Mega Thread Spring Weather Banter

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Donza

Dogs body...
Ski Pass
Platinum
Apr 21, 2004
125,590
80,148
3,563
woonona
Bulli radar is crap IMO for Wollongong.
It struggles to look down over the edge of the escarpment.
 

nfip

Cold 'n Rusty
Ski Pass
Jul 24, 2006
22,073
26,864
1,063
Yuin Country
fwiw Donz and Pow.
Mate down the road tells me he got 125mm in ( semi sheltered) backyard gauge last night.
Precip off the Ocean stop start all day working here in the beachside burb , but Milton was dry as....
 
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nfip

Cold 'n Rusty
Ski Pass
Jul 24, 2006
22,073
26,864
1,063
Yuin Country
rip from HSC fb. LOL
22728823_10214505888469833_7937195812616387520_n.jpg
 

Donza

Dogs body...
Ski Pass
Platinum
Apr 21, 2004
125,590
80,148
3,563
woonona
fwiw Donz and Pow.
Mate down the road tells me he got 125mm in ( semi sheltered) backyard gauge last night.
Precip off the Ocean stop start all day working here in the beachside burb , but Milton was dry as....
Rain Train !
My gauge says 16
 

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
23,032
36,863
1,063
Eastern Burbs of Sydney
fwiw Donz and Pow.
Mate down the road tells me he got 125mm in ( semi sheltered) backyard gauge last night.
Precip off the Ocean stop start all day working here in the beachside burb , but Milton was dry as....
Jeepers. Solid drop. I’d be interested to see the location. It was a common theme yesterday where big falls registered along, and in the lee of ranges and escarparments.
There was a clear line of convergence up and down the GDR for much of yesterdee arvo.
 
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nfip

Cold 'n Rusty
Ski Pass
Jul 24, 2006
22,073
26,864
1,063
Yuin Country
Jeepers. Solid drop. I’d be interested to see the location. It was a common theme yesterday where big falls registered along, and in the lee of ranges and escarparments.
There was a clear line of convergence up and down the GDR for much of yesterdee arvo.
pm'd
 
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Ubiquitous Steve

Part of the Furniture
Ski Pass
Feb 29, 2008
10,783
4,863
813
Morning tea just Sth of Benalla on the Hume...nice warm morning .still ,bit of cloud here and there ...no rain since early morning start from Melb
 

SMSkier

One of Us
Ski Pass
Oct 4, 2016
3,323
27,330
363
Tonight’s weather looking south towards Vic in the lower left. Nice and mild. Expecting a bit more activity over the next 48 hours....

BC534D72-4645-49CE-9265-183F84B9D1D6.jpeg


E1E06C3F-7CBE-4321-8A3E-3D1C55B8C26F.jpeg
 

jonathanc

One of Us
Ski Pass
Aug 4, 2014
2,282
3,714
363
Snow in the upper reaches of VIC resorts from ~7am tomorrow morning.
5-10cm possible. Accumulating >1400m, snow possible down to 1200m IMO.
Reasonable chance of some thunderstorms by the arvo.

*not a Buller or Baw Baw system
Based on yr.no it looks like the cold air won't hit NSW until a fair bit later in the day.
 
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POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
23,032
36,863
1,063
Eastern Burbs of Sydney
BOM is forecasting down to 1100m, which certainly includes Buller and Baw Baw, and even LM.
Coldest air is pretty dry in this one. Some wet stuff is certainly possible down to that elevation (~1200m), but it’ll be not much more than showery wintery mix and will have bugger all chance of accumulating IMO.
Based on yr.no it looks like the cold air won't hit NSW until a fair bit later in the day.

EC suggests the main front in the AM breaks up quite a bit as passes Eastern Vic, hence the lag. The follow-up trough, coupled with the coldest air around mid-arvo will be NSW resort's best chance IMO.
 
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POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
23,032
36,863
1,063
Eastern Burbs of Sydney
Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS
For people in parts of East Gippsland, North East and West and South Gippsland Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:41 am Sunday, 29 October 2017.

Weather Situation: A strong cold front will move across western and central Victoria on Sunday afternoon and evening, reaching eastern districts on Sunday night and clearing early Monday morning.

DAMAGING NORTHERLY WINDS, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are expected to develop over Alpine areas (above 1200 metres elevation) of the Northeast, East Gippsland, and West and South Gippalsnd districts on Sunday night.

Winds are expected to ease following the passage of the cold front early on Monday morning.

Locations which may be affected include Falls Creek, Mt Hotham, Mt Buller and Mt Baw Baw,.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move vehicles under cover or away from trees;
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony;
* Keep clear of fallen power lines;


The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEDT Sunday.

Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 217. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
 
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POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
23,032
36,863
1,063
Eastern Burbs of Sydney
BoM upping the moisture for NSW/VIC Alpine districts. Backed by OCF in the Southern districts.

Thredbo:
Monday 30 October

Summary
snow.png

Min 5
Max 6
Snow showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 95%
rain_95.gif

Alpine area
Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of showers or snow. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Possible hail in the late afternoon and evening. Winds northwesterly 55 to 75 km/h decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then turning southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

ocf.stormcast.bsch.init-2017102900z.fcst-201710291000z.precip24ocf.vic.null.0.png
 

doogasnow

One of Us
Mar 7, 2010
1,394
1,037
363
Moe south
A warm windy 27c max up here today.

Firewood has arrived up at the house
For the little blast coming across tonight/ tommoz.
Looks pretty good on the sat pic imo
 
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Jellybeans

Part of the Furniture
Ski Pass
Aug 24, 2015
13,053
21,533
813
Canberra
Still absolutely beautiful in Melbourne...... and warm too at 28 degrees. As mentioned, wind has been blowing all day and my hayfever has been going off the charts :eek:.... stuck inside. Looking forward to a bit of precipitation and winter cool overnight.
 
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SMSkier

One of Us
Ski Pass
Oct 4, 2016
3,323
27,330
363
Mild in NSW. Calm before the storm I expect. No wind coming up from Vic as yet. If you were not following the weather or associated forums it would be easy to get caught out in next few days. Only sign I can see of a change is a big “pillow” of cloud to the south that has been building up till dark.

62506B4C-C77D-4EBB-8580-EA1DD8477875.jpeg
 
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POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
23,032
36,863
1,063
Eastern Burbs of Sydney
Mount Baw Baw has just ventured into the negatives with precip accumulating. Buller on +0.1C with the radar showing falls in the area.

Snow on Buller’s Summit cam.
 
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