Predictions September 25th - 26th, the last hurrah?

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Sep 19, 2014.

  1. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    113,316
    Likes Received:
    50,551
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    GFS has been fairly consistent for the last two days for this system. IMO
    Shows prefrontal with some snow following IMO

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  2. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    113,316
    Likes Received:
    50,551
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    IMO EC suggests more pre-frontal and less snow.
     
  3. kiter

    kiter One of Us

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2002
    Messages:
    875
    Likes Received:
    372
    Location:
    Newcastle
    Another clipper
     
  4. stoive

    stoive Hard Yards

    Joined:
    May 3, 2014
    Messages:
    11
    Likes Received:
    21
    Interested to hear how this system is evolving - heading for Perisher/main range on the 25th/26th/27th.

    My guess for a system at this time of year would be an overall net loss from the event thanks to the prefrontal, but a couple of centimetres of fresh to make the 26th or 27th a bit more fun?
     
  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    113,316
    Likes Received:
    50,551
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    IMO looking like a rain event now.
     
  6. stoive

    stoive Hard Yards

    Joined:
    May 3, 2014
    Messages:
    11
    Likes Received:
    21
    Aww, oh well.

    I predict 100cm of snow... already on the ground. Just not falling from the sky. And empty slopes. And raincoats. It'll do.
     
    Sydlouise likes this.
  7. sbm

    sbm One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 2, 2010
    Messages:
    3,064
    Likes Received:
    3,369
    Location:
    Sydney
    Yep, agree. Nothing on AXS or GFS.

    Should we start predicting high pressure systems & bluebird days instead? That's what spring's about.
     
  8. AndrewA

    AndrewA One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2012
    Messages:
    714
    Likes Received:
    616
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Raincoats packed.....
    AA
     
  9. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Sep 9, 2010
    Messages:
    2,509
    Likes Received:
    3,028
    Location:
    Gerroa
    Temps are dropping nearly as fast as the rain is coming down at PV and TTS. Any chance of an afternoon surprise ...
     
  10. NewTurns

    NewTurns One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2013
    Messages:
    1,490
    Likes Received:
    2,861
    Location:
    Sydney
    Definitely a rain event so far.....steady rain in Thredbo village from about 10pm last night and no sign of easing yet....
     
  11. sbm

    sbm One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 2, 2010
    Messages:
    3,064
    Likes Received:
    3,369
    Location:
    Sydney
    Definitely still warm. 1 to 2 degrees at top station.
     
  12. Byron

    Byron Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Mar 23, 2014
    Messages:
    31
    Likes Received:
    11
    How much damage has there been to the cover?