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Sizzling Summer Soliloquies

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Dec 3, 2012.

  1. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Yes it didn't penetrate far north did it?
     
  2. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I don't think much made it over the divide [​IMG]
     
    #402 teckel, Feb 1, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  3. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    January rainfall
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    All rainfall after 9 am yesterday counts towards February's total.
     
    #403 Rush, Feb 1, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  4. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Mate of mine says
    He also said that while increased rainfall in the SE may correlate with a +ve SOI, this correlation is not strong for a neutral/-ve SOI, i.e. the relationship is non-linear.
     
    #404 Rush, Feb 1, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    The inference is the only time we'll get average or better rainfall is in La Nina years?
     
  6. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Which must mean that we have more La Nina years on average, compared to el nino years, otherwise we wouldnt have that average up that high in the first place, yeah?
     
    #406 Vermillion, Feb 1, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  7. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Unless the La Nina years deliver much more than average so the average is weighted up due to spikes from La Nina?
    It would be interesting to see where the median falls and how that relates to SOI.
     
  8. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    24mm in the Northern Burbs of Melbourne

    4000 litres back in the tanks...

    Enough for one night of watering the grass... [​IMG]
     
    #408 skiflat, Feb 1, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  9. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    incoming for Sydney.. blue mountains getting a tad damp..
     
  10. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    yes skidown my garden and tank alot happier....was ffairly consistent too, good soakage. Its seems theres already a tinge of green to royal park, amazing
     
  11. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    Yep it was a good soak for Melbourne!

    Started off heavy and I thought it was all done and dusted about 6pm but it kept coming down til about Midnight and was a nice soak indeed

    Lawn sprinklers are of for the next 5 days [​IMG]
    Garden beds/fruit trees will continue to water

    It did feel like a Winters night/morning though and that was GREAT. Even though I love Summer
     
    #411 skiflat, Feb 1, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  12. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    looks like 17mm in 25 mins for katoomba.
     
  13. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yup temp has dropped 20 degrees in last few hours from 33 to 13, 22 mm rain in past 1.5 hours and foggy with rolling thunder
    V noice, feels almost a tad wintry
     
    #413 Untele-whippet, Feb 1, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  14. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Could see the wall of storm from my plce looking east. About 50km to far east to do any good for us.
     
    #414 Snow Blowey, Feb 1, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  15. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looks like the weather station at Mt Boyce may have been taken out in the storm.
    It hasn't updated in 3 hours.
     
    #415 Untele-whippet, Feb 1, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  16. William

    William A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Bingo, too often people seek out the average for rainfall, or any data, it can tell you astonishingly little and / or be completely misleading.
     
    #416 William, Feb 1, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  17. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Plotting up the cumulative deviation from the average is a plot which says alot.

    Heres and example for my neck of the woods:

    [​IMG]
     
    #417 Snow Blowey, Feb 1, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
    Telemark Phat likes this.
  18. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    #418 Rush, Feb 3, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  19. Nidecker

    Nidecker One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    #419 Nidecker, Feb 4, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  20. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm seeing a shift away from extreme temps in the past few weeks, which would be good. It appears the hottest heat of summer (save for a few random days) might be behind us. Except for Perth that is, but they love the heat over there.
     
  21. snow777

    snow777 First Runs

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    I hope so!! [​IMG]
     
    #421 snow777, Feb 4, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  22. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    More trough action (as CC pointed out last week) is helping.
     
  23. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Well it's going to be warm in the SE this week, but probably not blazing heat.
    IMO this time of year we tend to drift in to more consistent warm periods, but without the extremes of January.

    Neither GFS or EC showing much moisture for the next 7 to 10 days for Melbourne.
     
  24. MisterMxyzptlk

    MisterMxyzptlk Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not seeing this
     
    #424 MisterMxyzptlk, Feb 4, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  25. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm still waiting for the day PG posts something that isnt record heat or record dry. It's amusing how when we get a particularly cold or wet period he goes missing or doesnt post up the media releases, but a heat wave or drought he is no.1 on it.
     
  26. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Records generally mean nothing.
    For instance:

    2 periods a) 4 days over 40 b) 7 days over 38
    Both in different years. Both records
    Which is hotter?
     
  27. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    This year is ALWAYS hotter than the previous.......................... [​IMG] [​IMG]
     
    #427 skiflat, Feb 4, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  28. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Stay on topic.
     
