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Mega Thread Spencers Creek 2014

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Majikthise, Jun 25, 2014.

  1. DbSki

    DbSki Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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  2. cold wombat

    cold wombat Twitter Contributer Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    You banned.
     
    BerKo likes this.
  3. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    well do we have any brave folk to put a figure on this week? Will SC get to 2m?
     
  4. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Doubt it - 180 would be a reasonable guesstimate IMO
     
    Majikthise likes this.
  5. Time

    Time Hard Yards

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  6. BH

    BH One of Us

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    Should be close to the 2M mark...but it all really depends on when Snowy Hydro took the readings last week. If I recall correctly we got some heavy snowfalls on Wed afternoon last week.
     
  7. cold wombat

    cold wombat Twitter Contributer Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  8. Miffy

    Miffy Addicted

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    Even though perisher and CP claimed 30cm, wind really took its toll on certain aspects Thursday and Friday so I wouldn't be willing to bet on much of an increase, my guess 162
     
    cold wombat likes this.
  9. agentBM

    agentBM Part of the Furniture

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    As the measure approaches 1.75m, we must realise the weather patterns are changing....a big high is coming. August will be relatively scant for snow, so our peak depth is going to approach 2m or slightly over. Done.
     
    zar likes this.
  10. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

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    What makes you say Aug will be scant?
     
  11. cold wombat

    cold wombat Twitter Contributer Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    He's trying to get banned.
     
  12. Telemark Phat

    Telemark Phat Pass the butter Ski Pass: Gold

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    Its happened before
    [​IMG]

    Dashes away before CW gets me!
     
  13. cold wombat

    cold wombat Twitter Contributer Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    You ski tele. Your negative outlook on life is to be expected.
     
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  14. spellcheck

    spellcheck Hard Yards

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    Snowy Hydro Snow Depth as at 24th July 2014.
    Spencers Creek 168.5 cm
    Deep Creek (Not yet updated)
    Three Mile Dam 43.2 cm
     
  15. Telemark Phat

    Telemark Phat Pass the butter Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'll still be skiing it several times a week regardless :p
     
    cold wombat likes this.
  16. ryan_

    ryan_ One of Us

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    Looks healthy enough for now.. dumpage on 1st August is going to take it to 200+ (please)
     
  17. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    gold star for miffy
     
    Miffy likes this.
  18. cold wombat

    cold wombat Twitter Contributer Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ahem.
     
  19. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ok even split..you were both out by 6.5. @Miffy can send the gold star to @cold wombat on Sunday night.
     
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  20. cold wombat

    cold wombat Twitter Contributer Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  21. agentBM

    agentBM Part of the Furniture

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    No ban....just seasonal indicators and chances that Aug can turn drier...hope not though, I'm scheduled to go in 12 days.
     
  22. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    How much damage we expecting today? 130?
     
  23. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    130 sounds about right. Might not be measured today with these conditions - OH&S and all that ...
     
  24. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Spencers will be solid, its just the north west faces will be scavenged in the last few day. Dam.
     
  25. Miffy

    Miffy Addicted

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    I take a stab at it and say 148
     
  26. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    I recon no ones heading out there today. OH&S. So I am calling it 205 CM.
     
    rocketboy likes this.
  27. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    They could have gone out yesterday?
     
  28. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Yesterday was crap too.

    They will wait till next monday thursday
     
  29. Gerg

    Gerg One of Us

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    Measured this morning -- tick Miffy at 148 cm. Next week will be touch-and-go for a new peak.
     
    Majikthise likes this.
  30. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Miffy scores again..inside knowledge?
     
  31. Miffy

    Miffy Addicted

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    Inside knowledge I wish, no, just 15 years of watching Spencer's snow depth vs passing fronts and weather systems
     
    rocketboy and Majikthise like this.
  32. ryan_

    ryan_ One of Us

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    Massive wastage at 3 mile dam as expected.. back to 14cm. very similar to 2002
     
  33. Miffy

    Miffy Addicted

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    Wow, I didn't expect a drop! SC down to 145.9, but Three Mile Dam up to 20.3. We are in need of a decent top up
     
  34. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    @Gerg 's calculated call is looking better every day. A strong july rarely leads to a late august / early sept peak.
     
