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Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Dec 3, 2012.
Yes it didn't penetrate far north did it?
I don't think much made it over the divide
All rainfall after 9 am yesterday counts towards February's total.
Mate of mine says
He also said that while increased rainfall in the SE may correlate with a +ve SOI, this correlation is not strong for a neutral/-ve SOI, i.e. the relationship is non-linear.
The inference is the only time we'll get average or better rainfall is in La Nina years?
Which must mean that we have more La Nina years on average, compared to el nino years, otherwise we wouldnt have that average up that high in the first place, yeah?
Unless the La Nina years deliver much more than average so the average is weighted up due to spikes from La Nina?
It would be interesting to see where the median falls and how that relates to SOI.
24mm in the Northern Burbs of Melbourne
4000 litres back in the tanks...
Enough for one night of watering the grass...
incoming for Sydney.. blue mountains getting a tad damp..
yes skidown my garden and tank alot happier....was ffairly consistent too, good soakage. Its seems theres already a tinge of green to royal park, amazing
Yep it was a good soak for Melbourne!
Started off heavy and I thought it was all done and dusted about 6pm but it kept coming down til about Midnight and was a nice soak indeed
Lawn sprinklers are of for the next 5 days
Garden beds/fruit trees will continue to water
It did feel like a Winters night/morning though and that was GREAT. Even though I love Summer
looks like 17mm in 25 mins for katoomba.
Yup temp has dropped 20 degrees in last few hours from 33 to 13, 22 mm rain in past 1.5 hours and foggy with rolling thunder
V noice, feels almost a tad wintry
Could see the wall of storm from my plce looking east. About 50km to far east to do any good for us.
Looks like the weather station at Mt Boyce may have been taken out in the storm.
It hasn't updated in 3 hours.
Bingo, too often people seek out the average for rainfall, or any data, it can tell you astonishingly little and / or be completely misleading.
Plotting up the cumulative deviation from the average is a plot which says alot.
Heres and example for my neck of the woods:
We just had Australia's hottest month on record.
We just had Sydneys coolest weekend in 19 years SMH Coolest weekend
I'm seeing a shift away from extreme temps in the past few weeks, which would be good. It appears the hottest heat of summer (save for a few random days) might be behind us. Except for Perth that is, but they love the heat over there.
I hope so!!
More trough action (as CC pointed out last week) is helping.
Well it's going to be warm in the SE this week, but probably not blazing heat.
IMO this time of year we tend to drift in to more consistent warm periods, but without the extremes of January.
Neither GFS or EC showing much moisture for the next 7 to 10 days for Melbourne.
Not seeing this
I'm still waiting for the day PG posts something that isnt record heat or record dry. It's amusing how when we get a particularly cold or wet period he goes missing or doesnt post up the media releases, but a heat wave or drought he is no.1 on it.
Records generally mean nothing.
2 periods a) 4 days over 40 b) 7 days over 38
Both in different years. Both records
Which is hotter?
This year is ALWAYS hotter than the previous..........................
Stay on topic.
because it's true
It's a shame because he has access to some excellent articles for both 'sides' of weather, yet his bias does not allow him to post them, to the detriment of all of us who frequent the weather forum. It's the same bias he has extended to ignoring users who disagree with his opinions (like me) which do nothing IMO to add to the weather forum, which could be an excellent resource unlike those you find in other places on this board. 99% of the time the weather forum is without bias, which again is unlike most areas of this board, and I see that as a great thing.
Sorry for going off topic CC
Ok all, you've made your point, move on.
Chance of some storms in the east tomorrow afternoon.
And again Thursday & Friday.
Seems like lots of activity over NSW late this week and weekend.
BoM climate team have been busy.
First up is a climate statement on the recent record floods in Queensland and New South Wales.
Next is a new Drought statement. Expanding serious rainfall deficiencies accompanied by exacerbating record warmth.
Storm just firing up south east of Jindy now. Pretty good viewing from my balcony .
Early-mid next week should see the monsoon re-establish itself it our region, pushing the highs down South and allowing a few troughs to penetrate deeper in to the south of the country. This could mean mid-high 20's and high humidity with afternoon showers for a few days in Victoria. Rain and cloud will also be present in central Australia, limiting the heat that has been generated in that area for the past 2-3 months. Moist onshore winds on the east coast will feed moisture into the trough too. In all, it looks like we might be going to a more spring storm period, similar to what the last 2 summers have been here.
I see for the first time in many a week some substantial rain on the charts!
Bit too far west for me in Bathurst but nice positioning for you Vic's. Other models not so keen but I tend to like GFS and it would be nice if it came off.
In GFS it's holding a strong easterly quadrant flow for quite a while and that will build moisture levels for either rain or storms with luck.
Yes this popped up on the 00z GFS run yesterday.
EC not going with it quite yet.
bugger - 38 in Perth tomorrow and 42 on Sunday
Perth really cooks this time of year.
God Almighty! I hate this weather!!!
38/42 Evil. Nothing short of evil.
Scheming about how I can avoid the sun over the next few days.
UV sets off a flare in my lupus symptoms, so the less UV the happier the Mamabear.
Must go out for a couple of hours this afternoon, and about 3 hours Saturday in the middle of the heat, both times poolside. Under shade yes, but lots of reflected UV. Canned my outdoor personal training this morning and planning on staying indoors and getting my 'she actually has to work for living' work done for the rest of the weekend. Inside, blinds closed, aircon on. Cold sparkling water and SPF 40+ 8hr water proof for the times I have to go out.
Come ON winter!
I miss you.
LMB, perhaps this solution would work for you. I hear it is very popular elsewhere
It probably would...
It's trying, but at this stage I can't see it make much of an impression in Victoria next week.
Massive electrical storm, torrential rain and high winds here ATM.
big storms heading North East in a line from Jenolan to Port Stephens
I escaped just in time! Arrived last night in 2-3 C and drizzle / sleet in Egham, London ... view outside my hotel room right now ...
Might go for a wander into town before the main rain / snow hits
I was working in Wellington and took a job in Perth arriving late January
Most horrendous climate adjustment ever
God I hated those first few weeks
I bought a car as soon as I could and used to drive around all night with the air-con on high because my apartment didnt have it