Day to Day SA & Adelaide weather

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
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63
Been keeping track of this incoming weather event early-mid next week so far have been seeing different models and forecasts in regards to how much each area is gonna get so far about 2 of them indicate towards Adelaide and LSE getting a significant amount whilst other forecasts including wz are saying anywhere between 5-10 mms
 
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skifree

A disciple of the blessed avi giraffe
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Jul 13, 1998
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73D53466-DDE8-461B-8E0E-7E19D31D6BF4.jpeg


July 2022 numbers from Exeter.
 

wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
365
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Flinders Park
Rainfall for July 2022 ended up at 32.0mm at home and YTD of 291.7mm.

Second driest July in the last 9 years, 2020 being the driest with only 16.6mm.

Airport July 2022 total was 21.4mm and YTD is 225.1mm.

Let's see what August brings.
 
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skifree

A disciple of the blessed avi giraffe
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Jul 13, 1998
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Middle Oz
Rainfall for July 2022 ended up at 32.0mm at home and YTD of 291.7mm.

Second driest July in the last 9 years, 2020 being the driest with only 16.6mm. 2020 only recorded 316.2mm at home cf the 2015-2021 average of 436.9mm.

Airport July 2022 total was 21.4mm and YTD is 225.1mm.

Yippee, we beat the aerodrome, normally it feels like they beat us.
 
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Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
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*Pops head in...hello anyone awake* :p Is anyone keeping track of this incoming weather event due mid to late this week as it's being talked about on the fb weather groups apparently the LSE is inline for severe weather on Wednesday how bad is unknown at this stage but going by what BOM has routinely updated on their twitter page its going to get fairly gnarly
 

skifree

A disciple of the blessed avi giraffe
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Jul 13, 1998
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*Pops head in...hello anyone awake* :p Is anyone keeping track of this incoming weather event due mid to late this week as it's being talked about on the fb weather groups apparently the LSE is inline for severe weather on Wednesday how bad is unknown at this stage but going by what BOM has routinely updated on their twitter page its going to get fairly gnarly
Beware the Radelaide Forcefield, all will be quiet, except at the aerodrome where arrival & departure will be difficult for no apparent reason.

Might be some rain in the hills.
 

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
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63
Seems like the evil Radelaide Forcefield has failed as a SWW for damaging winds in Adelaide Metro and a whole bunch of other locations has been issued for tomorrow and also we may see a reissuing of it on late Wednesday arvo
 
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Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
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Yeah super windy never good for rain totals in my neck of the woods but does depend on exact direction at times. Brunt of it 5 to 7 pm?
Unsure at this point of time FarmWeather although it may get fairly gnarly this evening at present I've only just been able to readjust settings on my wireless wx station from km/h to bf scale measurement so as to get a good idea of how strong this event will be
 
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wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
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Yeah super windy never good for rain totals in my neck of the woods but does depend on exact direction at times. Brunt of it 5 to 7 pm?
Mannum area gets sfa in these setups of high winds. Clouds tend to use the ranges as a launching pad and disintegrate on the eastern side only to reform further east.

Came out of Aldi at the airport to a bright flash (cc) south of the airport somewhere around 6:15pm tonight.

Total fluke re seeing it.
 

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
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63
Barometric pressure on weather station is currently sitting at 987.7 hpa we've just been severe weather warned again for damaging winds tonight and late arvo/early evening tomorrow as well including potential for heavy rain too
 
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ThÜñDå HûÑtÅ

One of Us
Jul 19, 2019
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Reynella, South Australia
im a bit peeved off with a forecast of 20-40mm for today.
my enthusiasm for S.A.s weather is at an all time low.
if this is all we get with -ve IOD and NW infeeds then we
are seriously screwed. as soon as it heads east it goes
completley boontah, the usual storms dying as they approach
us is still the same 'ol same 'ol. now what should be good rain
events is nothing but lame duck non delivering garbage. remove
your hats and take a bow to climate change, this is our lot.
while sw w.a., east coast and western divide get soaked s.a. is
destined to become the land of cactus and scorpions.

TH
 

FarmWeather

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Nov 26, 2020
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Mannum area gets sfa in these setups of high winds. Clouds tend to use the ranges as a launching pad and disintegrate on the eastern side only to reform further east.

Came out of Aldi at the airport to a bright flash (cc) south of the airport somewhere around 6:15pm tonight.

Total fluke re seeing it.
Yeah often dumps it further out way further. All shredding tonight might see 2 by morning but wow to the wind yesterday guess you’ve all seen strath racecourse
F8FEC3CE-1E43-4499-BE40-FD2ED518345E.png
 

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
im a bit peeved off with a forecast of 20-40mm for today.
my enthusiasm for S.A.s weather is at an all time low.
if this is all we get with -ve IOD and NW infeeds then we
are seriously screwed. as soon as it heads east it goes
completley boontah, the usual storms dying as they approach
us is still the same 'ol same 'ol. now what should be good rain
events is nothing but lame duck non delivering garbage. remove
your hats and take a bow to climate change, this is our lot.
while sw w.a., east coast and western divide get soaked s.a. is
destined to become the land of cactus and scorpions.
Feel your pain Thunda, Wednesday and last nights weather events were pretty much garden variety severe weather where trees coming down pretty much stock standard what I wouldn't give for a bull in a china shop mutant cut off low that gives SA a right royal spanking with winds of 100-125 km/h likened to what we seen in 2011 and 2019 and nose hair pulling light shows
 

wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
365
1,049
263
Flinders Park
Recorded 9.5mm rainfall since yesterday morning, a bit more than I was expecting.

Brings to August to date total to 15.6mm.

