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Resource Snow prediction accuracy thread

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Jellybeans, Aug 4, 2017.

  1. snowgum

    snowgum One of Us

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    Being self interested - at what point (hrs) out does a 'hope' / potential activity become a thing?
    ...Is it 72 - 96 hrs a rough estimate? (Hoping schl hols' trip benefits!)

    Or only when the various models settle? So each system suite different?

    ...oh be great to know as to by how many degrees of latitude we missed the last few systems (ie. In terms of the northerly maximum of the 850mb freeze or 5400m point)? Feels like they've been south of Tassie (43-44+ deg)?
     
  2. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    For general information for systems, when the models settle together or about 4-7 days

    The more precise details probably 24-72 hours
     
    Claude Cat likes this.
  3. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Depends on the model. EC perhaps 192h.
    GFS 174 hours if you’re game, 144 otherwise!
     
  4. snowgum

    snowgum One of Us

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    Cheers CC
    And Access G?
     
  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    I'm not a big fan. Access R can be quite accurate, but of course that's very short range.
     
  6. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm not even sure there is a place for AXS-G
     
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  7. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    They are both derivatives of UKMO, but I reckon the real UKMO is better than them both. It's hard to find it though.

    I'm not a big fan for AXS-R for precip (exaggerates it). It's good for temps though.
     
    Claude Cat likes this.
  8. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    The UKMO maps I've seen generally don't go beyond 100H.
     
  9. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's supposed to go to T+192 or +240 from memory. I will find the link later.

    Edit: I think public access is up to +180 or something.
     
    Claude Cat likes this.
  10. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    New season, more predictions tables.
     
    Mitchell Pearce likes this.