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Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Feb 28, 2011.
ACCESS-R is suggesting very wet tomorrow morning.
Here we go again!!
Never a dull moment with the"new age weather".
Maybe its time for the new tyres and ditch baldy ones i feel.
I can see big totals... a lot of the past systems have surprised moisture wise, this one will do it again I feel.
Nice big blob around Wilsons Prom at the moment, I can see that becoming significant.
Yeah it's been sucked round and blown up, I think Geelong might be on the tip of this, or just miss out, and that will be as far west as it goes.
thats a good one!
Bulk of moisture gone now. Good totals east of a line straight through Port Phillip.
35mm in my gauge + 26 the other night. Good timing, gardens were dry.
Next week sees some strong fronts progged for the bight.
Maybe first proper autumn/winter swell producer for vic protected reefs. ie: 6-8ft as opposed to 3-4
yes 45mm for the city, maybe a little more to come then a nice arvo
Thought it would be a big one... 44mm for the city, around 60 for Latrobe Valley area.
A significant amount of precipitation fell at Baw Baw last night while the temps were slightly negative... pity all the cams don't have a recent picture
Still a bit of moisture and rotation left in this one. I had a quick glance at the gauge and it was >30mm overnight, which gives me >50mm in the past week or so, nice already got my monthly average then.
64mm here since 12am. Buller cams suggesting they've had some falls. BOM suggesting 10+mm and still falling slowly.
Bucketed down here for most of the night after mid-night. Up to 60mm in Mitcham. Surprisingly it doesn't feel that cold outside. I walked out a minute ago expecting it to be freezing, after hearing small hail mixed with much of the rain, but the surface temp is actually quite warm. My crappy outdoor therm. says 13.
Another beautiful autumn day on the Real CC
56mm for me over night in Canterbury (71mm for the event)
I can see another 10mm today, as I speak it's belting down in St Kilda.
hmm its staying west, maybe not such a fine arvo....
Heavy but small cells as the low spins round.
Incredibly warm here in Clayton... certainly doesn't feel anything like snow weather. And it's still just below zero at Hotham.
The low is on the move again, looks like we might get some more rain in Melbourne if it rotates enough and pushes that moisture N/NE of TAS up to us.
I suspect that big blob of rainfall over Tasmania will only get as far as south gibbsland.
We'll get some showers here in the city, but I don't think we'll get much more. Good for the catchments though.
-0.6 at Thredbo and raining - cams up top look covered in sloppy snow...
its bloody cold here in albury and still coming on the radar. so much so I think waterskiing is off this arvo.
the bom sees this as a good ground cooler anyway..
Well done ACCESS - It progged this system 10days out while GFS and EC were having a tea party.
St Helens with a lazy 90mm+ since 9am.
If temps can hold there could be some tidy falls up high this afternoon. We are getting some nice showers in Wagga ATM.
Some good snow accumlating in NSW with a bit of moisture heading our way. Should be some good falls overnight.
Incorrect. EC picked this 10 days ago and suggested Tuesday as the "wet" day for Melbourne.
Low on the move now, will clear Melbourne by nightfall then only isolated showers around. That big chunk NE off TAS wont get to us.
I'm talking about the snow . EC and GFS never showed snow.
Just a few bits of info from my 2 weather stations (my house and parents):
Rowville - This year ive picked up 439mm there, the average to the end of April is 224.2mm and this time last year we had 186.4mm.
Cranbourne East - 297mm this year, average is 216.4mm and last year we had 182.8mm.
My gauge is showing 61.5mm since last night (86.5 for the event)
Actually, the last 24 hours have been the wettest this year for us.
Big differences in a relatively small distance hey?
yes. You've been killing me all year, but you are in a much damper part of Melbourne.
Mum and Dad have been killing me all year too! 439mm that's pretty nuts, although last year I had more than them here. Cranbourne and down this was is lucky we seem to pick up those 5mm+ SW bits that dont quite reach the city and more Eastern subs. Rowville had some big storms come through that missed us, you would have copped some of them too.
Off the top of my head, about 440mm this year to date at my Gippsland home. I actually thought most of Melbourne was killing us by a good 50 to 100mm! I think the massive storms last month really put totals up.
February and March were the wettest and third wettest months I've recorded since 2006, respectively.
Lake Eildon 83.1%
44.4mm for the past 24 hours here! Tanks all full again.. ...
Seriously bad flooding in NE TAS now spreading down to Hobart. Not good for them I cant see much more than showers out of what's left in this now, it's been drizzling here all morning. Even the tradies are working on the houses next door so they must be confident of no considerable rain today.
Not much rainfall for about a week after this one, but I see conflicting progs for late next week which could see some trough action. LWT is going to flatten out too, those beautiful nodes will slowly disappear over the next few days. ITCZ looks to be pushed up a little further N too, whether that is a sign of things to come or a temporary measure I dont know yet.
Yes, it looks relatively stable (rainfall wise) for the next week. Models are suggesting something weak mid next week.
Hobart's 78.8mm up to 9am was the highest daily total since April 23 1960 - 51 years.
Amazing rivulet flows thru the suburbs, overnight and this morning
It's been drizzling all night here, sometimes a bit heavier but always raining something. Picked up 17mm while the city barely got wet. Mt D got quite a bit too, the elevation helped it out, but it's not penetrating too far inland.
We had a couple mm yesterday, perhaps the same overnight (I didn't look at the gauge this morning).
Zar, it's interesting, I always presumed Hobart was very wet. While 78.8mm is a good drop of water, it's also not an extraordinary quantity either, so for that to be the most rain in 51 years is a little surprising (to me at least). I guess you don't get the big storms in summer that tend to provide large rainfall quantities.
I lived in Hobart for 10 years and just come back to the north island the last couple of years.
Hobart is Australia's second driest Capital City (only Adelaide drier) it only gets about 600mm pa if that.
It rarely gets heavy rain - virtually no storms and what storms it gets most mainlanders would hardly notice.
Mostly the rain is light and often overnight showers.
It's just as well heavy precip is missing cause those steep mountains/hills all round would lead to rapid and severe flash flooding otherwise.
The biggest diff coming back to NSW is the size of the rain drops - huge here compared to Southern Tas.
Hobart is not much different to Melbourne. Hobart average is 614mm while Melbourne is 648.9mm.
Perth is 752mm, interesting because as a child living there 30+ years ago, the long term average was above 800mm, so there's clearly a significant drop in the amount of rain that has fallen in Perth in the last 30 years!!
SW and W of Hobart there are the hills that take the brunt of the weather. Have a look at the annual rainfall figures for somewhere like Strahan for example.
Still drizzling here, being going all morning.
Just as I thought, Strahan averages 1469mm a year.
Perth people were very excited over the weekend - we got 2mm!!!!
The West coast of Tas and the east may as well be on different continents, the weather is so different. The wind is virtually always coming from the westerly quarters and with a solid mountainous spine up through the west/middle of Tas, the West and far south cop it big time whilst the east of the state is generally VERY dry, some parts have less than 450mm rain pa.
The only time the east gets a good go is when a low forms like the current set up and rare easterly weather comes in.
For years here in Bendigo I've looked longingly at the average rainful... last year we had twice the average... this year almost 4 times the average!
Average rainfall to end of Apr 105.5mm 22.2 day(s)
Total for 2011 417.0mm 27 day(s)
Total to this day 2010 215.2mm 22 day(s)
21 April Looks like a little potential for a front to break through the weak high preasure band. Good potential for cold air but not too much moisture IMO