 mm's
Sept 21 - 47.8 mm's
Oct 21 - 54.6 mm's
Nov 21 - 137 mm's
Dec 21 - 132.8 mm's
Jan 22 - 166.2 mm's
Feb 22 - 356 mm's
Mar 22 - 554 mm's
Apr 22 - 267 mm's
May 22 - 187 mm's
June 22 - 16.8 mm's
July 22 (10 days) - 300.4 mm's

A total of 2301 mm's in 12 months. And it is still raining tonight.

Please, take as much as you want!!
A mutant east coast low capable of mass chaos would be a dream come true for everyone including Thunda but the rain would need to evenly spread across SA not just isolated to 1 or 2 areas like it was earlier this year when we seen roads get washed out up North

What we need is for the Negative IOD to get its butt into gear come spring and give us tropical like conditions with storms like we seen in November 2017 of which was a La Nina year too
 

FarmWeather

Addicted
Nov 26, 2020
207
233
113
6678D7F7-7FE1-41B9-8010-D8E907BFC60E.jpeg
Your wish is my command IOD.
SA really couldnt cope with east coast rain event would be a disaster of gigantic proportions
 

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
That IOD index time series chat FarmWeather definitely shows a massive drop since its record high in between July 2019/January 2020 I've noticed were getting more lows passing over SA but bearing hardly any rain probably about 1-5 mms at best hopefully the Negative IOD ramps up in August

It would pay to keep an eye on this Sunday as there seems to be a bit of rain in the low/front and trough projected to be 997 hpa but is a cold/warm front combined going by synoptic charts with it persisting into Monday before a high pressure comes in up behind and cleans it out
 
  • Like
Reactions: skifree

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
just like that the rainfall totals have been revised down to 1-5 mms for Saturday and Sunday :rolleyes: but there's still a chance of thunderstorms in arvo/evening although wouldn't count on those happening either. next Tuesday-Wednesday looks good weather wise after cold starts then another chance of thunderstorms Saturday
 
  • Like
Reactions: ThÜñDå HûÑtÅ
Remove ads with a
Ski Pass

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
Naaaaa, no chance of tunda, it’s way too cooold.
If the predicted triple dip La Nina reforms around spring time adding in a negative IOD we'll most likely be seeing a chance of storms or perhaps significant weather events too although that remains to be seen since were 7 weeks away from spring starting
 
  • Like
Reactions: skifree

betsuin

One of Us
Nov 28, 2020
149
256
163
Magill
Well, I've been in the Alice this last week .. not SA stuff but.. It's been bloody cold!
Every night has been below zero, the first was -3degC, and there have been a couple not that different. Days whilst nice standing out in the full Sun are warming, just don't drop into a shadow.. Plus the "apparent temp" is chillier still.. !
So, enjoy Adelaide - Central Australia beckons!
 

FarmWeather

Addicted
Nov 26, 2020
207
233
113
Gee whiz there are some rainfall deficiencies for July so far in higher rainfall spots. Like running at 10% of average. Me in drought stricken mallee I’m on 50% of average. The ole “up from south west over the lakes streams” as Ian Holten used to call them have served me well. Wind/weather has to come from perfect position for them to work. Last Friday till Monday this week we picked up 12
 

ThÜñDå HûÑtÅ

One of Us
Jul 19, 2019
285
324
163
Reynella, South Australia
Recorded a verry surprising and totally unexpected 12.0mm at home in the last 24hrs.
ya beat me ya varmit... 11.2mm for me.
just shows one doesn't have to be religious to obtain deliverance.
only expected another 1-5mm today.
makes 15.2 so far, dont expect much more but an area of thick drizzle
to deliver a mm or two is not out of the realm of possibilities.
as iv'e said before if the weather is going to be crap it might as
well be crap properly, as much as i hate winter personally ive
enjoyed this weather event. hope everyone else has been able
to salvage some assemblance of a decent weekend too.

TH
 

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
WOOOOOOW!!!!
the miserable crap weather continues,
good day for sitting inside and contemplating the meaning of life.
you should get nice and wet down there robbie, a bit more guts
to the front down there for you.

