Mega Thread Sizzling Summer BBQ Thread!

Discussion in 'Eastern & Marine' started by Jellybeans, Dec 3, 2016.

  1. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    A little insignificant capped inversion, a little dry in the mid-levels. I'd love to see another sounding for this arvo.
     
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  2. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    It's brewing up over Mt Macedon central areas now.
     
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  3. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  4. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Hot in NSW coastal next 3 days.

    [​IMG]
     
  5. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Melbourne storm watch updated, 3 cells over Bellerine and Mornington.
     
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  6. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Lucky you guys (looking at a snowy balcony)
    Looking at afternoon storm forecast, I wouldn't want to be in South Gippsland.
    Property might cop a little of wind.

    Enjoy your wet ;)
     
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  7. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Central areas all blowing up.
     
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  8. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looks like I'm right in the sweet spot for that :(
     
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  9. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    good outflow of the line of cells (microburst?) moving through Seymour. I can see ~30km/h outflow on the Doppler Wind radar.
    Could be one to watch as it hits West Gippsland.
     
  10. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's not a tumor....
     
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  11. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Just got a txt from my mum in Seymour. Is positively belting down up there
     
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  12. Bluebird

    Bluebird One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm starting to hear some good rumbles in South Yarra and the sky over the 'G looks very foreboding...
     
  13. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Station Street, Seymour
    [​IMG]
     
  14. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looking at radar looks like a solid run of it from the NW. Should be Williamstownisjh about now.
     
  15. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Cairns comes to South Melbourne
     
  16. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looks like some Westerly/Nor-Westerly convergence around Melbourne CBD.
     
  17. glug1

    glug1 Hard Yards

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    Have had 31mm so far in my gauge today (Bendigo) 6mm in 5 minutes earlier which wet the ground nicely then, just before, I got another 25mm in 20 minutes. Flash flooding through the yard and water only a couple of inches from entering the house. Got a little busy there for a moment J
     
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  18. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Has been fairly persistent here in Canterbury last 45 minutes. Looks to be clearing off from the west.
     
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  19. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hasn't hit Narby yet. Wonder if I should close the shop early and get home before it starts
     
  20. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Kids had a ball in the downpour.. Probably should have put them in swimmers first. ;)
     
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  21. GS

    GS A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    The storms missed us but now have very pleasant steady rain....great after a hot and muggy day.

    Should be a mountain in all that white
     
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  22. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    55mm at Ferny Creek, 54mm at the AP.
    52mm at Mt Macedon.
     
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  23. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    The ECMWF model was bang on the money with this one, I reckon.
     
  24. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  25. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  26. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

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    Next to nothing happening up here ATM.
     
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  27. GS

    GS A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    78mm at Viewbank....that's some serious rain
     
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  28. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Still a few cells building in the NW so it's not entirely over yet.
     
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  29. bdenny4

    bdenny4 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not as "big" as I thought it was going to be, especially for the Nth Central.
    Friends with the property in front of ours in Yea reported that there has just been a few showers only.
     
  30. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Locally, severe falls was always how it was going to pan out.
    A feast or famine scenario IMO.
     
    #280 POW_hungry, Dec 29, 2016
    Last edited: Dec 29, 2016
  31. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Case in point... Shepparton picked up 2mm earlier today, whilst Tatura (20km down the road) picked up 14mm.
    Kilmore picked up 4mm, whilst Redesdale 50 km away picked up 25mm!
     
  32. Tanuki

    Tanuki A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Brutal here in St Kilda East earlier. Flooding in Elwood, Prahran and SY.
     
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  33. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    EC was suggesting a lot more late into the evening, which doesn't appear to be materializing. Still it was pretty good.
     
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  34. jungfrau

    jungfrau One of Us

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    Not sure of the science but may nocturnal cooling come to play??
     
  35. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    This is where a meso-scale (NAM-like) model would be helpful for Aus! AXS wasn't even close from memory.
    EC was only out maybe 1-3 hours in precip timeframes. Totals on avg seemed pretty good for a non regional resolution.
     
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  36. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    GFS was reasonably close within 48 hours of the event.
     
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  37. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    There's a cell over Sunbury heading towards the city.

     
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  38. MarkV

    MarkV One of Us

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    View of Baw Baw this evening from my verandah.



     
  39. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  40. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Myriad of reasons but yeah looks diurnal cooling 'aint exactly helping. Moist NW (ex-tropical) feed is drying up and progressing east thanks to the inbound system West of Tas. Mt Gambier & Adelaide SkewT is indicative of this drier atmosphere.
     
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  41. jungfrau

    jungfrau One of Us

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    I was thinking/hoping about the exact opposite where the warm moist air down low and cooling above would enhance lift ..
    Thanks for the response, I love learning here :)
     
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  42. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    In general it would, that's your lifting mechanism. But if you have imbalances such as dry layer inversions (at elevation) in the atmosphere; that humid parcel of air is invariably going dry out as it rises. Warm, moist air rising quickly into moist cool atmosphere is often a better incubator for severe weather.

    I am no pro either, mate. But I do enjoy learning by reading/watching Skew-T charts. They tend to help me understand the atmosphere's depth in terms of moisture and temp and where they interact.
     
    #292 POW_hungry, Dec 29, 2016
    Last edited: Dec 29, 2016
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  43. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Pouring rain in Canterbury.
     
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  44. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Landslide up at Hotham - all unnecessary travel stopped
     
  45. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Was AXS-R poor in this case? Or where you meaning AXS-G? If you don't like AXS, there is always ADFD.
     
  46. SurlyJoe5000

    SurlyJoe5000 Early Days

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    Hi all. I thought I'd make my first contribution a report from Thredbo. It's basically tropical here today. Warm, torrential rain, steamy. It's all very much not like Thredbo
     
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  47. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Cupple images Of Brush Island this morning.
    Looks like some type of inversion causing the mirror image .
    I'm thinking its due to high moisture / humidity in the air ?
    Any theories or explanations folks ?

     
  48. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    and Bullseye....
     
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  49. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    With Lightning....
     
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  50. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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