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Day to Day Tasmania and the deep south weather

Discussion in 'Daily & Chat' started by almontyrat, Jul 7, 2019.

  1. almontyrat

    almontyrat One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Hahaha! Just heard on the news that the sound was caused by a meteorite burning up as it entered the atmosphere. No wonder it was so widely heard.
     
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  2. skull

    skull One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    spent 10 years in Hobart and many many times would drive Norf and see Ben Lomand covered in snow but I never went out of my way to check it out
     
  3. skull

    skull One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Fun fact, there is a road up on Cradle Mountain named after my Grandfather.
     
  4. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  5. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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  6. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Calling snow down to 800m.
    Feels like it.
     
  7. almontyrat

    almontyrat One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Just got home from another walk up to the Liffey falls, a few brief showers while walking then the heavens opened with hail about 1 minute after I got back in the car. Some wicked looking cloud formations about as I drove back to Deloraine. Fire back going at home now.
     
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  8. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  9. almontyrat

    almontyrat One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Wish we could get some of that up here. heading for a top of 23 tomorrow (woo hoo) then back to 16 all week :(. where is spring I ask....
     
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  10. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Headed down to SOuthport and beyond today.
    Hoping to do some short treks further SOuth again but I observe has been showers /raining all night in Huon Valley.
    sounds so good on the metal roof , but not so good for us tourist types.
     
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  11. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I observe pissing down and getting blawsted here at Nth Hobart right now.
    The system has arrived !
    Flight Sth now bounced further till Saturday morning at the earliest.
     
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  12. almontyrat

    almontyrat One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Yes its pretty ordinary up north too, wind, rain and very dark skies. I thought winter was supposed to be over......
     
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  13. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    The -ve SAM flow on from the SSW event in Sept.
    Discussed in other thread.
     
  14. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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  15. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    pix from Great Lake Hotel this morning.
     
  16. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    SWW is up. no suprise.
    [​IMG]
     
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  17. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    So models are looking good for more tassie snow ...
     
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  18. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Snow as low as 500m tomorrow IMO.
    Not great for Hobart as it remains quite dry in the lee of Kunanyi.

    Plenty more over the next week too (Wed/Fri and into the weekend).
     
  19. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hmmm, in my experience the lower the snow in Tas, the worse the fire threat is at home.
     
  20. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    BoM has almost fallen into line;) dropping snow level from 900 to 600m in the PM update.
     
  21. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ripped from the Intranet. fwiw
    Haven't caught up with the met crew yet, early days.
    [​IMG]
     
  22. Fozzie Bear

    Fozzie Bear One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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  23. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Dat Antarctic dial-up...
     
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  24. Fozzie Bear

    Fozzie Bear One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Though I did see these elsewhere (Think they are okay to post).

     
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  25. Rabid K9

    Rabid K9 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Cover looks good on the Ben for this time of year....
     
  26. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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  27. appa

    appa First Runs

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    Today was a very hot day in Tasmania. Hobart got to 40.8C. The hottest place in the state appears to have been Friendly Beaches with 41.9C.
     
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  28. Greysrigging

    Greysrigging One of Us

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    Check out the temp spike ! 24.7c at 1.30pm and 41.9 at 3.00pm ! Bloody hell !
     
  29. almontyrat

    almontyrat One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Only made it to the mid twenties up here, Bass strait has a great cooling effect in a north westerly.
     
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  30. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Why the hell people would want to live in Hobart has me beat! ;)
     
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  31. doddles

    doddles Hard Yards

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    Hottest December day in Hobart since records began, I believe?
     
  32. Adaminaby Angler

    Adaminaby Angler Addicted

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    Even more remarkable, that was a historical record from 1897 which was surpassed by 0.2° C.
     
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  33. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    Historically in 1896 and 1897 there were a only a very few random obese citizens back then.
    Today there’s a trend of obesity throughout the general population with associated health and economic consequences.
     
  34. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Skull road ?
     
  35. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  36. PK Sawd

    PK Sawd Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm not surprised. There was a bit of hail about. Thankfully I managed to find a cosy little pub selling cheeky brews by the beach at Kingston and settled in with a nice book. A fine way to spend the afternoon.
     
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  37. almontyrat

    almontyrat One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Was cool and breezy in Ulverstone this morning. So much so that our Pilates in the park class retreated to the studio.
     
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  38. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Wait, so you went to the pub, on your own, to drink beer and read a book? Live-wire.
     
  39. PK Sawd

    PK Sawd Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    I had two hours to fill in while my daughter earned a living. Figured I'd spend some of her inheritance and indulged myself.
     
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  40. Tasmanian Devil

    Tasmanian Devil Hard Yards

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    Mid Feb report for Launceston. Avge Max so far: 25.4 long term avge 24.6. Rainfall this Feb 9.8 mm long term avge 31.2 mm
     
  41. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC & GFS not impartial to a little cold snap next week.
    Snow to higher elevations, highly possible, as it stands.
    [​IMG]

    GFS LWT says strong Neg AAO singal to boot with a SW'ly polar feed for Tas.


    Also coinciding with a humble RWT influence:
    [​IMG]
     
  42. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans calm and rational Ski Pass: Gold

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    It does look half decent, even though GFS has been periodically considering snowfall in Tassie every few runs or so for the last month.

    What interests me is that the AAO hasn’t found a consistent state as of yet this year.

    You can call it a neutral state if you want. But it hasn’t found any real mojo since the deep -AAO periods in Nov and Dec.

    It’s weird that we had very strong negatives, and now the NH is feeling the global climatic base state and the AO is in record positive territory. Perhaps something to consider now that winter is starting to approach. The big question is what is it’s next move.

    Anyways it looks pretty widespread on EC, particularly for this time of year:

    Certainly gives it more credibility.
     
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  43. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    AAO has less tendency to variability and impact in summer months for us as we're typically dominated by MJO & tropical circulations.
    That said, Tas has faired 'ok' climatically in the last quarter.


    Feat or famine scenarios in regards to rainfall anoms.
     
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  44. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans calm and rational Ski Pass: Gold

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    February has probably changed things up quite a bit. Change in climatic influences, so we probably won't see the same effect as we saw last spring with the IOD and the SSW.
     
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  45. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans calm and rational Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC, CMC and GFS all look like they are on the same page, just some differences with the details. But of course it’s primarily about the big picture at this point.





    CMC peaking a smidge more than EC, and GFS peaking a bit earlier than both of them.
     
  46. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Big feature there is that SO block pattern at 60S (SW of WA), correlates nicely with the RRWT chart posted a few days ago.
     
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  47. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some stacked temps signaled for Wednesday midday, for Tas. Snow down to 1000m at times for SW National Park IMO.
    With snowfalls above 1200m right through until Wednesday evening.
    ~10cm above 1200m is not out the question IMO.

    Strong polar deviation over Tas (and a very anomalous trough in Eastern IO, off WA coast):
     
  48. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some depth in the DGZ tomorrow for Southern Coast of Tas. It's a shame it dries out a bit.
    Good chance of anomalous snow down to 800/900m at times, late arvo tomorrow IMO.
     
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  49. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans calm and rational Ski Pass: Gold

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    Cradle Mountain region looks like it’s set to get 5-10cm as well:


    In amongst some rainfall as well, with the best snowfall in the morning. The temperatures are likely to be better for Southern Tasmania throughout the day.
     
  50. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Summer Snow at Mount Mawson this AM.
    15mm and 6ºC at Scotts Peak AWS (~500m).