Summer Max Temp Comp.

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Vermillion, Oct 13, 2006.

  1. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Seeing as though its going to be a bit of a hot one this summer, thought i might give this a go. if it doesnt catch on them ill pull it.

    It's simple, pick a city (can be your home town or another one) but it MUST have a functioning AWS working for you to select it. Then pick a temperature, to the nearest 0.1C that you think will be the max temperature that will be recorded in that city (at that AWS) from november 1st - February 28th. I spose it not much of a comp, but will be interesting if people reply to see just how hot they reckon it will be.

    My pick - Melbourne (Melbourne GPO AWS), 43.7C sometime in jan. [​IMG]

    :cheers:

    Edit: Now ive added all the predictions, its up to you to let me know when you're 'out' when your chosen station is equalled or exceeded (the date and the temp that was recorded aswell) and i will write it next to your predictions. At the end of say February i will try to find max temps for the summer for all the selected stations and find out who is closest for their selected station. Some people are already out of the running :p

    Vermillion – Melbourne AWS: 43.7C (January)
    Shrek – Richmond RAAF Base: 46.8C
    Climberman – Bellambi: 42.1C
    Placebo – Sydney Obs Hill: 40.9C
    Zar – Campania: 41.3C and Hobart 40.5C
    Sandy – Melbourne AWS: 44.7C
    Smokkingharry – Thredbo AWS: 24.6C
    P & S – Port Augusta: 51.2C
    Mochon – Melbourne AWS: 45.2C
    Main Street – Newcastle: 46.8C (New Years Eve)
    Matt D – Melbourne AWS: 44.5C (Between December 20th and 15th Feb)
    Mark102 – Adelaide: 45.1C
    Zyka: Melbourne or Adelaide to break 50C
    BenLomondIceman – Launceston: 33.4C
    Trail Blazer – Sydney Obs Hill: 38.7C
    Blue Neon – Melbourne AWS: 41.7C
    T-Cross – Avalon Airport: 44.2C
    Falls – Mawson Base: 8.0C
    Skimun – Melbourne Airport: 45.9C
    Mr Bungle – Scoresby AWS: 43.8C
    Berg Meister – Captains Flast: 38.3C
    Telemark Fred – Williamtown: 39.8C
    Lon – Canberra AWS: 38.4C
    Shiraz – Adelaide Airport: 44.2C
    Quro – Darwin Airport: 35.7C OUT (Nov 15, 36.5C)
    IAB – Mardie (WA): 51.1C
    William McDommy – Albion Park Airport: 39.7C
    Wodonga Josh – Albury: 41.5C
    Steeps – Lucas Heights: 44.7C
    Bogong – Hotham Heights: 29.7C
     
    #1 Vermillion, Oct 13, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  2. Shrek

    Shrek Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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  3. climberman

    climberman CloudRide1000 Legend Ski Pass: Gold

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  4. Placebo

    Placebo First Runs

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    Sydney observatory hill 40.9C
    (but in saying that i might be prooved wrong tomorrow)
     
  5. zar

    zar One of Us

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    Campania is a relatively new weather station in Tasmania's south-east. When the wind is from the north it regularly is the hottest spot in the state.

    Because of the drought and the way the weather patterns are shaping up I reckon Tasmania will break it's all time record high of 40.8 ( Hobart, 1976 ). Campania will take the honours with 41.3.

    Hobart will hit 40.5, then there will be snow on the mountain two days later.
     
  6. Sandy

    Sandy Dark Sith Lord of the Pool Room Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Melbourne 44.7C
     
  7. smokkinharry

    smokkinharry First Runs

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  8. Planks & Sticks

    Planks & Sticks One of Us

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    I just had to do it [​IMG]

    (Last year when I visited Port Augusta, the shade temperature was 51 degrees, too hot for me!)
     
    #8 Planks & Sticks, Oct 14, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  9. mochon

    mochon First Runs

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  10. main street

    main street Doing what I want. Ski Pass: Gold

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    Probably on xmas eve, similar to last year....( it got to 48 in the shade on my balcony on that day.... it was a shocker!)
     
  11. Matt.D

    Matt.D Hard Yards

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    Melbourne GPO aws 44.5 sometime between 20th of Dec and 15th of Feb, last new years eve was 42.9 in Melbourne and the 22nd of Jan also reached 42.4, I think this time being so dry and the temps being consistantly above average we have a very good chance of beating last year. So far this October we are averaging 23.8 , total madness thats what we get in December normally!!!!! Dec 05 & Jan 06 both averaged 27.7 which was significantly above the longterm average, Feb was cooler and March was a stinker averaging 26.1. They may well be beaten this summer.
     
  12. Mark102

    Mark102 A Local

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  13. Zyka

    Zyka First Runs

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    Melbourne at almost 37 in early October? -Something very wrong there -looks like what ever the hell is going wrong with the climate is accelerating.

    My prediction? either Melbourne or Adelaide will crack the unthinkable 50c barrier this summer

    ....and that will just be the beginning
     
  14. BenLomond Iceman

    BenLomond Iceman One of Us

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    I Will go for Launceston at 33.4 degrees. !!
     
  15. SAsurfa

    SAsurfa One of Us

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    Well at least it will be offshore and I will be in the nice cool water [​IMG]
     
    #15 SAsurfa, Oct 15, 2006
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  16. Shrek

    Shrek Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I really hope you're wrong.
     