TH
Todays cold front did have a bit of bite to it currently sitting on 7.8 degrees outside with 8.2 mms of rain recorded in the gauge and a chilly breeze to go nothing worth getting to excited about just a garden variety icy winter day/night

Tuesday-Thursday this week look to be brass monkey balls temps overnight with the lowest being -1 on Wednesday and Thursday (my work day yay not :rolleyes:)
 
  • Like
Reactions: Seabreezes

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
I'm fairly sure the outside temperature gauge on my weather station malfunctioned early this morning as it was reading 8.5 degrees just after 9 am where as temperature sensor on rain gauge reading was 3.5 adding into mix pooled water on the tarp covering my cats run/bed area frozen over making it easy to pull off in bits

Were looking at another brass monkey balls night again tonight once the wind drops off at present its 6.9 degrees outside

I've also noticed yet another ECL is about to hit NSW hopefully that's the last one and our spring storm season can happen shortly come September
 
  • Like
Reactions: betsuin and skifree

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
You will go ok over weekend into say Tuesday rob
Only just looked at the rainfall estimates for next Monday FarmWeather it says were gonna get 10-20 mms with tomorrow evening projected to drop 5-10 as well as Sunday although Saturday looks to be a brief break with only 1 mm

I'll be keeping a close eye on the forecast tomorrow night through to Monday incase rainfall totals are revised downwards although at this stage it seems unlikely as that front coming towards SA is 997 hpa so most likely have some sort of a bite to it rainfall wise

Also I did notice on the synoptic charts that another cold front is clipping SW WA on Wednesday and has a gnarly pressure of 972 hpa unfortunately due to SA having a high pressure of 1026 followed by a second one of 1018 inbound it will be pushed downwards away from us
 
  • Sad
Reactions: skifree

wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
365
1,049
263
Flinders Park
Rainfall update for July to date.

As of today, 26.8mm cf mean of 62.4mm & YTD 286.5mm cf mean YTD 257.7mm to end of July.

So, for the month we're behind by 35.6mm (with 9 days to go to end of July), but in front of mean YTD by 28.8mm.

Corresponding July to date & YTD rainfall for the airport are 15.8mm & 219.5mm.

Will find out tomorrow how much rain Ponde has scraped together for the last 3 weeks. If <10mm, may have to consider whether to do a watering of the new plants or not to get some moisture deeper into the soil. Prefer to do some birdwatching rather than watering though :)
 

wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
365
1,049
263
Flinders Park
Gee whiz there are some rainfall deficiencies for July so far in higher rainfall spots. Like running at 10% of average. Me in drought stricken mallee I’m on 50% of average. The ole “up from south west over the lakes streams” as Ian Holten used to call them have served me well. Wind/weather has to come from perfect position for them to work. Last Friday till Monday this week we picked up 12
Those “up from south west over the lakes streams” also work ok for Ponde but they have to have a more southerly aspect than southwesterly. As with your location @FarmWeather, the showers have to come from the perfect direction.
 

wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
365
1,049
263
Flinders Park
Yep.

However, the soil under the mulch around the new plants is still quite damp. They receive a total of 20L at planting time plus followup waterings during the warmer months during the first year after planting.

The crops in the surrounding countryside are also very green which is nice to see compared to the usual grey/brown during the warmer months.

Property looks at its best this time of year before the grass/weeds get too tall, especially when the sun's shining as it was yesterday. The weather was absolutely beautiful.

Lots of Silvereyes were having a bath and a drink in the birdbath throughout the day. My partner had to wait ages before she could get in to clean the birdbath and refill it with clean water.
 

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
scored 5.5 mms of rain in the rain gauge from a single short downpour before it turned cold with lots of fog overnight and into early this morning the kind of weather you'd never wish to be driving through in roo country with hop hops suspect to coming out in huge numbers ready to jump in front of an unsuspecting vehicle

Turned out to be a coolish but reasonable day and no rain to speak of but breezy wind wise with a top speed of 22.0 km/h recorded on my weather stations earlier today, this break from wet weather was a nice change although the ground is still fairly wet with grass growing faster than you can cut it all we need is like 2 or 3 fine days to allow allow for lawn mowing to be done

Looking ahead to tomorrow it appears to be a wet day ahead although earlier 10-20 mms predictions on wz app have been scaled back to 1-5 mms but nonetheless thunderstorms and small hail are still on the cards
 

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
scored a grand total of 5.7 mms from this weather system also was talking to FarmWeather earlier and he has asked me to share this image on here as a discussion starter it appears were in for a weather event rainfall wise 384 hours from today going by my interpretation it seems the LSE will cop a massive drenching big time



1658740271934.png
 
  • Like
Reactions: skifree

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
The great Ian holton once said to me ignore the models but remember thevtrends
well said FarmWeather that weather event is gonna be an interesting one to keep track of as it develops although it will give mums rainwater tanks a good top up
 
Remove ads with a
Ski Pass
Remove ads with a
Ski Pass

Log in

or Log in using