Mega Thread The Autumn ground cooling thread!

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by DiscoStuAU, Mar 1, 2018.

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  1. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Little Pebble said much the same ;)
     
  2. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Nice height gradients crossing pressure gradients. Looks possible that Melbourne may get more precip than BOM has progged IMO.
     
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  3. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  4. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Got our selves a nice gentle onshore here in Bondi (+ some sea fog).

    Interesting low level convergence forming off the coast (trough forming perhaps?) looks to be aiding CAPE.

    With a bit of mid-level shear we might see the odd shower or storm pass through if you're on the coast in Sydney IMO.
     
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  5. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    RIP Western burbs.
     
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  6. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Drove out to Myrtleford this afternoon and off to Harrietville tomorrow... everything is a different shade of brown, it sure is strange seeing this part of the world without a nice layer of green. Could really do with some decent rain.
     
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  7. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I think the parallel universe thread is over there....
     
  8. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    And I have a game of soccer at 12pm on Sunday....

    On the beaches though so should be a sea breeze.
     
  9. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Nah... Hot northerly for much of the day ahead of the Southerly Buster due early eve.
     
  10. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    Yuk.
     
  11. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    32 forecast upper BM’s and winds to 50 k.
    WTF!?
     
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  12. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    The good news here is that the strong winds look to be early AM, easing in the arvo (where max temps will be reached).
    Maybe 30-35km/h winds in the arvo IMO
     
  13. sbm_

    sbm_ One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Fire ban for NSW on sunday?
     
  14. davidg

    davidg Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    FFS :rolleyes::crap:
     
  15. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Wollongong tipped 39 Sunday.
    Surprising considering our Beachside location
     
  16. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  17. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Lovely day nestled in behind Mt Buffalo today.
     
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  18. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Wandering around the creeks that run through the property coming off the mountains. All I need is a cold beverage!
     
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  19. Peli89

    Peli89 One of Us

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    Light rain here in Adelaide currently
     
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  20. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Got a low of 2c forecast tonight and possibly the first frost of the autumn.
     
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  21. Tanuki

    Tanuki A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Nice, where?
     
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  22. Tanuki

    Tanuki A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looks idyllic
     
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  23. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Queenstown, Otago, NZ. We've got a pretty stiff sou-westerly blowing at the moment, that's expected to die away overnight. Hopefully we'll avoid a frost, the garden is still humming along.
     
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  24. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    It really is/was...
     
  25. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Severe Weather Warning
    for DAMAGING WINDS
    For people in Central, East Gippsland, South West, West and South Gippsland and parts of North Central, North East and Wimmera Forecast Districts.

    Issued at 5:24 pm Friday, 16 March 2018.

    Weather Situation: A trough in the Bight will reach western Victoria late on Saturday, before crossing the State during Sunday morning. The trough will be followed by a strong cold front which will reach the far southwest early Sunday morning, moving through the central districts to reach the eastern districts by late morning.

    DAMAGING NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of 90 to 100 km/h, are expected to develop about elevated parts of the western and central districts during SATURDAY NIGHT, extending to elevated parts in the east early SUNDAY MORNING. About the Alpine region, winds are expected to average 70 to 80 km/h with peak gusts of 110 to 120 km/h during SUNDAY MORNING.

    DAMAGING WESTERLY WINDS, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of 90 to 100 km/h, are expected to develop throughout western and central parts of the warning area during Sunday morning following the passage of the cold front, reaching eastern parts from late morning. Peak gusts to 110 km/h are possible about the exposed southern coastal fringe.

    Winds are expected to ease from the west during Sunday afternoon, with the risk of damaging winds clearing the State by late afternoon.

    Locations which may be affected include Warrnambool, Ballarat, Geelong, Melbourne, Traralgon, Moe, Bairnsdale, Mt Buller and Mt Hotham.
     
  26. davidg

    davidg Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    41c is the forecast for Penrith on Sunday. GAGF.
     
  27. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Nasty how many plus 40 deg has the riff had this summer.I think OB hill will crack 40 as well.
     
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  28. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sunday will be the worst fire conditions of the season in Sydney.
     
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  29. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    We had light rain in Harrietville last night from about 11:30. Not sure how long it fell for as I was asleep after midnight but it was pretty consistent. Wasn't expecting that last night
     
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  30. jonathanc

    jonathanc One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Same in Canberra - completely unexpected rain this morning. Perfect for MTB...
     
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  31. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    Not good at all regarding severe weathe r warning for wind so strong!!
    It's a real worry for these already going
    Fires and any that do start!
    Hopefully the wind out Gippsland way isn't up to what they forecast.
     
  32. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Bit blowy on the Tassie & Vic peaks tonight.

    [​IMG]
     
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  33. derwent

    derwent One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    So far so good for wind strength here in outer south east melbs our place quite exposed to a northerly has been in the moderate range til now.
    Blardy warm air coming through now tho.
     
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  34. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    Yep fairly calm here atm. But suspect
    That will change shortly with what looks to be some serious wind to push through tonight! Imo
    Will test any going fires I'd think imo
     
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  35. derwent

    derwent One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    How's it looking over seaview way @doogasnow?
     
  36. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    Yeah good so far Derwent, but it hasn't been hit with any serious wind yet, we've only had a moderate northerly all day.
    I think the test will be overnight out this way and once those really strong winds hit the fire hopefully it dosent take off?
     
  37. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some winter-like coldies to the S-SE of WA, entering the Bight.
     
  38. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    All calm here in Harrietville this eve... Not even a breeze. Been a lovely day.
     
  39. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    Wind picked right up here now and very
    Warm
     
  40. Bluebird

    Bluebird One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Quite breezy in inner Melbourne at the moment.

    I spent the week up at Lake Eildon, stunning warm days with nights cool enough to sleep in my tent, couldn't have asked for better weather.
     
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  41. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Good displacement/anom for early Autumn (GFS & EC flirting with another around the 25th):
    [​IMG]
     
  42. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    25th/26th
    EC:
    GFS:
    [​IMG]
     
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  43. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    This doesn't look like much fun:

     
  44. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  45. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Claude Cat likes this.
  46. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    How's the lwt?
     
  47. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not so into it, but the 00z run wasn't all that keen on it. Worth keeping an eye on it, for now. But wow it's been active this summer.
    [​IMG]
     
  48. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Might rain in Capetown
     
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  49. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    36c right now pre change in Orbost, 10.30am
     
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  50. Kayden

    Kayden Hard Yards

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    Been non stop rain and wind since early in the morning. Rain has moved east and its now looking clear in NW Tas, but I think there is going to be part 2, judging by the new cloud build up to the west.
     
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