A big crispykreme donut rainfallwise today inspite of the 10-15mm forecast. Lots of interesting soft towers and a few anvils about today, mainly on the western side of the ranges and out to sea.

A few spots for less than 30 seconds this afternoon was about it.
 
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Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
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Looks like this week coming is going to be fairly ordinary nothing much worth worrying about as the low forecasted to be over us Wednesday arvo/evening is rated at 1000hpa adding in a high off WA coastline at 1028 hpa should be over SA come next weekend we'll know around late Monday or early Tuesday at latest when the synoptic charts are updated on BOM website, as there's nothing indicating towards another cold front or cut low off unless one is hiding way off screen and slowly building strength and intensity
 
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Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
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63
Per last nights post of which skifree reacted with a sad face I've just revisited the synoptics they were updated slightly to include late Thursday from my mention last night about a cold front or cutoff low potentially hiding off screen kinda rings true

If you look at far right corner of Thursday night's synoptic chart there appears to be a combined cold/warm front coming in behind a high pressure system of which is being pushed down away from South Australia by incoming low this week on Wednesday

Interestingly same high pressure of which is influencing our sunny day today and tomorrow will park its backside off the NSW coast from Wednesday onwards thus allowing cold fronts and lows to affect SA although until the next run of synoptics comes out later today its not an iron clad certainty
1659843747528.png
 

skifree

A disciple of the blessed avi giraffe
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Jul 13, 1998
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Per last nights post of which skifree reacted with a sad face I've just revisited the synoptics they were updated slightly to include late Thursday from my mention last night about a cold front or cutoff low potentially hiding off screen kinda rings true

If you look at far right corner of Thursday night's synoptic chart there appears to be a combined cold/warm front coming in behind a high pressure system of which is being pushed down away from South Australia by incoming low this week on Wednesday

Interestingly same high pressure of which is influencing our sunny day today and tomorrow will park its backside off the NSW coast from Wednesday onwards thus allowing cold fronts and lows to affect SA although until the next run of synoptics comes out later today its not an iron clad certainty
1659843747528.png

Ooo Thursday morning an occluded front, they often hint of interesting things.
 

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
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63
Ooo Thursday morning an occluded front, they often hint of interesting things.
There's that secondary occluded front just off screen in Thursday's synoptic chart the question as to whether its going to affect SA during next week remains to be seen due to that strong high of 1029hpa keeping it off screen unless and looks like its interlinked with the 1030 hpa high sitting off NSW coast despite a trough sitting over us on Thursday
 
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Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
Another 5.3mm recorded at home this morning.

Otherwise a beautiful mostly sunny, even warm at times winter's day today.
No rain to speak of down here and yes it was quite nice today not exactly warm but pleasant definitely boggles the mind as to if the -IOD is actually in play and were looking at warm weather come next month
 

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
Just checked the more updated synoptic run it seems the earlier occluded front has a strong cold front attached to it going by the attached photo...at this stage we'll most likely feel it next Tuesday the 16th

1659945915129.png
 

Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
145
63
Latest synoptic run going by what I was listening on marine hf weather channel the current low pressure system is slow moving before it clears out on the weekend when pictured high comes in over SA

However there's no sign of any clear sunny weather as that ripper of an occluded front shown on left hand side of Saturday 10pm synoptic currently progged at 992hpa looks to be the one due to hit us on Tuesday next week and after that not much on horizon until at least later this month or early September

1660031778326.png
 
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ThÜñDå HûÑtÅ

One of Us
Jul 19, 2019
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Reynella, South Australia
an occluded front is a front that is not moving, if and when
it does move it becomes a cold front one way or a warm front the
other way, bom are not big on giving the full frontal picture
because they think the general public cant handle it.
the front in the charts is not occluded, an occluded front has alternate
cold spikes on one side and warm knobs on the opposite side of
the frontal line.
warm and occluded fronts occur quite often on our maps but
are mainly south down in the southern ocean, we rarely see
them up here.
having said that we have seen a lot more up close to us this
season than usual.

TH

sorry. had another look the thurs. map does show a part occluded front
also interesting to note is the map shows decaying and
developing fronts which is something i havn't seen before
although it's probably been around for more years than i'd
wanna know.
 
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wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
365
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Flinders Park
Out of the 6-10mm predicted for yesterday, home received 10.2mm bringing the August to date total to 33.5mm, already surpassing the July total of 32.0mm. YTD is sitting on 325.2mm which is more or less the total at the end of August last year.

Airport's August to date is 35.0mm & YTD 260.1mm.

Not too much through the metro area today, so if we're going to reach the 6-10mm predicted for today this morning, it's going to have to ratchet up a notch or two overnight as happened last night.
 
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betsuin

One of Us
Nov 28, 2020
149
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Magill
30mm in the gauge now, happy with that.

Edit:
The southern ocean incoming low has been slow moving as predicted.
Smashing down outside right now.
Well over 24hrs now and it is still slowly heading east.

Aug_12_2022_Swirl.gif
 
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wernerk

One of Us
Jul 5, 2019
365
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263
Flinders Park
Another 3.0mm day before yesterday, 2.3mm yesterday and 2.5mm until early afternoon today brings the August total to 41.3mm.

Some impressive softish towers and some anvils around yesterday and today.
 
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Robbie0404

Hard Yards
Feb 28, 2022
107
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You rainforest dwellers are gonna have mould growing out ya cornhole if models are correct over new few weeks
Wouldn't be far off the mark with that statement FarmWeather seeing as BOM has already called a triple dip La Nina combine it with the looming -IOD gives us the makings of a very interesting severe weather season all we need now is a touch of warm weather throwing into the mixture a strong low pressure system and presto storms likened to 2016
 
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