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The 2019 Autumn ground cooling thread

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Jellybeans, Mar 1, 2019.

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  1. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    I'm keeping an eye on Marble Bar and its 1923/4 record of 160 consecutive days over 100degF (37.8c) - Oct 31 - Apr 7.

    The last sub-100F day was Nov 23. So May 1 is a date to keep in mind. Note that the summer of 1923/4 was notorious for its failed tropical monsoon (similar, although worse, than this summer).
     
    Snowy Joey, Edgecrusher, IAB and 3 others like this.
  2. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    All of April above 100F will be a big ask. Other than 23 Nov, the next-most-recent sub 100F was 26 October. 35C is forecast for next Monday so that might be it.
     
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  3. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them Ski Pass: Gold

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    Autumn, the best time of the year in Canberra

     
  4. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    But immediately voids this Autumn as it's an election year.
     
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  5. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    On a couple of my work trips to canberra last year i got to experience walking to work in sub zero temperatures. As geeky as it is I've always wanted to walk to work in below freezing temps and i relished every moment of it. To that end, winter is my favourite time of the year in CBR for me ;);)
     
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  6. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sleet shower on Mt Mawson this arvie - Currently +0.4C.


    ...And ok fall on Kunyani:
     
  7. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS FV3 has a bit of dry cool air on the 25th after a touch of precip. atm 850 temp plot
     
  8. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  9. Kayden

    Kayden Hard Yards

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    Cold night in Tassie !... Cressy 166m in the Midlands got down to -1.9, which from what I can find in the coldest March temp on record for that location. Last one was -0.1 in 2012.
     
    Kletterer, IAB, nfip and 1 other person like this.
  10. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    That's a remarkable change from early March!

    Meanwhile, Queensland cooked again yesterday. Amberley smashed its previous March record with 41c yesterday. Inland Australia is fried.
     
  11. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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  12. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Lovely cool day in Canberra - maximum of 20.7 C. Braidwood max 15.3
     
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  13. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Crikey the next week and longer is looking warm in Melbourne. High 20s and Low 30s for as far as the eye can see
     
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  14. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  15. Big_Red_60

    Big_Red_60 Addicted

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    and still dry :(
    no rain for over a month now - paddocks just dust, dams empty, water tanks nearly empty again!
     
  16. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Well we cant exactly blame blocking Highs too much. Global moisture budget needs a shift our way imo
     
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  17. Normo

    Normo Mostly Harmless Ski Pass: Gold

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    Summer: Berowra Waters. Winter: Jindabyne
    That runway looks a bit short.............:)
     
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  18. Jacko4650

    Jacko4650 One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    I'd be more concerned about the bit in the middle!
     
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  19. IAB

    IAB A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    50 to 80mm of rain forecast for Sydney tomorrow.
     
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  20. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Which is just fkn' bizarre according to latest global models. Wreaks of divergence.
    Exclusively, AXS-R is all in after midday tomorrow though. @Donzah is up for a good hosing.

    EC Loves an evening shower tomorrow, but hardly a deludge:


    BoM's WATL:
    [​IMG]

    GFS:
    [​IMG]
     
    nfip, Donzah and IAB like this.
  21. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Period ending midnight tomorow
     
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  22. IAB

    IAB A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Now 25 to 70mm, with a further 15 to 45mm tomorrow (BOM).
     
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  23. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's a lottery where these showers form
     
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  24. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    looks like it's more focused down our way than they where forecasting yesterday.
     
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  25. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Friends, I have some exciting news.

    This year is going to be the coldest winter ever and we are heading into an iceage. Yes it's that time again, the daily mail has posted their yearly article from none other than our friend David Taylor, talking about how terrible this winter will be for Australia.

    I guess it didn't happen last year as he predicted, so why not try again this year and then next... and the next... and the next.

    Article is linked here if you are in need of some laughs.
     
  26. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Should see some good TS development in the Sydney/Illawarra region this afternoon.
    Plenty of moisture to act as the fuse.
    Do like the low level directional shear too.

    The confluence of instability looks to be between Goulburn & Point Perpendicular this afternoon IMO.
     
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  27. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    At 3pm
     
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  28. skull

    skull One of Us

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    I am one of the few people that looks forward to cooler weather once ANZAC day rolls around
     
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  29. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    That should do wonders for the SCG surface before this weekend's games
     
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  30. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Put a fork in it. SCG is done
     
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  31. piolet

    piolet Better make it three Ski Pass: Gold

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    in the cupboard covered in dust
    This is a snap of tonight. Looks wild!
     
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  32. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    I nearly died laughing. Especially after reading this quote: "Taylor believes it could be up to three degrees colder this year."

    WTH has he been smoking?
     
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  33. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    I can't believe he is continually given a platform for this rubbish. Fake news is real
     
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  34. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Quite a lot of meth I'd imagine.
     
  35. sbm_

    sbm_ One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    I predict Point Perp. would be a spectacular viewing location....perhaps from one of the Navy bunkers
     
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  36. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    here comes...
     
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  37. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm in Sydney at moment.
    Drive home looks interesting
     
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  38. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    I observe not wx related but...
     
  39. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah went past it on way up.
    Down via Bulli
     
  40. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Steamy AF here in the E Burbs.
    The fuse is lit IMO. Heating (temp/humidity) up quick.
     
  41. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Pissing down around Brighton
     
  42. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    plenty of rumbling out Sasafrass way
     
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  43. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    Windy in Drummoyne, with some wicked towers building to the south.

    Get yer flippers on.
     
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  44. filski

    filski Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    How’s these storms in Sydney!

    Didn’t ride bike today, 2hrs left to go before I get :mad:
     
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  45. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    Still Drizabone here.
     
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  46. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    Need moar suncream.
     
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  47. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    Getting reports of hail out the back of Camden.
     
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  48. dibl0c

    dibl0c A man without wasta is not a man! Ski Pass: Gold

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    #shitadelaide or #brisbogan ... take your pick.
    [​IMG]

    Will we get a banger in Brisbogan this afternoon?

    Please rain.
     
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  49. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Lee side of the range at Moonbah. A small storm cell has parked above....

    Got the lot right now including super heavy rain mixed with small hail. I’ve been laying stone and concrete. :rolleyes::(....

    But we needed the rain :thumbs:




     
    MarkV, Lady Penelope, IAB and 4 others like this.
  50. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS FV 3 for midday 26th
     
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