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Mega Thread Spring Weather Banter

Discussion in 'Daily & Chat' started by Claude Cat, Oct 8, 2017.

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  1. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    With lifts closing it's time for the spring weather banter thread!

    To open it up, incoming T/S for Melbourne.

     
  2. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    Heard a bit of thunder. Absolutely pouring here in Box Hill.
     
  3. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not a great deal in the city right now, but the roads have a nice wet gleam to them.

    Balmy too, 20c still
     
  4. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some lightning now appearing out over the bay...
     
  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Poured rain for about 30s and that was it here in Canterbury.
     
  6. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  7. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Bucketing down in the city again as I type this
     
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  8. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    It rained in the Eastern 'burbs of Sydney today. It wasn't even enough to register in the Sydney metro stations, but stone the bloody crows; I saw it spit water from the sky for about half an hour this arvo...
     
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  9. nfip

    nfip Cold 'n Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    We had about 3 drops further Sth.
    Bathurst copped the balance for all of us I observed.
     
  10. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    If it's not on your instagram it didn't count ... ;)..
    Just enough to moist the parched.
     
  11. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    I live in Bondi mate... I am not one to commit social media suicide.
     
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  12. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Kale loose on Roscoe St.... Oh quick it's a sunset. Selfie..
    Bondi.
     
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  13. Rabid K9

    Rabid K9 A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    I preferred the winter edition. Acknowledging spring is a sign of the inevitable....
     
  14. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    It actually rained in Wollongong.
    Unbelievable.
    Of course it's stopped now.
     
  15. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

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    I went up to Mt Wellington in Hobart yesterday and froze in light rain, temp was 8 degree. It was 14 in town at the same time. Just a few drops around this morning. Hope it's not too wet at Port Arthur today.
     
  16. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    <1mm if rain and a bit of wind...Leura wakes up to blossom drifts.
     
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  17. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    20mm odd at Dubbo. Think that is the most since March. Won't go far but looks like a bit more coming later in the week.
     
  18. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    just looked at the AWS , Mount Boyce has only recorded 35mm since 11/6. median would have it around 150mm .
     
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  19. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looks like a showery week ahead for the coast. Finally the wind might on go onshore
     
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  20. davidg

    davidg Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Only about 12mm since the same date down here. Farking dry. Sundays "rain" wasnt enough to register.

    Thunderstorms this afternoon apparently, I'm not seeing it for down here but might get a few drops further up.
     
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  21. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    from BMCC springwood top, katoomba bottom....



     
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  22. nfip

    nfip Cold 'n Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Feels like summer on the Sth Coast today.
    HUmidity only in the hi 50's but couple of mm precip overnight it feels very muggy .
     
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  23. nfip

    nfip Cold 'n Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah was looking at it earlier , not to the detail of ^^.

    [​IMG]
     
  24. nfip

    nfip Cold 'n Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    (edit = I ;)) Should have posted it here @j_w_x_

    [​IMG]
     
    #24 nfip, Oct 9, 2017
    Last edited: Oct 9, 2017
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  25. J_-W_-X

    J_-W_-X Hard Yards

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    ok boss;)
     
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  26. davidg

    davidg Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    :( ridic
     
  27. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah same in gong.
    Was at beach earlier . Solid swell and slight onshore. Very summery.
    Not sure we'll get a flash bang this arvo.
     
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  28. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Captain's flat radar lighting up as it cross the GDR. I think there's a reasonable chance.
     
  29. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    You think it will make the coast though?
    "edit i just looked at the wind outside and its gone offshore. So a good chance
     
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  30. nfip

    nfip Cold 'n Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    North Coast going to cop it by the look here.
    [​IMG]
     
  31. nfip

    nfip Cold 'n Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hmmmm.
    It i s forecast "chance of ...." so...
    Eye's to the west.
     
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  32. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yep, winds aloft will see to that.
    There's plenty of vertical shear/Instability in to too.
    [​IMG]
     
  33. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah . I just had a decent look.
    Though I have the feeling it will be a fast thin and loud change.
     
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  34. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Arriving at school pickup time.
     
  35. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Patchy and moving quick. Wind picked up a notch. Figure something on the lightning trackers shortly.
     
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  36. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    haha yo sicko..
     
  37. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    what??
    We have a joke in this household about storms and 3pm. They always arrive right on bell time.
    In the old days I would walk around with an umbrella. Now I just make the daughter walk home and cop the rain. If they are too cool for a raincoat....

    anyways . You can see the southerly around Bega way. The edge of the westerly bashing into that southerly will be the spot.
     
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  38. nfip

    nfip Cold 'n Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    * I should have ........:)
     
  39. nfip

    nfip Cold 'n Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Isn't CAPE the indicator ?
    coupled with LI ?
     
  40. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    CAPE seems to be the one most used.. to forecast
     
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  41. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  42. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    I am with you. Let them hoof it in the rain.
     
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  43. J_-W_-X

    J_-W_-X Hard Yards

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    Just as it should be. (normalised) =running @climo


    [​IMG]
     
  44. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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  45. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yep, but take into consideration both variables. Vertical shear can amplify CAPE.
    CAPE is kinda there today, it's not fantastic for development but there looks to be enough with some good vert shear.
     
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  46. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    CAPE is the potential energy that is there, regardless of if storms are present or not. It's not a reliable indicator of whether storms will trigger or not (although a higher CAPE is generally easier to trigger) but it's a really good indication of the amount of energy available should storms eventuate. Long story short - Regardless of CAPE you need to do some work to get into positive buoyancy and get instability, but a high CAPE value gives you better fireworks should that happen.
     
  47. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some towers going up to the west of me.
    Line looks thin on radar. Though I feel with the change we may get some love. (if the timing is good)
     
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  48. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looking like a quick skim past da 'gong. Probably a bit of virga in the radar too though.
     
  49. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    burbs of Sydney MIGHT see a bit from the overshoot in an hour or two.
     
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  50. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator

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    Regarding CAPE also look at the soundings at how high the EL ( Equilibrium Level ) is. Shows the neutral bouyancy level- maximum upper cloud level.
     
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