Mega Thread Spring Weather discussion thread

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Nidecker, Sep 25, 2015.

  1. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    DING
     
  2. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Classic tropical trough.
     
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  3. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Where was pumping down your way nfip??
     
  4. cookieman

    cookieman One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    8 day models have been showing some promise for metro Melbourne over the past 4 weeks but all have drifted further east and we got bugger all.
    I hope this one comes through with the goods but I'm not hopeful.
     
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  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Still favouring NSW central

    [​IMG]
     
  6. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    25mm of rain in the last week in Western Sydney and the soil still looks like this. Aug-oct about 50% of average
     
  7. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looks like a day 4 WACA pitch^

    *except the patches of grass
     
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  8. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I was working so could only see it from work & on drive past the car-park reef.:cry:
    Looked nice and cruisey and got better / bigger during the day / incoming 3+ (4 ish?? maybe not)
    Spotted those that know checking it early but they didn't surf there, so better elsewhere out on the open beaches I would say.
    One of those days that anywhere with decent banks would have been a lot of fun.
    Wave magnet reefs may also have come into play as the tide dropped out.
     
  9. Angus_McCrory

    Angus_McCrory Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Like that spot down your street that needs a little paddle and feels a little sharky when out there alone?
     
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  10. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Would love to hit your stretch of coast again for a road trip, so many good spots
     
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  11. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Feels a little sharky when out there with others too !!
    Prolly because it is .
     
  12. Angus_McCrory

    Angus_McCrory Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    True. Have sat on the bench seat on "this" side and watched sharks and dolphins fighting over a school of bait fish on the run out
     
  13. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Latest GFS runs amplify moisture, with more coming early to mid next week.

    [​IMG]


    EC going with this weekend, but not so much early next week.
     
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  14. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    Quite a tropical system, that's for sure. Hopefully it doesn't dry out before it gets here....
     
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  15. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  16. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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  17. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Apart from this weekend, both GFS and EC showing a significant fall in the SE next Wednesday.
     
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  18. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    yeah broad troughs and a nice feed should result in good rains for crops..
    good timing
     
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  19. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    You reckon Sat or Sun will see most of the action over central VIC? I want to get out for a fish, but getting zapped isnt my idea of a good time. At this stage Saturday is looking better for me tide and wind-wise, but if it's going to get stormy i'd rather save it. A few minor storms i'm OK with, but if it lights up that's not cool to be on the water.
     
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  20. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Good rises and hatches in stormy conditions.

    In my fly days some of my best fishes were in stormy hot conditions, so many fish rising you couldn't make up your mind where to place the fly.
     
  21. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    This may be true but I fish in the bay with carbon rods.
     
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  22. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ah I saw you say central Vic so i thought you meant up country way.
    Yeah don't fish middle of the bay with Carbon rods mid storm. Thats silly
     
  23. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Looks interesting from about midday Saturday
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    Sunday not nearly as likely
    [​IMG]


    Saturday also looks wet, from the get-go.
     
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  24. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Interestingly BOM suggesting snowfalls in TAS on Mt Wellington and other areas over Monday/Tuesday next week down to 1,000M Level
     
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  25. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    Warm, dry in the SE.
     
  26. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    How very el nino
     
  27. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Interesting to put them over the soil moisture anomalies, the SE enters the period very wet, I figure the autumn anomalies will be showing a vastly different story. Extreme to extreme in ever shortening cycles
     
  28. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Seemed pretty gradual to me the transition from la to el. Hit with a vengeance in se now
     
  29. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  30. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    I reckon Vic is a bit dry...
     
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  31. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    No kidding
     
  32. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Have had lawn irrigation on at the regulars since late September.
    Is crazy dry.
     
  33. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    meanwhile.
    In the illawarra.
    i will mow tommorrow....
    I mowed on monday
    you can feel everything growing.
    humidity pulsing out of the ground.
     
  34. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    Inland NSW is going to get a good drink.
    Storms all ready popped up.
    Bit earlier than I thought.
     
  35. davidg

    davidg Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Same here in the BM's. Left my buffalo lawn two weeks and was just about past my ankles!

    Looking like some proper rain mid next week. Hoping it stays a bit further north as I have a MTB race in the Southern Highlands on Sunday. Will be well shitty if it gets canned cause of the rain.
     
  36. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    I am now mulching on every second mow..cause I'm filling the green waste bin fast.
    you should get some decent flash bang tommorrow in the BMs.
    That in feed and LI looks great for the ranges.
    If the seabreeze gets up it will tear the structure out of the storms for the coast.
     
  37. davidg

    davidg Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah looking like late afternoon? No chance of a sea breeze this far west but sometime the OP and upper BM'S can conspire to spoil the party for us foothill dwellers. If the sheer is good we should see some decent action.
     
  38. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    3pm on.
    Shear looks fine ...
    you guys will be the focus IMO... OP and lithgow as well
     
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  39. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not very good timing out this way. Harvest is under way. Rain not good when you are trying to get the crop off.
    Such a fickle business. Don't get rain when you want it and vice versa. Hard for it to all come together. And then most seem at the mercy of the harvesting contractors.
     
  40. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    harvesting what?
     
  41. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Rare cyclone set to make landfall in Yemen - 8 years of rain in 2 days!
     
  42. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    The winter crops. Wheat and other cereals, canola.

    Harvest probably been underway for a few weeks up around the QLD border. Moves south at a rate of about 100km a week. So its xmas time harvest down in VIC.
     
  43. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looking at the forecasts for the Illawarra we are about to go from nice weather with a bit of rain to keep things green and the grass growing to days and days of rain. Going on past years, the "drought" often seems to "break" here first - anything from 1-6 months. That's just a general observation from living here on the south coast for 15 years and listening to people complain (locally) about it being really dry when it often seems to have already begun to change to a wetter period. East of the GDR is very different to the west and it often seems hard to believe there is a drought when surrounded by green fields in all directions - but only 200 kms west it's a dust bowl.
     
  44. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    very steady rain in Dubbo for the last hour.
     
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  45. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Some nice rumbles in Melbourne. Moisture mostly to the west though.
     
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  46. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Absolutely puking down here at the moment, just had a huge flash bang also.

    Don't think ill be out on the bike today
     
  47. cookieman

    cookieman One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Nice rain now in ivanhoe
     
  48. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Got a ride in, not to bad on the way out, poured down on the way back.
     
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  49. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Well done.
    Im no way near as dedicated as you, either are my riding buddies. None were tinkering a maybe, no's all round.
     
  50. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    There wasn't too many out, so you were hardly lepers.
     
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