  35. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    2011 revisited.
     
  36. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Would say that spencers was exposed to the southerly wind on Saturday and blew it all way.

    Still heaps of snow in the right places. Heaps
     
  37. Rush

    Rush Pool Room

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    But substantially more at Deep Creek.
     
  38. zar

    zar One of Us

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    Which means more snow at lower altitude than in previous years
     
  39. jrr

    jrr Hard Yards

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    Well.... I was up at Charlotte Pass on Friday 1st thru to Monday 4th & I caught up with my mate who'd been there since Saturday 26th Jul. The bad days were Wednesday when it rained a lot and Thursday when the wind was truly awful. Very warm & gale force. He thought they'd lost around 50cms... It was still 14c at Cooma on the Thursday evening at 9:00PM !

    Rather than the measured drop (of around 20cm) I think it more likely that it was measured on Thursday morning before the evil wind really hammered it that Thursday afternoon.

    By the time we got up to CPV on the Friday it had been snowing since around midnight Thurs/Fri and it continued snowing quite heavily all Friday 'til 5:00PM and then it snowed lightly all night 'til around 5:00 AM when it essentially cleared. Sat/Sun/Mon blue skies & sub zero the whole time.

    We probably got around 30cm for a net 20cm loss on the event.

    Anyway - that was my observation.
     
    maverik likes this.
  40. maverik

    maverik Hard Yards

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    I have not been this year so far; however from many years of going down and observing Persisher and Thredbo at many depths, this year from snowmageddan till now it looks like a 2mtr type base for the most part.

    Basically, more than enough base for most of the season thus far.
     
  41. ryan_

    ryan_ One of Us

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    14th August SC up a bit to 160.0
     
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  42. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Well that is a pleasant surprise.
     
  43. Gerg

    Gerg One of Us

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    A bit of measurement noise methinks (or maybe drift in last Thursday's gale). The resorts are claiming just 4-10 cm snowfall for the week, but the depth goes up by 14 cm. Anyway it indicates negligible melt & consolidation, so presumably the snowpack is finally quite dense after starting very loose due to the initial dump.
     
    cin likes this.
  44. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    Still tracking very close to 2002. Which is no surprise IMO. Check out 2013 vs 2001 - the parallels are uncanny.
     
  45. robbo mcs

    robbo mcs One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    The snowpack is now very densely consolidated, so a few days of sun won't do much the depth. There was around 5cm on sunday, followed up by a lot of windblown from the main range. I was expecting a small gain, but the amount probably represents a degree of inherent measurement error. Also, last weeks measurement did seem surprisingly low, so I suspect there is a bit of measurement noise happening.
     
    #195 robbo mcs, Aug 14, 2014
    Last edited: Aug 14, 2014
  46. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    And it's down a tad...
    Anyone planning into September may wish to consider the record or the 2011 to inform their choices.
    @Gerg 's Max depth call is looking stronger with every passing week.
     
  47. kylep

    kylep Cage rattler Ski Pass: Gold

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    slightly OT. Saw a couple of vehicles parked near Perisher main carpark today with Snowy Hydro marking and trailer with a skidoo - is this likely to have been the crew who head up to do the measurements?
     
  48. kiter

    kiter One of Us

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    That,ll be them
     
  49. robbo mcs

    robbo mcs One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    So spencers is out a day early this week at 154cm.

    The readings have been somewhat perplexing recently. Last week, based on my observations in the resort I was expecting a rise, but it dropped from 160 to 158. this week I was expecting a significant drop, but it is only marginally down, 158 to 154cm. there has been a much bigger loss of snow than this suggests at Perisher in the last week with warm days and rain.

    Just goes to show a couple of things. Spencers does not necessarily reflect what is happening in the resorts. Also I suspect there is significant measurement variability in the spencers readings. However, it is the best measurement we have for NSW
     
  50. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo Ski Pass: Gold

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    Rain and no freeze, will affect a resort significantly compared with remote terrain. imo. All those skiers pushing the thawed snow down the mountain.