    #16 Shrek, Oct 15, 2006
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  17. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    Sydney, Observatory Hill: only 38.7C.

    I don't think it'll be a particularly hot summer and when we do get a few extremely hot days, Obs Hill will be saved by a sea breeze (suburbs will reach the mid 40s).
     
  18. Stratus

    Stratus A Local

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    I think it will be hot - but not as much as its been made out to be.

    I think 41.7C max for Melbourne this year [​IMG] .
     
    #18 Stratus, Oct 15, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  19. tcross

    tcross One of Us

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    I'll say hot as-well, Avalon Airport max of around 44.2
     
  20. Falls expat

    Falls expat One of Us

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    I am going for 8.0 degC at Mawson base.

    This is the warmest it got last year.
    [​IMG]
     
    #20 Falls expat, Oct 16, 2006
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  21. SkiMun

    SkiMun Part of the Furniture

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  22. Luko

    Luko One of Us

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    Scoresby AWS 43.8
     
  23. agentBM

    agentBM Part of the Furniture

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    Used to live nearby, now in Sydney, but I choose Captains Flat east of Canberra at 38.3 - Sydney Observatory Hill as my closest local, at 39.4.
     
  24. telemark fred

    telemark fred One of Us

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  25. Lon

    Lon Part of the Furniture

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  26. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    fantastic photo showing how much melt occurs by some simple heat. ill bet if u panned either direction it would be all white.
     
    #26 Vermillion, Oct 17, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  27. Shiraz

    Shiraz Hard Yards

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    Adelaide Airport - 44.2 C
     
  28. quro

    quro First Runs

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    Darwin Ap (94120)
    Dec 1 2006 - Feb 28 2007
    Maximum Maximum

    quro
    35.7 degrees

    If a tie needs to be broken, i'll say that the date is 15th December.
     
  29. Falls expat

    Falls expat One of Us

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    Nice choice considering Darwin's very small max temp variation. [​IMG]
     
    #29 Falls expat, Oct 18, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  30. quro

    quro First Runs

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    oh really falls, i hadn't noticed that [​IMG]
    now that you point it out though [​IMG]

    hope things are well with you
     
    #30 quro, Oct 18, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  31. quro

    quro First Runs

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    bugger ... [​IMG] Darwin AP hit 36.5 on the 15th November. A whopping 3.3degC above average.
     
    #31 quro, Nov 21, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  32. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    hehe you're out then, below will be a list of all participants still in and their selections, this will also be re-posted in the original post [​IMG]

    kris
     
    #32 Vermillion, Nov 21, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  33. IAB

    IAB A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Mardie (WA): 51.1C
     
  34. William McDommy

    William McDommy First Runs

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  35. Wodonga Josh

    Wodonga Josh Part of the Furniture

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  36. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    Obs Hill reached 38.4C today. Close!
     
    #36 Trail Blazer, Nov 22, 2006
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  37. steeps

    steeps One of Us

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    Lucas Heights : 44.7

    (Reactor temperature a lot hotter !!!)
     
  38. quro

    quro First Runs

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    I'm out??
     
    #38 quro, Nov 25, 2006
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  39. Bogong

    Bogong Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  40. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Well the temperature u selected had to be the closest but not over the highest summer max temp (to the end of feb) for the station you selected.
     
    #40 Vermillion, Nov 28, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  41. zar

    zar One of Us

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    It's your competition and your rules but that's not what you said in your first post. You said the closest guess wins. I therefore think Quro should still be in, having guessed a max for Darwin which was 0.8 degrees off the mark.

    Instead of being eliminated from the competition you should mark him as being 'LOCKED IN' with a margin of error of 0.8C, rather than being OUT.

    Everyone else who has had a go therefore needs their prediction to be better than 0.8 before Quro is eliminated.

    :cheers:
     
    #41 zar, Nov 28, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  42. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    Zar, mine was better than Quro's and was also made early on.

     
    #42 Trail Blazer, Nov 29, 2006
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  43. zar

    zar One of Us

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    But it's early days. Sydney's max is SO FAR 38.4, but there's a good chance it might exceed 39.5 before the end of the season leaving you more than 0.8C out and therefore making Quro's guess the most accurate.

    If doesn't go above 38.4 then your guess is 0.3C out and leaves you with a good chance.
     
    #43 zar, Nov 29, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  44. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    fair enough, then thats the way it will stay, with the closest to the actual max being recorded. Also, could someone who has WZ silver be willing at the end of jan to get me the summer maxs for each of the selected stations? thanks
     
  45. legend

    legend One of Us

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  46. snowgum

    snowgum One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Can we add Unzud?
    Im going for at least 22 in Dunedin! [​IMG]
     
    #46 snowgum, Nov 29, 2006
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  47. rollercoaster

    rollercoaster First Runs

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  48. quro

    quro First Runs

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    Verm - Can do for you. also happy to do one score update mid-jan to keep things interesting.

    What I will need from you is a list of WMO numbers (and preferably site number) for each entrant, and their estimate.
     
    #48 quro, Dec 16, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  49. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    [​IMG]
    Are you sure?
     
    #49 POW_hungry, Dec 16, 2006
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  50. TotalyRottn

    TotalyRottn Hard Yards

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