  29. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Correct, skidown [​IMG]
     
    #429 teckel, Feb 4, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  30. MisterMxyzptlk

    MisterMxyzptlk Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    [​IMG] because it's true
     
    #430 MisterMxyzptlk, Feb 4, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  31. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's a shame because he has access to some excellent articles for both 'sides' of weather, yet his bias does not allow him to post them, to the detriment of all of us who frequent the weather forum. It's the same bias he has extended to ignoring users who disagree with his opinions (like me) which do nothing IMO to add to the weather forum, which could be an excellent resource unlike those you find in other places on this board. 99% of the time the weather forum is without bias, which again is unlike most areas of this board, and I see that as a great thing.

    Sorry for going off topic CC [​IMG]
     
    #431 Vermillion, Feb 4, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  32. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Ok all, you've made your point, move on.
     
  33. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Chance of some storms in the east tomorrow afternoon.

    [​IMG]

    And again Thursday & Friday.

    [​IMG]


    Seems like lots of activity over NSW late this week and weekend.
     
    #433 Claude Cat, Feb 4, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  34. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    BoM climate team have been busy.

    First up is a climate statement on the recent record floods in Queensland and New South Wales.

    Next is a new Drought statement. Expanding serious rainfall deficiencies accompanied by exacerbating record warmth.
     
    #434 Rush, Feb 5, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  35. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    Storm just firing up south east of Jindy now. Pretty good viewing from my balcony .
     
  36. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    [​IMG]
     
    #436 Vermillion, Feb 6, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  37. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Early-mid next week should see the monsoon re-establish itself it our region, pushing the highs down South and allowing a few troughs to penetrate deeper in to the south of the country. This could mean mid-high 20's and high humidity with afternoon showers for a few days in Victoria. Rain and cloud will also be present in central Australia, limiting the heat that has been generated in that area for the past 2-3 months. Moist onshore winds on the east coast will feed moisture into the trough too. In all, it looks like we might be going to a more spring storm period, similar to what the last 2 summers have been here.
     
  38. snow777

    snow777 First Runs

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    I see for the first time in many a week some substantial rain on the charts! [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
    #438 snow777, Feb 8, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  39. DaveM

    DaveM Addicted

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    Bit too far west for me in Bathurst but nice positioning for you Vic's. Other models not so keen but I tend to like GFS and it would be nice if it came off.

    In GFS it's holding a strong easterly quadrant flow for quite a while and that will build moisture levels for either rain or storms with luck.
     
  40. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Yes this popped up on the 00z GFS run yesterday.
    EC not going with it quite yet.

    [​IMG]
     
    #440 Claude Cat, Feb 8, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  41. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    bugger - 38 in Perth tomorrow and 42 on Sunday [​IMG]
     
    #441 gareth_oau, Feb 8, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  42. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Perth really cooks this time of year.
     
  43. LMB

    LMB Old but definitely not Crusty! Ski Pass: Gold

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    God Almighty! I hate this weather!!!
    38/42 Evil. Nothing short of evil.

    Scheming about how I can avoid the sun over the next few days.
    UV sets off a flare in my lupus symptoms, so the less UV the happier the Mamabear.

    Must go out for a couple of hours this afternoon, and about 3 hours Saturday in the middle of the heat, both times poolside. Under shade yes, but lots of reflected UV. Canned my outdoor personal training this morning and planning on staying indoors and getting my 'she actually has to work for living' work done for the rest of the weekend. Inside, blinds closed, aircon on. Cold sparkling water and SPF 40+ 8hr water proof for the times I have to go out.

    Come ON winter!
    I miss you.
     
  44. currawong

    currawong Old but not so Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    LMB, perhaps this solution would work for you. I hear it is very popular elsewhere
    [​IMG]
     
    #444 currawong, Feb 8, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  45. LMB

    LMB Old but definitely not Crusty! Ski Pass: Gold

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    It probably would...

    But no.
    Just. No.

    [​IMG]
     
    #445 LMB, Feb 9, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  46. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    It's trying, but at this stage I can't see it make much of an impression in Victoria next week.
     
    #446 Claude Cat, Feb 9, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  47. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    Massive electrical storm, torrential rain and high winds here ATM.
     
  48. MisterMxyzptlk

    MisterMxyzptlk Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    big storms heading North East in a line from Jenolan to Port Stephens
     
  49. trappers

    trappers Safety not guaranteed Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    I escaped just in time! Arrived last night in 2-3 C and drizzle / sleet in Egham, London ... view outside my hotel room right now ...

    [​IMG]


    Might go for a wander into town before the main rain / snow hits [​IMG]
     
    #449 trappers, Feb 10, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  50. MisterMxyzptlk

    MisterMxyzptlk Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I was working in Wellington and took a job in Perth arriving late January
    Most horrendous climate adjustment ever
    God I hated those first few weeks
    I bought a car as soon as I could and used to drive around all night with the air-con on high because my apartment didnt have it