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TC Yasi, Queensland Cyclone Feb 02 onwards

Discussion in 'Weather' started by smitty484, Jan 26, 2011.

  1. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator

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    Given how low and flat Mission Beach and the surrounds are it would be pretty dicey for them.
     
    #351 D-eye, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  2. tbnext

    tbnext One of Us

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    Weirdly, I know these guys are savvy but its not going to show us the money for around 2 hours. Good luck-stay safe.
     
  3. trappers

    trappers Safety not guaranteed Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hmmm pity the WZ forums are down ... oh well
    Still a lovely symmetric eye despite being just 25km from the coast.

    This is a slightly levels enhanced IR image taken just under 1 hr ago
    [​IMG]

    The symmetry and structure is beautiful in a morbid kind of way. As many of you know, I follow TCs very closely, and this is without a doubt one of the most beautifully strcutred storms I have seen. The vortex rosby wave effects that can be seen in this composite image will have fluid dynamicists and dynamic modellers talking for years to come.
    [​IMG]

    I know most of you know where to look but interesting to see Lucinda point now hitting gusts of 100kts, and yet the pressure is still 40hPa above min at least!.
    [​IMG]
     
    #353 trappers, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  4. Spiceman

    Spiceman Part of the Furniture

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    15kms from landfall so less than 1hr now, will hit at Bingle Bay, Tully will cop a direct hit shortly after.. Cardwell will be smashed as just below the eye
     
  5. Sandy

    Sandy Dark Sith Lord of the Pool Room Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Lucinda Point

    11:28pm

    Winds: 115kph
    Gusts: 185kph [​IMG]
    Pressure: 980.1 hPa
     
    #355 Sandy, Feb 3, 2011
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  6. Spiceman

    Spiceman Part of the Furniture

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    I read around 10kms east of Bingle Bay now and eyewall at Dunk Island as we speak...
     
  7. tbnext

    tbnext One of Us

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    Nasty question-whats the population and the major economic thing
     
  8. tbnext

    tbnext One of Us

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    I like animals-please tell me its not a livestock economy
     
  9. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator

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    cane, bananas and tourism based on what I saw when I was up there a few months back
     
  10. jazzart

    jazzart First Runs

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    #360 jazzart, Feb 3, 2011
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  11. tbnext

    tbnext One of Us

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    good-a bit-poor banana's
     
  12. Spiceman

    Spiceman Part of the Furniture

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    Holy crap, thanks for that Sandy....
     
  13. trappers

    trappers Safety not guaranteed Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Well you forgot about the odd flying cow - twister style
    [​IMG]
     
    #363 trappers, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  14. Spiceman

    Spiceman Part of the Furniture

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    Crossing coast about as we speak at 11.56pm at Bingle Bay....... LANDFALL
     
  15. Sandy

    Sandy Dark Sith Lord of the Pool Room Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Lucinda Point

    Eased a fraction:

    11:51pm

    Winds: 113kph
    Gusts: 163kph
    Pressure: 979.2 hPa
     
  16. tbnext

    tbnext One of Us

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    Well aparaently Mission Beach is Ground Zero
     
  17. nisstrust

    nisstrust One of Us

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    The perfect storm hey trappers.. any TC storm chaser would be loving this thats for sure.
     
  18. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Eye over Dunk Island now.
     
  19. Bugski

    Bugski A Local

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    OT: what's up with that mass of cloud a few hundred kilometers to the east? Looks like the start of a rotation....
     
  20. Doonks

    Doonks Let's cook! Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    it's crossed the coast now at Mission beach
     
  21. trappers

    trappers Safety not guaranteed Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Well I'm not a TC storm chaser, and I dont know whether I'd say I'm "loving it" ... but I am a specialist if sorts in fluid dynamics so yes, I find it fascinating. The energy and effects involved are mind blowing, and this is the biggest cyclone for many years.

    It is just so fortunate that it has crossed at a point that is reasonably sparsely populated, AND had pretty big mountains which will help break it up before it does too much more damage inland ... but given the momentum involved it could remain cat 3 or higher for a few hundred km inland!
     
    #371 trappers, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  22. Spiceman

    Spiceman Part of the Furniture

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    doonks the eye hit Dunk about 17mins ago, probably still in the eye... it's 70kms wide mate.... It crossed right on Bingle Bay/Mission Beach only a few kms from Dunk... and the eye should hit Tully looking at the radar...
     
  23. tbnext

    tbnext One of Us

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    Wow, its hit the coast as a five, and seems benignish-how is that possible
     
  24. Sandy

    Sandy Dark Sith Lord of the Pool Room Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Lucinda Point

    12:00am (midnight)

    Winds: 107kph
    Gusts: 176kph
    Pressure: 978.6 hPa
     
  25. trappers

    trappers Safety not guaranteed Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    What part of it seems benign?
     
    #375 trappers, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  26. Spiceman

    Spiceman Part of the Furniture

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    yeah it's just slightly more east than Bingle Bay and only 3kms away, both in the eye right now.... I was watching it on radar and it went straight over Bingle Bay I would love to know what the actual winds are there, no stations of note to measure it...
     
    #376 Spiceman, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  27. Bugski

    Bugski A Local

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    Heh listening to local radio with a guy in Missions Beach which is in the middle of the eye right now - looked up and he can see stars. Amazing.
     
  28. tbnext

    tbnext One of Us

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    Sure fair question. the benign part is where were the 4 hour sustained 250K+ gusts. plus loss life and property.

