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SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Claude Cat, Dec 1, 2010.

  1. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Ok,
    We're officially in summer now. Not that you'd know about it here in Melbourne.

    [​IMG]

    Mighty wet.
     
    #1 Claude Cat, Dec 1, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  2. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Black Jesus! That chart is good for the Thomson, not so good for everyone else who is already soaked.

    I dont see this pattern ending in the next 2 weeks either, which takes us half way to xmas.
     
  3. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    EC not quite as optimistic.
    20mm through to Saturday.
    21mm Tuesday/Wednesday next week.
    A little more towards the end of next week.
     
  4. h2oskier

    h2oskier One of Us

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    eildon would lap that up very nicely.
     
  5. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    EPIC for the dam!!!!!!

    All is okay for Xmas day though!

    http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/victori...x-1225963534883

    GET the shorts ready for a balmy Christmas Day, but first we will have to endure a soggy start to summer.

    Despite our wettest spring in 18 years, the rain clouds are tipped to clear to a warmer than average festive season.

    Long-range weather forecaster John Moore said there was a 70-80 per cent chance of sunny weather on Christmas Day.

    "At this stage I think it is likely to be fine with the possibility of rain and a few thunderstorms in the days afterwards," he said.

    "Just the way the weather is at the moment, it is likely to be in the area probably 25-28C. It certainly won't be extremely hot."

    The weather bureau is more cautious, but says a La Nina weather pattern should lead to hot days and warm nights ahead.

    "Most of our indicators are showing a warmer than average summer," senior climatologist Karl Braganza said.

    "It looks like we will also have drier conditions, particularly across the west of the state."

    But the forecast for the rest of this week is a little bleak, with showers and possible storms predicted.

    Melbourne had 304mm of rain over the spring, and the first run of consecutive wet months above 100mm since 1992.

    Mr Moore said next year was also looking like a drought breaker.

    "I am predicting 2011 will be wetter than 2010," he said.
     
    #5 skiflat, Dec 1, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 14, 2013
  6. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Interesting weather heading into Melbourne just now.
    A bunch of rain heading in from the NE. I don't recall it ever coming from that direction before. It's very wet here in St Kilda.
     
  7. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Just looked at that

    WOW!!!!!

    Weird very weird.
     
    #7 skiflat, Dec 1, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  8. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Yeah normally it dies out instead of intensifying. Looks weird, look to the south and its OK look to the north and it's nasty.
     
  9. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Herald Sun [​IMG]

    They asked Karl Braganza that question as well... of course he has no idea what the weather on Christmas day will be like (nor does anyone else).

    So the Herald Sun just rang around some nut who was willing to answer...John Moore was probably next on the list.
     
    #9 Rush, Dec 1, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  10. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Torrential rain at the moment.
    Looks like Melbourne Airport has had 17mm in the last 20 minutes!
     
  11. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Now 27mm between 4pm and 4.24pm [​IMG]
     
    #11 Claude Cat, Dec 1, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    TS warning out.

    [​IMG]
    Will update.
     
    #12 Claude Cat, Dec 1, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 25, 2013
  13. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Flash flooding reported in some eastern 'burbs.
    I suspect also in the north too.
    Airport 33mm in 30 minutes. Scoresby around 14mm in the same time.
    BOM must have gladwrap on the gauge in the CBD.
     
  14. pezza

    pezza First Runs

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    dandenong creek has burst its banks
     
  15. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Last hour figures;
    Airport 38.8mm
    Mt Dandy 16mm
    Scoresby 14.2mm
    Not sure what's going on at the CBD, only 2.2 mm
    Here in St Kilda we must have had close to 20mm.
     
  16. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Adelaide is copping a massive storm now.
     
  17. Heinz

    Heinz Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    must be very localised - nothing at all south of the city.
     
  18. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Thunderstorms ARE local phenomena. Melbourne got smashed but nothing happened in Gippsland.
     
  19. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Merri Creek is a torrent (that's in Melbourne's north).
     
  20. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Pouring rain again in St Kilda this morning.
     
  21. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Epic rains to continue for the SE for the next week.
    BOM
    [​IMG]

    GFS: 75-100m for most of Victoria
    EC: around 40 to 50mm of rain for Melbourne
    Huge chance of storms down here early to mid next week. CAPE and LI values through the roof.
     
