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Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Nidecker, Sep 25, 2015.
i was blown away how dry the soil was up on my central vic farm on the weekend
Predicted 31 in Melbourne on Tuesday (3 days in the 30s).
Looking at the 850's...I reckon you will nudge 35
Yeh, looking like it could get warmer.
That heatbank to the NW... get a decent northerly and you are on.
Depends if it beats that bay wind I guess.
Coastal NSW looks rather warm too.
Big melt across the alps as well.
Did anyone notice the east coast on that chart?
Perisher forecast from the BoM
hmm guess i wont be burning off this weekend
52km/h gusts at Perisher AWS confirm Normo's observation that it's blardy windy.
Having four or five days of 30 degree days with low humidity as well is not good for the eastern states ATM If you live in a bushfire prone area get your plan together.
A lot of people always get caught out by the first major fires in the season.
what was it? 2013 when that fire ripped through the BMs early october... snow in 2012....fire 2013
Yeah this week is going to be interesting
Yes was 2013 although towards the end of the month this is scary early heat
allthough people forget the HR that escaped in the september in warm weather like next week.. HR's planned in a couple of places this weekend !
So this lives in NSW now
44 tonnes of water
Apart from the heat forecast, the charts look pretty boring for the next 10 days IMO - under a solid blocking H pattern
Skynews have a video up of the aircraft
yrno going for another dusting next thursday - at least back in to the freeze thaw corn cycle for remaining drifts.
Its hectic hey
44 tonnes of water.
I figure they will dump more retardant ...
Yeh, both EC and GFS have the possibility of something very weak Thursday / Friday. I'm not convinced though.
Latest GFS and EC runs now suggest that change is due Saturday.
It's changing from run to run, so I don't have a lot of faith in these predictions.
Its 8am Hobart and Darwin both 24.5 degs early Oct
... snow 2014 ...
Top bloke Anthony.
3rd driest September on record.
35 and 35 next 2 days Melbourne.
Ridiculous for beginning of October.
37.5 at Mildura today (a record) which will fall again tomorrow.
GFS and AXS both hinting at some light troughy weather for Vic and southern NSW from about Thursday onwards.
BOM Victoria @BOM_Vic 1m1 minute ago
It's official! #Melbourne scores hottest maximum on record so early in Spring! 32.8 so far. Hotter out west: #Avalon 36.6! #Laverton 35.5!
Nah 40.2 in 2004 is the October record.
GFS thinks it will be rather stormy on Saturday, and also perhaps Sunday
Hobart's hottest 5 day period for any October looks likely ( ending tomorrow ). Mean maximum of near 27C over the 5 day period. We had the second highest temperature recorded so early in the spring on the 2nd ( 29.1 ).
37.3 here in Western Sydney
I'm referring to an early season record.
BOM Victoria @BOM_Vic now8 seconds ago
Already 31 in town, as high as 33 at Avalon. Change near Cape Otway due in #Melbourne near 3pm with a rapid 10-15 degree temperature drop.
33.4 here in the gong
quite still as well.
Feels like Canberra weather
Pool was nice as.
Severe Weather Warning for damaging winds for people in the Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 11:40 am EST on Tuesday 6 October 2015.
North to northwesterly winds will strengthen ahead of a squally southwesterly cool change moving across Victoria. The change is currently near Naracoorte-Cape Otway and should extend into central parts of the State and Gippsland during the afternoon then far eastern Victoria in the evening.
Winds around 50-60 km/h with damaging peak gusts of 90-100 km/h are forecast for parts of the Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts and elevated parts of the North East forecast district. Over Alpine parts of the State wind speeds of 60-80km/h are possible with peak gusts of 115km/h.
Mount Buller recorded a gust of 120 km/h earlier this morning, while Mount Hotham has had a 100 km/h gust. Point Wilson has recently recorded a 89 km/h gust.
The whitewater kayakers are reporting high levels on the Snowy River with extreme melt on the main range over the weekend - Guthega dam was spilling!
looks like we currently have some of the hottest land temps on the planet ATM
BOM Victoria @BOM_Vic 35m35 minutes ago
Cool change is through #Geelong and has entered Port Phillip. Follow it on the doppler radar http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR02I.loop.shtml#skip…
BOM Victoria @BOM_Vic 2m2 minutes ago
At 35.8 degrees the #Melbourne maximum temperature is the highest so early in #Spring and 3rd highest ever in October. #melbweather