    Does this appear anything even "like" what you would expect from a Cat 5. Before you comment-re-read what a Cat 5 does.

    And I maybe premature-but I dont think so.
     
    #378 tbnext, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  29. trappers

    trappers Safety not guaranteed Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ok one more before I'm off to bed, this is the IR shot just before Yasi made landfall at 11:32pm AEST (13:32Z)

    Note in particular very little distortion of the eye nor of the CDO, despite its proximity to land ...
    As usual, the eye has managed to pass straight between the AWSs, with the closest one at Lucinda point being about 55km south of the closest approach of the eye [​IMG] [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    #379 trappers, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  30. trappers

    trappers Safety not guaranteed Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ummm the closest weather station reporting (Lucinda Point) is 60km from the eye, so how do you know the winds are not 200+km sustained? How do you know what the property damage looks like, whether there have been deaths? are you beside the eye with a wind measurement device and a camera? If so I am sure the BoM would like to hear from you, as would Nasa, because those magnetic boots you must have on would be impressive! [​IMG] [​IMG]

    ...
    -self edited-

    Good night all! [​IMG]
     
    #380 trappers, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  31. nisstrust

    nisstrust One of Us

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    that eye, has hit landmass according to cairns radar loop, tully is being smashed at the moment
     
  32. jazzart

    jazzart First Runs

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    #382 jazzart, Feb 3, 2011
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  33. Spiceman

    Spiceman Part of the Furniture

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    Actually it's quite remarkable when you consider Lucinda is actually 100kms south of eye and getting gusts of 185kph.... I'd hate to think what they were getting at Mission Beach and Tully, but I reckon +250kph easy.....
     
    #383 Spiceman, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  34. PolePlant

    PolePlant Guest

    Id have to agree right now.
    There are thousands of people who saw Aus Weather Sats program drop dead on the weekend.
    My inbox is chockers even though I dont have a support page anymore.

    Due to it appears BOM going back to adhoc edits of web pages to leave it a standardless mess.
    11 years Ive run that program and I thought BOM had finally standardised its pages, making my life easier at least.
    And in one hit have gone back 10 years to adhoc edits by any office that cares to bugger with the pages.
    This time to the point it almost seems intentional with a crazed mess of delimiters that follow no standard.
    Im considering ending the life it Aus Weather Stats software due to it, I just dont have the time anymore to follow BOM adhoc mess like the old days with a different format standard for each state.
    I get a lot of people tell me how they use it at times like this over the last decade.
    Pity BOM killed it a few days before this storm. [​IMG]
     
    #384 PolePlant, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  35. Hobber

    Hobber A Local

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    On the up side, it looks like the major population centres may have dodged a bullet...
     
  36. PolePlant

    PolePlant Guest

    Some good news then.
     
  37. warrie

    warrie Hard Yards

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    Storm surge at Cardwell was 2.8m which gave a water level 0.1m BELOW the HAT - highest astronomical tide. Whew!!! But at Clump Point a 3m surge put the water 0.5m ABOVE HAT. Still surges of 6m were predicted so ....... Cairns got 1.1m but right on low tide so completely escaped......... W
     
  38. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    This is ridiculously massive I wonder what the first images from the towns hit hardest will show?
     
  39. Doonks

    Doonks Let's cook! Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Early reports are that Mission Beach has been striped of vegetation. So far I have not heard of any deaths. Apparently overnight in one of the evacuation centers a baby was born, there was a mid-wife on holiday from the UK there. The baby won't be called Yasi.
     
  40. rabble

    rabble First Runs

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    Thanks for those links warrie, I found it interesting to watch what was happening with the surges and tides at the time.

    A couple of earlier posts below. The images update so if anyone wants a record you will have to take a shot now. Very clear to see how fortunate that the peak of the surge coincided with the trough of the tide.... phew

     
    #390 rabble, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  41. rabble

    rabble First Runs

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    And here is Cardwell (again, updates)
    [​IMG]
     
    #391 rabble, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  42. rabble

    rabble First Runs

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    Looks like we are going to get our inland sea!
    [​IMG]
    (I think this one updates too)
     
    #392 rabble, Feb 3, 2011
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  43. nisstrust

    nisstrust One of Us

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    all is well with my family in Cairns, just a few trees bowled over in their backyard and their little 4x4m tool shed damaged.
     
  44. Spiceman

    Spiceman Part of the Furniture

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    will be interesting to see pics of Mission Beach and Tully....
     
  45. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Good news about Cairns.
    Tully appears to have been smashed.
    Townsville still riding through it.
     
  46. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    A question for the farmers. Why are all our bananas grown in such a small geographical area?
     
  47. MisterMxyzptlk

    MisterMxyzptlk Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    One of the best things about travelling through NZ is being able to eat Sth American bananas
     
    #397 MisterMxyzptlk, Feb 3, 2011
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  48. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    Banana Republics?
     
    #398 Donza, Feb 3, 2011
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  49. Ian D

    Ian D Pool Room Staff Member Administrator Moderator

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    NE NSW, Queensland Coast both SE and NE, and NW WA

    Seems like a fairly large area to me.
     
    #399 Ian D, Feb 3, 2011
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  50. Podlet

    Podlet Part of the Furniture

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    major economies as D'eye said are crops, but innisfail and inland at milla milla is good dairy country, friends used to have a farm there.
     
    #400 Podlet, Feb 3, 2011
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