    #21 Claude Cat, Dec 2, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  22. Hacski

    Hacski Guest

    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    We soaked at our place in Canberra. Dampness is starting to appear in the basement. So I'm glad to see a bit of sunshine this morning.
     
  23. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Looking at the above, I don't think it's going to improve for the next week or so.
     
    #23 Claude Cat, Dec 2, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  24. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Whoa...! Floods again! Doesn't look as if we'll miss out this time.
     
    #24 ice_man, Dec 2, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  25. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Loving this weather in Melbourne.

    Warmish during the day
    Coolish at night
    Humidity
    Storms
    Rain
    Epic

    [​IMG]
     
    #25 skiflat, Dec 2, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  26. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Farmers would like it warm and dry for a couple of weeks so they can get their crops in.
     
  27. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    I only go off what I read/hear but it seems that farmers are never happy

    Too dry
    Too wet
    Too hot
    Too cold
    Too humid
     
    #27 skiflat, Dec 2, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  28. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    yes, they can get off their drought assistance and now get on to the flood assistance program ...
     
  29. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's because when you rely on monoculture for your living, by definition your crop is best suited to one particular climate regime. Any large variations outside this and your crop won't like it.

    Increased climatic variability is bad for farming.

    Well, in fact its bad for any human activity based upon an agrarian non-nomadic existence.
     
  30. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    First of the severe thunderstorm warnings out for today. Looks like lots of cells pooping up in the north and north east of Victoria.
    Could be an interesting afternoon.
     
  31. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Nice

    Do you ride to work each day ?
     
  32. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    No - just Monday and Friday if I can. I have to drop kids at school other days.
    Nice ring of storms heading our way. TS warnings for all of central now.
     
  33. wangster

    wangster A Local

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Just had a lone clap of thunder in Jindy, looks to be some storm activity incoming on the radar.

    We've had some periods of very heavy rain here today
     
  34. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    TS about to hit northern Melbourne. Feels very muggy out there.
    Very dark out to the north.
     
  35. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Nice storm just through Greensborough [​IMG]
     
    #35 skiflat, Dec 2, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  36. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Yeh we're getting smashed here in St Kilda.
    Sounds like plenty of power outages everywhere.
     
  37. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Light flickering here in Greensy...
     
  38. sadcase

    sadcase First Runs

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    I am heading off to Falls this weekend so I am curious as what people around here think about this weekend. According to WZ the worst of this current system will hit today and tomorrow easing significantly for the weekend. I don't mind walking around in the rain but when I have to dodge lightning I get a bit edgy.
     
  39. Ubiquitous Steve

    Ubiquitous Steve A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Weather been brewing around Kyneton today seems some areas may have got clobbered.Been looking very dark forboding.Was hoping to go walkies again at Mt Macedon after work>somebody got hit by lightening at Desalination plant today so watch that electrical stuff!
     
  40. ratherb@thesnow

    ratherb@thesnow Hard Yards

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Just came thru on the Mornington Peninsular, amazing dark swirling cloud formations on the leading edge.
     
  41. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Indeed.
    Temps dropped almost 10 degrees in the hour also.
    Storms from the NE. Ridiculous.
    Temps will climb right back up now, as it passes
     
    #41 The Plowking, Dec 2, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  42. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Next week looks even more ridiculous rain wise...atm.
    What a year for weather. 2006's opposite.
     
  43. wangster

    wangster A Local

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Severe hailstorms in Canberra apparently
     
  44. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Apparently Watergardens and Southland Shopping centres were evacuated due to flash flood.
     
  45. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Yeh, 3pm GFS is showing a ludicrous amount of rainfall for next week. Tuesday and Wednesday we could be swimming to and from work.
     
    #45 Claude Cat, Dec 2, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  46. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    source? (of Southlands flash flood)
     
  47. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    On the radio earlier. Haven't seen anything on the wires.
     
  48. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    It's okay CC

    [​IMG]
     
    #48 skiflat, Dec 2, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  49. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    [​IMG]
     
    #49 Claude Cat, Dec 2, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  50. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    Re: SE AUS Summer Weather: Heatwaves & Storms thread

    Seems like a 8 or so Neverfail water bottles will get you to/from work [​IMG]
     
    #50 skiflat, Dec 2, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013